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On international financial spillovers to frontier markets

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  • Galin Todorov
  • Prasad Bidarkota
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    Abstract

    We explore the degree to which stock index returns and conditional volatility of 21 frontier markets were affected by fluctuations on the US stock market between December 1st 2005 and January 15th 2010. We find weak, positive return spillovers from the USA to 17 frontier markets. For four countries, Jordan, Lebanon, Nigeria, and Kenya, we find weak negative return spillovers from the USA, implying possible diversification opportunities. For 13 markets, the influence of past local shocks is greater than the influence of current shocks from the USA, and for 16 markets, local past volatility has stronger impact than volatility from the USA.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Inderscience Enterprises Ltd in its journal Int. J. of Economics and Business Research.

    Volume (Year): 5 (2013)
    Issue (Month): 4 ()
    Pages: 433-452

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    Handle: RePEc:ids:ijecbr:v:5:y:2013:i:4:p:433-452

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    Web page: http://www.inderscience.com/browse/index.php?journalID==310

    Related research

    Keywords: frontier markets; emerging markets; financial spillovers; contagion; time-varying volatility; stock index returns; US stock market; USA; United States; Jordan; Lebanon; Nigeria; Kenya; diversification opportunities; financial shocks.;

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    1. Kaminsky, Graciela L. & Reinhart, Carmen M., 2002. "Financial markets in times of stress," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 451-470, December.
    2. Canarella, Giorgio & Sapra, Sunil K. & Pollard, Stephen K., 2007. "Asymmetry and Spillover Effects in the North American Equity Markets," Economics Discussion Papers 2007-35, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    3. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Marianne Schulze-Ghattas & John Beirne & Nicola Spagnolo, 2008. "Volatility Spillovers and Contagion From Mature to Emerging Stock Markets," IMF Working Papers 08/286, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Egert, Balazs & Kocenda, Evzen, 2007. "Interdependence between Eastern and Western European stock markets: Evidence from intraday data," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 184-203, June.
    5. Baur, Dirk & Jung, Robert C., 2006. "Return and volatility linkages between the US and the German stock market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(4), pages 598-613, June.
    6. Gebka, Bartosz & Serwa, Dobromil, 2007. "Intra- and inter-regional spillovers between emerging capital markets around the world," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 203-221, June.
    7. Hisashi Tanizaki & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2009. "Volatility transmission between Japan, UK and USA in daily stock returns," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 27-54, February.
    8. Silvia Sgherri & Alessandro Galesi, 2009. "Regional Financial Spillovers Across Europe," IMF Working Papers 09/23, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Gebka, Bartosz & Serwa, Dobromil, 2006. "Are financial spillovers stable across regimes?: Evidence from the 1997 Asian crisis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 301-317, October.
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