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The Century Ahead: Searching for Sustainability

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Author Info

  • Paul D. Raskin

    ()
    (Tellus Institute, 11 Arlington Street, Boston, MA 02116, USA)

  • Christi Electris

    ()
    (Tellus Institute, 11 Arlington Street, Boston, MA 02116, USA)

  • Richard A. Rosen

    ()
    (Tellus Institute, 11 Arlington Street, Boston, MA 02116, USA)

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    Abstract

    The global future lies before us as a highly uncertain and contested landscape with numerous perils along the way. This study explores possible pathways to sustainability by considering in quantitative detail four contrasting scenarios for the twenty-first century. The analysis reveals vividly the risks of conventional development approaches and the real danger of socio-ecological descent. Nonetheless, the paper underscores that a Great Transition scenario—turning toward a civilization of enhanced human well-being and environmental resilience—remains an option, and identifies a suite of strategic and value changes for getting there. A fundamental shift in the development paradigm is found to be an urgent necessity for assuring a sustainable future and, as well, a hopeful opportunity for creating a world of enriched lives, human amity, and a healthy ecosphere.

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    File URL: http://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/2/8/2626/pdf
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    File URL: http://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/2/8/2626/
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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by MDPI, Open Access Journal in its journal Sustainability.

    Volume (Year): 2 (2010)
    Issue (Month): 8 (August)
    Pages: 2626-2651

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    Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:2:y:2010:i:8:p:2626-2651:d:9336

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    Web page: http://www.mdpi.com/

    Related research

    Keywords: sustainability; scenarios; global; simulation; development; climate; energy; water; hunger; agriculture;

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