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Good News for Value Stocks: Further Evidence on Market Efficiency

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Author Info
Rafael La Porta
Josef Lakonishok
Andrei Shleifer
Robert Vishny

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Abstract

This paper examines the hypothesis that the superior return to so-called value stocks is the result of expectational errors made by investors. We study stock price reactions around earnings announcements for value and glamour stocks over a 5 year period after portfolio formation. The announcement returns suggest that a significant portion of the return difference between value and glamour stocks is attributable to earnings surprises that are systematically more positive for value stocks. The evidence is inconsistent with a risk-based explanation for the return differential.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 5311.

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Date of creation: Oct 1995
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Publication status: published as Journal of Finance, Vol. 52, no. 2 (June 1997): 859-873.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5311

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  1. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. " The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-65, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Davis, James L, 1994. " The Cross-Section of Realized Stock Returns: The Pre-COMPUSTAT Evidence," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(5), pages 1579-93, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1995. " Size and Book-to-Market Factors in Earnings and Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 131-55, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard H, 1987. " Further Evidence on Investor Overreaction and Stock Market Seasonalit y," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 557-81, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Kothari, S P & Shanken, Jay & Sloan, Richard G, 1995. " Another Look at the Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 185-224, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard, 1985. " Does the Stock Market Overreact?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 793-805, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Chopra, Navin & Lakonishok, Josef & Ritter, Jay R., 1992. "Measuring abnormal performance : Do stocks overreact?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 235-268, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Louis K. C. Chan & Jason Karceski & Josef Lakonishok, 2003. "Analysts' Conflict of Interest and Biases in Earnings Forecasts," NBER Working Papers 9544, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Malcolm Baker & Lubomir Litov & Jessica A. Wachter & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2004. "Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from the Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements," NBER Working Papers 10685, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Louis K.C. Chan & Jason Karceski & Josef Lakonishok, 2001. "The Level and Persistence of Growth Rates," NBER Working Papers 8282, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Josef Lakonishok & Inmoo Lee & Allen M. Poteshman, 2004. "Investor Behavior in the Option Market," NBER Working Papers 10264, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2004. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 10449, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Zalewska, Ania, 1999. "Does Market Organization Speed Up Market Stabilization? First Lessons From the Budapest and Warsaw Stock Exchanges," CEPR Discussion Papers 2134, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. He, Wei & Wei, Peihwang P., 2003. "Is overreaction an explanation for the value effect? A study using implied volatility from option prices," Working Papers 2003-11, University of New Orleans, Department of Economics and Finance. [Downloadable!]
  8. Chan, Wesley & Frankel, Richard & Kothari, S.P., 2002. "Testing Behavioral Finance Theories Using Trends and Sequences in Financial Performance," Working papers 4375-02, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management. [Downloadable!]
  9. Jaap van der Hart & Erica Slagter & Dick van Dijk, 2001. "Stock Selection Strategies in Emerging Markets," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 01-009/4, Tinbergen Institute. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Jeremy C. Stein, 1996. "Rational Capital Budgeting in an Irrational World," NBER Working Papers 5496, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  11. Zhang, Ge, 2004. "Market valuation and employee stock options," Working Papers 2003-13, University of New Orleans, Department of Economics and Finance. [Downloadable!]
  12. Mathias Drehmann & Joerg Oechssler & Andreas Roider, 2003. "Herding and Contrarian Behavior in Financial Markets: An Internet Experiment," University of California at Santa Barbara, Economics Working Paper Series 18-03, Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara. [Downloadable!]
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  13. Kyri Kyriacou & Jacob Madsen & Bryan Mase, 2004. "The Equity Premium," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 04-10, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  14. John Y. Campbell & Tuomo Vuolteenaho, 2003. "Bad Beta, Good Beta," NBER Working Papers 9509, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  15. Malcolm Baker & C. Fritz Foley & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2004. "The Stock Market and Investment: Evidence from FDI Flows," NBER Working Papers 10559, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  16. Andrei Shleifer & Robert W. Vishny, 1995. "The Limits of Arbitrage," NBER Working Papers 5167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  17. Penas, M.F. & Tumer-Alkan, G., 2008. "Bank Disclosure and Market Assessment of Financial Fragility: Evidence from Banks' Equity Prices," Discussion Paper 2008-013, Tilburg University, Tilburg Law and Economic Center. [Downloadable!]
  18. Malcolm Baker & Jeremy C. Stein & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2002. "When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms," NBER Working Papers 8750, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  19. Joseph T.L. Ooi & James R. Webb & Dingding Zhou, 2007. "Extrapolation Theory and the Pricing of REIT Stocks," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 29(1), pages 27-56. [Downloadable!]
  20. Michael Brennan & Yihong Xia, 1999. "Assessing Assets Pricing Anomalies," University of California at Los Angeles, Anderson Graduate School of Management 1098, Anderson Graduate School of Management, UCLA. [Downloadable!]
  21. Mattias Hamberg & Jiri Novak, 2007. "On the importance of clean accounting measures for the tests of stock market efficiency," Working Papers IES 2007/25, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Sep 2007. [Downloadable!]
  22. John Y. Campbell & Jens Hilscher & Jan Szilagyi, 2006. "In Search of Distress Risk," NBER Working Papers 12362, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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