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Preferred Scenarios in the Sport of Curling

Author

Listed:
  • Keith A. Willoughby

    (Department of Management, Bucknell University, Lewisburg, Pennsylvania 17837)

  • Kent J. Kostuk

    (Federated Co-operatives Limited, 401 22nd Street East, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada S7K 0H2)

Abstract

In the sport of curling, participants continually debate this question: In the latter stages of a game, is it better for a team to be trailing by one point yet have the last shot, or ahead by one point without the last shot? Based on results from over 900 Canadian men’s national championship games, we found that it is better for a team to be ahead by one point without the last shot. We surveyed world-class curlers to determine their preferences and probability estimates for given outcomes and discovered that several of these participants have disparate preferences and probability estimates.

Suggested Citation

  • Keith A. Willoughby & Kent J. Kostuk, 2004. "Preferred Scenarios in the Sport of Curling," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 34(2), pages 117-122, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:orinte:v:34:y:2004:i:2:p:117-122
    DOI: 10.1287/inte.1030.0049
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Keith A. Willoughby & Kent J. Kostuk, 2005. "An Analysis of a Strategic Decision in the Sport of Curling," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 2(1), pages 58-63, March.
    2. Clement David, 2012. "An Analysis of Curling Strategy," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 8(3), pages 1-15, October.

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