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Regional development and criminality rate in Romania: insights from a spatial analysis

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  • Zizi GOSCHIN

    (Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Romania, Institute of National Economy, Bucharest, Romania)

Abstract

Although many recent studies have approached the topic of criminality, the regional dimension of the phenomenon is still under research. This paper employs a variety of statistical methods, from descriptive statistics to convergence and spatial econometrics, in an attempt to explore criminality rate in Romania, at county level, over 1990-2014. The analysis revealed that developed counties tend to have higher criminality rates, with Ilfov County and Bucharest Municipality frequently on top positions, and the county rankings are relatively stable in the short run. Against expectations, the regression models that have been estimated could not provide enough support for the GDP per capta (proxy for development level) as a statistically significant factor of influence on criminality rate in all years, but the explanatory variable “criminality rate in previous year” proved to be positive and highly significant in all models, indicating the relative inertia of this phenomenon.

Suggested Citation

  • Zizi GOSCHIN, 2017. "Regional development and criminality rate in Romania: insights from a spatial analysis," Romanian Journal of Economics, Institute of National Economy, vol. 44(1(53)), pages 35-44, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ine:journl:v:44:y:2017:i:53:p:35-44
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    criminality rate; spatial model; county; Romania;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R10 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • R58 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - Regional Development Planning and Policy

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