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Factors of Stock Return and Carhart Model: The Case of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) of Bangladesh

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  • Mohammad Akter Hossan
  • Mohammad Joynal Abedin

Abstract

The objective of this study is to find factors of stock return by testing validity of Carhart model in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) of Bangladesh. For this purpose, this study uses monthly excess return of portfolios, size, book-to-market value, market return, and price momentum data of 109 sample firms to calculate return factors such as market risk premium, size premium (SMB), value premium (HML), and momentum effect (UMD) for the sample period of 2005 to 2014. Then a total of ten portfolios, six based on size and book-to-market value and four based on size and price momentum, are constructed in this study. Excess return of each of these portfolios are calculated and regressed on the above four factors. Results of this study reveal that in DSE, market risk premium is positively and significantly related with the excess return of all portfolios; Size premium is found positively and significantly related with the return of small size portfolios; Value premium is found negatively and significantly related with the returns of all portfolios except one big portfolio (B/H); momentum effect is found positively and significantly related to the excess return of up (U), big (B), and small (S) size portfolios. It is also evident from R2 value, F statistic, and robustness test of this study that four-factor model is valid and it can predict portfolio returns accurately when there is no abnormality such as market crash occurs in DSE.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Akter Hossan & Mohammad Joynal Abedin, 2019. "Factors of Stock Return and Carhart Model: The Case of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) of Bangladesh," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 11(6), pages 1-14, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ibn:ijefaa:v:11:y:2019:i:6:p:14
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Asma Mobarek & A. Sabur Mollah, 2005. "The General Determinants of Share Returns: An Empirical Investigation on the Dhaka Stock Exchange," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(04), pages 593-612.
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    3. La Porta, Rafael, et al, 1997. "Good News for Value Stocks: Further Evidence on Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(2), pages 859-874, June.
    4. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Titman, Sheridan, 1993. "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(1), pages 65-91, March.
    5. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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