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Modeling the Share of Cash Payments in the Economy: An Application to France

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  • Yassine Bouhdaoui

    (Economics and Social Sciences Department, Telecom ParisTech)

  • David Bounie

    (Economics and Social Sciences Department, Telecom ParisTech)

Abstract

Modeling the demand for cash and deposits is a primary concern for central banks. Within a wide range of academic contributions, payment choice models based on transaction sizes (TS models) have been promoted. However, TS models induce strong predictions about the use of payment instruments. In particular, all equal-sized transactions are supposed to be paid with the same payment instrument. We propose a simple alternative model based on cash holding (CH model) that allows equal-sized transactions to be paid for in cash or with other payment instruments. Using micro-level payment data from two representative samples of the French population in 2005 and 2011, we test how well each model replicates the observed shares of cash payments in the French economy for each size of transaction. We find that the CH model outperforms TS models, as it better predicts the observed shares of cash payments with notably less demanding information on individuals.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by International Journal of Central Banking in its journal International Journal of Central Banking.

Volume (Year): 8 (2012)
Issue (Month): 4 (December)
Pages: 175-195

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Handle: RePEc:ijc:ijcjou:y:2012:q:4:a:5

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  1. Shy, Oz & Tarkka, Juha, 1998. "The Market for Electronic Cash Cards," Research Discussion Papers 21/1998, Bank of Finland.
  2. Ulf Kalckreuth & Tobias Schmidt & Helmut Stix, 2014. "Choosing and using payment instruments: evidence from German microdata," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 1019-1055, May.
  3. Fumiko Hayashi & Elizabeth Klee, 2002. "Technology adoption and consumer payments : evidence from survey data," Payments System Research Working Paper PSR WP 02-01, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
  4. Anthony M. Santomero & John J. Seater, 1995. "Alternative Monies and the Demand for Media of Exchange," Center for Financial Institutions Working Papers 96-08, Wharton School Center for Financial Institutions, University of Pennsylvania.
  5. Jonathan Zinman, 2005. "Debit or credit?," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
  6. Whitesell, William C, 1989. "The Demand for Currency versus Debitable Accounts: A Note," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 21(2), pages 246-57, May.
  7. Santomero, Anthony M, 1974. "A Model of the Demand for Money by Households," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(1), pages 89-102, March.
  8. Klee, Elizabeth, 2008. "How people pay: Evidence from grocery store data," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 526-541, April.
  9. Francesco Lippi & Alessandro Secchi, 2008. "Technological change and the households' demand for currency," EIEF Working Papers Series 0801, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF), revised Oct 2008.
  10. Peter Mooslechner & Helmut Stix & Karin Wagner, 2006. "How Are Payments Made in Austria?," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 111–134.
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Cited by:
  1. John Bagnall & David Bounie & Kim P. Huynh & Anneke Kosse & Tobias Schmidt & Scott Schuh & Helmut Stix, 2014. "Consumer Cash Usage: A Cross-Country Comparison with Payment Diary Survey Data," Working Papers 192, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
  2. Carlos Arango & Yassine Bouhdaouiz & David Bounie & Martina Eschelbach & LOla Hernández, 2014. "Cash Management and Payment Choices: A Simulation Model with International Comparisons," Borradores de Economia 804, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  3. Briglevics, Tamas & Schuh, Scott, 2014. "This is what's in your wallet... and here's how you use it," Working Papers 14-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
  4. Carlos Arango & Yassine Bouhdaoui & David Bounie & Martina Eschelbach, 2014. "Cash Management and Payment Choices: A Simulation Model with International Comparisons," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 011124, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  5. Eschelbach, Martina & Schmidt, Tobias, 2013. "Precautionary motives in short-term cash management: Evidence from German POS transactions," Discussion Papers 38/2013, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.

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