IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ids/ijbfmi/v7y2022i4p311-350.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A forecasting framework for the Indian healthcare sector index

Author

Listed:
  • Jaydip Sen

Abstract

Forecasting of future stock prices is a complex and challenging research problem due to the random variations that the time series of these variables exhibit. In this work, we study the behaviour exhibited by the healthcare sector's time series of India in the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). We collect the historical monthly index values of the BSE S&P healthcare sector from January 2010 to December 2021. The time series is decomposed into its three components trend, seasonality, and random. The component values reveal some important characteristics of the sector in the pre-pandemic and peri-pandemic times. We also propose five predictive models based on the exponential smoothing and autoregressive integrated moving average techniques for forecasting the monthly index values of 2021 based on the historical index values from January 2010 to December 2020. Extensive results are presented on the performances of the models.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaydip Sen, 2022. "A forecasting framework for the Indian healthcare sector index," International Journal of Business Forecasting and Marketing Intelligence, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(4), pages 311-350.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijbfmi:v:7:y:2022:i:4:p:311-350
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=125783
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jaydip Sen & Arup Dasgupta & Subhasis Dasgupta & Sayantani Roychoudhury, 2023. "A Portfolio Rebalancing Approach for the Indian Stock Market," Papers 2310.09770, arXiv.org.
    2. Abhiraj Sen & Jaydip Sen, 2023. "Performance Evaluation of Equal-Weight Portfolio and Optimum Risk Portfolio on Indian Stocks," Papers 2309.13696, arXiv.org.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ids:ijbfmi:v:7:y:2022:i:4:p:311-350. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sarah Parker (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.inderscience.com/browse/index.php?journalID=156 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.