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Türkiye'de para politikasının aktarımı: Para politikasının mali piyasalara etkisi

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Author Info

  • Zelal AKTAŞ

    (Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası)

  • Harun ALP

    (Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası)

  • Refet GÜRKAYNAK

    (Bilkent Üniversitesi)

  • Mehtap KESRİYELİ

    (Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası)

  • Musa ORAK

    (Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası)

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, para politikası kararlarının piyasalar tarafından beklenen ve beklenmeyen kısımları ayrıştırılarak, Merkez Bankası'nın faiz kararlarının finansal piyasalardaki göreli uzun vadeli faiz oranları ve İMKB-100, İMKB-Mali, döviz kuru, risk primi gibi değişkenler üzerindeki etkisi incelenmiştir. Elde edilen bulgular, politika faizi değişikliklerinin mali piyasalarda, özellikle tahvil-bono faizleri üzerinde, etkili olduğunu göstermektedir. Öte yandan, hisse senedi fiyatlarının para politikası sürprizlerine istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir tepki vermedikleri, döviz kuru tepkisinin ise küçük olduğu bulunmaktadır. Dolayısıyla, para politikası aktarım mekanizmasının faiz kanalının, temel olarak, piyasa faizleri aracılığıyla etkili olduğu ortaya çıkmaktadır.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Bilgesel Yayincilik in its journal İktisat İşletme ve Finans.

Volume (Year): 24 (2009)
Issue (Month): 278 ()
Pages: 9-24

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Handle: RePEc:iif:iifjrn:v:24:y:2009:i:278:p:9-24

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Web page: http://iif.com.tr

Related research

Keywords: Para politikası; faiz sürprizi; mali piyasalar;

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References

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  1. Kenneth N. Kuttner, 2000. "Monetary policy surprises and interest rates: evidence from the Fed funds futures markets," Staff Reports 99, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  2. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005. "The Sensitivity of Long-Term Interest Rates to Economic News: Evidence and Implications for Macroeconomic Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(1), pages 425-436, March.
  3. Ozge Akinci & Burcu Gurcihan & Refet Gurkaynak & Ozgur Ozel, 2006. "Devlet Ic Borclanma Senetleri Icin Getiri Egrisi Tahmini," Working Papers 0608, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  4. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2006. "Market-based measures of monetary policy expectations," Working Paper Series 2006-04, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Harun Alp & Hakan Kara & Gursu Keles & Refet Gurkaynak & Musa Orak, 2010. "Turkiye’de Piyasa Gostergelerinden Para Politikasi Beklentilerinin Olculmesi," Working Papers 1011, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  2. Murat Duran & Pinar Ozlu & Deren Unalmis, 2010. "TCMB Faiz Kararlarinin Hisse Senedi Piyasalari Uzerine Etkisi," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 10(2), pages 23-32.
  3. Eda Gulsen & Ibrahim Burak Kanli & Neslihan Kaya, 2010. "Kuresel Kriz Doneminde TCMB’nin Faiz Kararlarinin Kur Uzerindeki Etkisine Dair Bir Analiz," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1011, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  4. Refet S. Gürkaynak & Jonathan H. Wright, 2013. "Identification and Inference Using Event Studies," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 81, pages 48-65, 09.
  5. H. Burcu Gurcihan & Ozgur Ozel, 2010. "Kuresel Finansal Kriz Doneminde Para Politikasi Kurulu Kararlarinin Piyasa Getirileri Uzerindeki Etkisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1010, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  6. Murat Duran & Refet Gurkaynak & Pinar Ozlu & Deren Unalmis, 2010. "TCMB Faiz Kararlarinin Piyasa Faizleri Ve Hisse Senedi Piyasalari Uzerine Etkisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1008, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  7. Duran, Murat & Özcan, Gülserim & Özlü, Pınar & Ünalmış, Deren, 2012. "Measuring the impact of monetary policy on asset prices in Turkey," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 114(1), pages 29-31.
  8. Pinar Ozlu & Deren Unalmis, 2012. "Makroekonomik Gostergelerin Doviz Kurlari Uzerine Etkisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1221, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  9. Murat Duran & Gulserim Ozcan & Pinar Ozlu & Deren Unalmis, 2010. "Measuring the Impact of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices in Turkey (Turkiye’de Para Politikasinin Finansal Varlik Fiyatlari Uzerine Etkisi)," Working Papers 1017, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

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