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Climate Change Alters Soil Water Dynamics under Different Land Use Types

Author

Listed:
  • Ágota Horel

    (Centre for Agricultural Research, Institute of Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry, 1022 Budapest, Hungary)

  • Tibor Zsigmond

    (Centre for Agricultural Research, Institute of Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry, 1022 Budapest, Hungary)

  • Csilla Farkas

    (Centre for Agricultural Research, Institute of Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry, 1022 Budapest, Hungary
    Norwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research, 1430 Ås, Norway)

  • Györgyi Gelybó

    (Centre for Agricultural Research, Institute of Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry, 1022 Budapest, Hungary)

  • Eszter Tóth

    (Centre for Agricultural Research, Institute of Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry, 1022 Budapest, Hungary)

  • Anikó Kern

    (Space Research Group, Department of Geophysics and Space Sciences, Institute of Geography and Earth Sciences, Eötvös Loránd University (ELTE), 1117 Budapest, Hungary
    Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences, 165 21 Prague, Czech Republic)

  • Zsófia Bakacsi

    (Centre for Agricultural Research, Institute of Soil Sciences and Agricultural Chemistry, 1022 Budapest, Hungary)

Abstract

Land use and management affect soil hydrological processes, and the impacts can be further enhanced and accelerated due to climate change. In this study, we analyzed the possible long-term effects of different land use types on soil hydrological processes based on future climatic scenarios. Soil moisture and temperature probes were installed at four land use sites, a cropland, a vineyard, a meadow, and a forest area. Based on modeling of long-term changes in soil water content (SWC) using the HYDRUS 1D model, we found that changes in precipitation have a more pronounced effect on soil water content than changes in air temperature. Cropland is at the highest risk of inland water and SWC values above field capacity (FC). The number of days when the average SWC values are above FC is expected to increase up to 109.5 days/year from the current 52.4 days/year by 2081–2090 for the cropland. Our calculations highlight that the forest soil has the highest number of days per year where the SWC is below the wilting point (99.7 days/year), and based on the worst-case scenario, it can increase up to 224.7 days/year. However, general scenario-based estimates showed that vineyards are the most vulnerable to projected climate change in this area. Our study highlights the limitations of potential land use change for specific agricultural areas, and emphasizes the need to implement water retention measures to keep these agricultural settings sustainable.

Suggested Citation

  • Ágota Horel & Tibor Zsigmond & Csilla Farkas & Györgyi Gelybó & Eszter Tóth & Anikó Kern & Zsófia Bakacsi, 2022. "Climate Change Alters Soil Water Dynamics under Different Land Use Types," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-17, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:7:p:3908-:d:779882
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Liu, Chang-An & Li, Feng-Rui & Zhou, Li-Min & Zhang, Rong-He & Yu-Jia, & Lin, Shi-Ling & Wang, Li-Jun & Siddique, Kadambot H.M. & Li, Feng-Min, 2013. "Effect of organic manure and fertilizer on soil water and crop yields in newly-built terraces with loess soils in a semi-arid environment," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 123-132.
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    4. Autovino, Dario & Rallo, Giovanni & Provenzano, Giuseppe, 2018. "Predicting soil and plant water status dynamic in olive orchards under different irrigation systems with Hydrus-2D: Model performance and scenario analysis," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 225-235.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tibor Zsigmond & Péter Braun & János Mészáros & István Waltner & Ágota Horel, 2022. "Investigating Plant Response to Soil Characteristics and Slope Positions in a Small Catchment," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-18, May.
    2. Szabolcs Czigány & Noémi Sarkadi & Dénes Lóczy & Anikó Cséplő & Richárd Balogh & Szabolcs Ákos Fábián & Rok Ciglič & Mateja Ferk & Gábor Pirisi & Marcell Imre & Gábor Nagy & Ervin Pirkhoffer, 2023. "Impact of Agricultural Land Use Types on Soil Moisture Retention of Loamy Soils," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-15, March.

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