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Adaptation Turning Points in River Restoration? The Rhine Salmon Case

Author

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  • Tobias Bölscher

    (Department of Chemistry, Uppsala BioCentre, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, P.O. Box 7015, Uppsala 750 07, Sweden
    Earth System Science-Climate Change and Adaptive Land and Water Management, Wageningen University and Research Centre, P.O. Box 47, Wageningen 6700 AA, The Netherlands)

  • Erik Van Slobbe

    (Earth System Science-Climate Change and Adaptive Land and Water Management, Wageningen University and Research Centre, P.O. Box 47, Wageningen 6700 AA, The Netherlands)

  • Michelle T.H. Van Vliet

    (Earth System Science-Climate Change and Adaptive Land and Water Management, Wageningen University and Research Centre, P.O. Box 47, Wageningen 6700 AA, The Netherlands)

  • Saskia E. Werners

    (Earth System Science-Climate Change and Adaptive Land and Water Management, Wageningen University and Research Centre, P.O. Box 47, Wageningen 6700 AA, The Netherlands)

Abstract

Bringing a sustainable population of Atlantic salmon ( Salmo salar ) back into the Rhine, after the species became extinct in the 1950s, is an important environmental ambition with efforts made both by governments and civil society. Our analysis finds a significant risk of failure of salmon reintroduction because of projected increases in water temperatures in a changing climate. This suggests a need to rethink the current salmon reintroduction ambitions or to start developing adaptive action. The paper shows that the moment at which salmon reintroduction may fail due to climate change can only be approximated because of inherent uncertainties in the interaction between salmon and its environment. The added value of the assessment presented in this paper is that it provides researchers with a set of questions that are useful from a policy perspective (by focusing on the feasibility of a concrete policy ambition under climate change). Thus, it offers opportunities to supply policy makers with practical insight in the relevance of climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Tobias Bölscher & Erik Van Slobbe & Michelle T.H. Van Vliet & Saskia E. Werners, 2013. "Adaptation Turning Points in River Restoration? The Rhine Salmon Case," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 5(6), pages 1-17, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:5:y:2013:i:6:p:2288-2304:d:25987
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marten Scheffer & Steve Carpenter & Jonathan A. Foley & Carl Folke & Brian Walker, 2001. "Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems," Nature, Nature, vol. 413(6856), pages 591-596, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Geert Prinsen & Frederiek Sperna Weiland & Erik Ruijgh, 2015. "The Delta Model for Fresh Water Policy Analysis in the Netherlands," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(2), pages 645-661, January.

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