IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i16p9162-d615157.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exploring Tourism Recovery in the Post-COVID-19 Period: An Evolutionary Game Theory Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Hui Yan

    (School of Management, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China)

  • Haixiang Wei

    (School of Management, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China)

  • Min Wei

    (School of Management, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China)

Abstract

This study aims to explore the process of tourism recovery in the post-COVID-19 period and the role of stakeholders in promoting such a process. Using evolutionary game theory, this study analyzes the behavior interactions and game equilibrium of stakeholders in the development of tourism by constructing an evolutionary game model amongst governments, tourists and tourism enterprises. Then, the influences of different evolution paths and major parameters affecting stakeholders’ strategy selection are discussed. With the aim of illustrating the role of the stakeholders in the tourism sector’s economic recovery under the impact of the coronavirus pandemic, the numerical experiment was conducted using the MATLAB 2016 software. The results show that the development and change of the emergent public health events affect tourism stakeholders’ behavior strategy. Moreover, the strategic choices of each player, including governments, tourism enterprises and tourists, are also constantly evolving at different stages of the pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Hui Yan & Haixiang Wei & Min Wei, 2021. "Exploring Tourism Recovery in the Post-COVID-19 Period: An Evolutionary Game Theory Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-21, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:16:p:9162-:d:615157
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/16/9162/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/16/9162/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kock, Florian & Nørfelt, Astrid & Josiassen, Alexander & Assaf, A. George & Tsionas, Mike G., 2020. "Understanding the COVID-19 tourist psyche: The Evolutionary Tourism Paradigm," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    2. Élise Labonté-LeMoyne & Shang-Lin Chen & Constantinos K. Coursaris & Sylvain Sénécal & Pierre-Majorique Léger, 2020. "The Unintended Consequences of COVID-19 Mitigation Measures on Mass Transit and Car Use," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-13, November.
    3. Liu, Bingjie & Pennington-Gray, Lori & Krieger, Janice, 2016. "Tourism crisis management: Can the Extended Parallel Process Model be used to understand crisis responses in the cruise industry?," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 310-321.
    4. Rastegar, Raymond, 2020. "Tourism and justice: Rethinking the role of governments," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    5. Waligo, V. & Clarke, J. & Hawkins, R., 2015. "Embedding stakeholders in sustainable tourism strategies," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 90-93.
    6. Li, Qiu & Li, MingChu & Lv, Lin & Guo, Cheng & Lu, Kun, 2017. "A new prediction model of infectious diseases with vaccination strategies based on evolutionary game theory," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 51-60.
    7. Miao, Li & Im, Jinyoung & Fu, Xiaoxiao & Kim, Haemi & Zhang, Yi Estella, 2021. "Proximal and distal post-COVID travel behavior," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    8. Cai, Gangshu & Kock, Ned, 2009. "An evolutionary game theoretic perspective on e-collaboration: The collaboration effort and media relativeness," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 194(3), pages 821-833, May.
    9. Friedman, Daniel, 1991. "Evolutionary Games in Economics," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(3), pages 637-666, May.
    10. Ritchie, Brent W. & Jiang, Yawei, 2019. "A review of research on tourism risk, crisis and disaster management: Launching the annals of tourism research curated collection on tourism risk, crisis and disaster management," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Sundbo, Jon & Orfila-Sintes, Francina & Sorensen, Flemming, 2007. "The innovative behaviour of tourism firms--Comparative studies of Denmark and Spain," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 88-106, February.
    12. Chien, P. Monica & Ritchie, Brent W., 2018. "Understanding intergroup conflicts in tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 177-179.
    13. Seabra, Claudia & Reis, Pedro & Abrantes, José Luís, 2020. "The influence of terrorism in tourism arrivals: A longitudinal approach in a Mediterranean country," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    14. Yang, Yang & Zhang, Hongru & Chen, Xiang, 2020. "Coronavirus pandemic and tourism: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium modeling of infectious disease outbreak," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    15. Aliperti, Giuseppe & Sandholz, Simone & Hagenlocher, Michael & Rizzi, Francesco & Frey, Marco & Garschagen, Matthias, 2019. "Tourism, Crisis, Disaster: An Interdisciplinary Approach," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    16. He, Peng & He, Yong & Xu, Feifei, 2018. "Evolutionary analysis of sustainable tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 76-89.
    17. Blanco, Ester & Lozano, Javier & Rey-Maquieira, Javier, 2009. "A dynamic approach to voluntary environmental contributions in tourism," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 104-114, November.
