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El nivel adecuado de reservas internacionales: notas para el caso venezolano

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Author Info
Leonardo Vera () (Universidad Central de Venezuela)
Luis Zambrano Sequín () (Universidad Católica Andrés Bello)
Abstract

Based on a standard set of factors pointed out by the literature we analyze the recent and rapid accumulation of international reserves in Venezuela. Among other things, we characterize the Venezuelan case and conduct a statistical analysis using a quarterly time series model between 1996 and 2004. The specification follows closely Aizenman and Marion (2002). Both a static and dynamic econometric version of the model allows us to report some of the factors that influence the decision to hold foreign exchange reserves. When we calculate the adequate level of reserves, using the econometric specifications, we found that excess reserves are not currently high and that the results do not diverge much from the traditional Heller's methodology. Finally, we undertake an evaluation of the alternatives pointed out for excess reserves manage-ment in Venezuela.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Ilades-Georgetown University, Economics Department in its journal Revista de Analisis Economico.

Volume (Year): 20 (2005)
Issue (Month): 1 (June)
Pages: 63-94
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Handle: RePEc:ila:anaeco:v:20:y:2005:i:1:p:63-94

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Related research
Keywords: International Reserve Holdings Excess Reserves Venezuela Econometric Model

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
O24 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy

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  1. Iyoha, Milton Ame, 1976. "Demand for International Reserves in Less Developed Countries: A Distributed Lag Specification," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 58(3), pages 351-55, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Barry Eichengreen and Jeffrey A. Frankel., 1996. "On the SDR: Reserve Currencies and the Future of the International Monetary System," Center for International and Development Economics Research (CIDER) Working Papers C96-068, University of California at Berkeley.
  3. Graham Bird & Ramkishen Rajan, 2003. "Too Much of a Good Thing? The Adequacy of International Reserves in the Aftermath of Crises," The World Economy, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 26(6), pages 873-891, 06. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Frenkel, Jacob A & Jovanovic, Boyan, 1981. "Optimal International Reserves: A Stochastic Framework," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 91(362), pages 507-14, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Sebastian Edwards, 1981. "A Note on the Demand for International REserves by Less Developed Countries," UCLA Economics Working Papers 222, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. Kelly, Michael G, 1970. "The Demand for International Reserves," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 60(4), pages 655-67, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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