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Perceptions and Consequences of Socioenvironmental Vulnerability Due to Tropical Cyclones in Los Cabos, Mexico

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  • Elvia Aida Marín-Monroy

    (Departamento de Pesquerías, Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur, 23080 La Paz, Mexico)

  • Victor Hernández-Trejo

    (Departamento de Pesquerías, Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur, 23080 La Paz, Mexico)

  • Miguel Angel Ojeda-Ruiz de la Peña

    (Departamento de Pesquerías, Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur, 23080 La Paz, Mexico)

  • Eleonora Romero-Vadillo

    (Departamento de Pesquerías, Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur, 23080 La Paz, Mexico)

  • Antonina Ivanova-Boncheva

    (Departamento de Pesquerías, Universidad Autónoma de Baja California Sur, 23080 La Paz, Mexico)

Abstract

Climate change has resulted in severe consequences of hydrometeorological phenomena. The municipality of Los Cabos, Mexico, has been the most affected in the state of Baja California Sur by these hazards due to its location on the southern tip of the peninsula, being exposed with approximately 192 km of coastline; it is an environmental heritage that has made the area a primary tourist attraction in Mexico, which has caused a rapid growth in population with little knowledge about cyclone activity. In addition, there is limited knowledge regarding social indicators that measure vulnerability due to tropical cyclones. Based on the above, the objective of this study was to capture community perceptions about vulnerability related to tropical cyclones and to compare the results with real impacts and their index of socioenvironmental vulnerability, which includes indicators of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity, to provide useful information to form strategies to mitigate risk. Data were collected through a questionnaire-survey in 335 randomly selected households; we applied a probability model to the perception analysis and calculated an index to categorize vulnerability. We found differences between perceptions and real affectations, with 64% of households categorized as being highly vulnerable to tropical cyclones, and we detected a lower perception about damage suffered to their households. The variables related to knowledge and local or foreigner status were predictors of vulnerability perception. We included georeferenced data on flooding hazard maps as a strategy for adaptation.

Suggested Citation

  • Elvia Aida Marín-Monroy & Victor Hernández-Trejo & Miguel Angel Ojeda-Ruiz de la Peña & Eleonora Romero-Vadillo & Antonina Ivanova-Boncheva, 2021. "Perceptions and Consequences of Socioenvironmental Vulnerability Due to Tropical Cyclones in Los Cabos, Mexico," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-11, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:12:p:6787-:d:575689
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Henry Kaiser, 1958. "The varimax criterion for analytic rotation in factor analysis," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 23(3), pages 187-200, September.
    2. Elvia Aida Marín-Monroy & Víctor Hernández Trejo & Miguel Angel Ojeda Ruiz de la Pena & Gerzain Avilés Polanco & Nuñez León Barbara, 2020. "Assessment of Socio-Environmental Vulnerability Due to Tropical Cyclones in La Paz, Baja California Sur, Mexico," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-11, February.
    3. Dinan, Terry, 2017. "Projected Increases in Hurricane Damage in the United States: The Role of Climate Change and Coastal Development," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 186-198.
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