    18. Sigala, Marianna, 2020. "Tourism and COVID-19: Impacts and implications for advancing and resetting industry and research," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 312-321.
    19. Rui Yang & Guoming Du & Ziwei Duan & Mengjin Du & Xin Miao & Yanhong Tang, 2020. "Knowledge System Analysis on Emergency Management of Public Health Emergencies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-18, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wei Chen & Zhuzhang Yang & Hang Yan & Ying Zhao, 2023. "Promoting Construction Labor Professionalization: An Evolutionary Game Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-20, June.
    2. Zhou, Yuxun & Rahman, Mohammad Mafizur & Khanam, Rasheda & Taylor, Brad R., 2022. "The impact of penalty and subsidy mechanisms on the decisions of the government, businesses, and consumers during COVID-19 ——Tripartite evolutionary game theory analysis," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 9(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yang, Yang & Zhang, Carol X. & Rickly, Jillian M., 2021. "A review of early COVID-19 research in tourism: Launching the Annals of Tourism Research's Curated Collection on coronavirus and tourism1," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah & Li, ShiNa & Song, Haiyan, 2020. "Social costs of tourism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    3. Erica Mingotto & Michele Tamma, 2021. "Covid-19 and recovery strategies. Some insights from an ongoing exploratory study in the Italian hospitality industry: the case of the historic city centre of Venice," Working Papers 02, Department of Management, Università Ca' Foscari Venezia.
    4. Chung-Wei Kuo, 2021. "Can We Return to Our Normal Life When the Pandemic Is under Control? A Preliminary Study on the Influence of COVID-19 on the Tourism Characteristics of Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-17, August.
    5. José F Baños-Pino & David Boto-García & Eduardo Del Valle & Inés Sustacha, 2023. "The impact of COVID-19 on tourists’ length of stay and daily expenditures," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(2), pages 437-459, March.
    6. Yong He & Peng He & Feifei Xu & Chunming (Victor) Shi, 2019. "Sustainable tourism modeling: Pricing decisions and evolutionarily stable strategies for competitive tour operators," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(5), pages 779-799, August.
    7. Celeste Vong & Paulo Rita & Nuno António, 2021. "Health-Related Crises in Tourism Destination Management: A Systematic Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-28, December.
    8. Judit Sulyok & Beáta Fehérvölgyi & Tibor Csizmadia & Attila I. Katona & Zsolt T. Kosztyán, 2023. "Does geography matter? Implications for future tourism research in light of COVID-19," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 128(3), pages 1601-1637, March.
    9. Miao, Li & Im, Jinyoung & Fu, Xiaoxiao & Kim, Haemi & Zhang, Yi Estella, 2021. "Proximal and distal post-COVID travel behavior," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    10. Miraj Ahmed Bhuiyan & Tiziana Crovella & Annarita Paiano & Helena Alves, 2021. "A Review of Research on Tourism Industry, Economic Crisis and Mitigation Process of the Loss: Analysis on Pre, During and Post Pandemic Situation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-27, September.
    11. Elisabetta Reginato & Francesca Cabiddu & Patrizia Modica, 2023. "Le politiche pubbliche a sostegno della crisi da COVID-19 nel settore turistico: un?analisi esplorativa," MANAGEMENT CONTROL, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2023(1), pages 95-118.
    12. Borowiecki, Karol Jan & Pedersen, Maja U. & Mitchell, Sara Beth, 2023. "Using big data to measure cultural tourism in Europe with unprecedented precision," Discussion Papers on Economics 5/2023, University of Southern Denmark, Department of Economics.
    13. Song Yang & Jincai Zhuang & Aifeng Wang & Yancai Zhang, 2019. "Evolutionary Game Analysis of Chinese Food Quality considering Effort Levels," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-13, November.
    14. Bui, Huong T. & Saito, Hiroaki, 2022. "Resource convergence for post disaster recovery," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    15. Chan, Elisa K., 2023. "Pandemic experience and locus of protection," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    16. Yu, Yanan & He, Yong & Zhao, Xuan, 2021. "Impact of demand information sharing on organic farming adoption: An evolutionary game approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    17. Yong Sun & Yalin Wang & Baoyin Liu & Zhongrui Sun, 2023. "Evolutionary game of destination brand co‐construction with government involvement," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 2125-2136, June.
    18. Andrzej Dudek & Daria Jaremen & Izabela Michalska-Dudek & Marek Walesiak, 2021. "Analysis of Changes in Shopping Behaviour of Package Holidays Purchasers Caused by the COVID-19 Pandemic," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 3), pages 691-707.
    19. Zhang, Carol X. & Wang, Liang & Rickly, Jillian M., 2021. "Non-interaction and identity change in Covid-19 tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    20. Tsung-Hung Lee & Fen-Hauh Jan, 2022. "How Does Personality Affect COVID-19 Pandemic Travel Risk Perceptions and Behaviors? Evidence from Segment Analysis in Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:16:p:9162-:d:615157. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.