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Simulation-Based Business Valuation: Methodical Implementation in the Valuation Practice

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  • Dietmar Ernst

    (International School of Finance (IFS), Nuertingen-Geislingen University, Sigmaringer Straße 25, 72622 Nürtingen, Germany)

Abstract

The simulation-based company valuation values a company on the basis of the risks actually present in the company without having to derive them from the capital market data. The simulation-based company valuation takes into account the market imperfections, such as the probability of insolvency or the lack of diversification, and fulfils the legal requirements and auditing standards for a company valuation. The simulation-based company valuation is an alternative to the CAPM-based company valuation, which, under the assumption of perfect capital markets, derives the risks through capital market comparisons. A simulation-based business valuation has many advantages and is particularly suitable for valuing medium-sized companies, start-ups, companies in a crisis, and for integrating country-specific risks into business valuations. Due to the internationally widespread use of the CAPM, a simulation-based company valuation is still rarely used in practice. This article shows which valuation formulas are necessary for the application of a simulation-based company valuation. These are used for both the certainty equivalent method and for the risk premium method. In a concrete and valuation example, the simulation-based business planning and company valuation is carried out, and the derived valuation formulas are applied in a way that allows a transfer to concrete valuation cases in practice. It is shown that the certainty equivalent method and the risk premium method lead to identical company values.

Suggested Citation

  • Dietmar Ernst, 2022. "Simulation-Based Business Valuation: Methodical Implementation in the Valuation Practice," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-17, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:15:y:2022:i:5:p:200-:d:802181
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dietmar Ernst & Werner Gleißner, 2022. "Paradigm Shift in Finance: The Transformation of the Theory from Perfect to Imperfect Capital Markets Using the Example of Company Valuation," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-13, September.
    2. Philip Sinnadurai, 2022. "“Empirical Corporate Finance: Opportunities and Challenges”—Editorial Synthesis of the Special Issue," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-8, August.
    3. Dietmar Ernst, 2023. "Risk Measures in Simulation-Based Business Valuation: Classification of Risk Measures in Risk Axiom Systems and Application in Valuation Practice," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, January.

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