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Credit Risk in G20 Nations: A Comparative Analysis in International Finance Using Option-Adjusted-Spreads

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Listed:
  • Natalia Boliari

    (Department of Economics & Finance, O’Malley School of Business, Manhattan College, Riverdale, NY 10471-4098, USA)

  • Kudret Topyan

    (Department of Economics & Finance, O’Malley School of Business, Manhattan College, Riverdale, NY 10471-4098, USA)

Abstract

Corporate bond yields are the manifestation of the cost of financing for private firms, and if properly evaluated, they provide researchers with valuable risk information. Within this context, this work is the first study producing corporate yield spreads for all S&P-rated bonds of G20 nations to explain their comparative riskiness. The option-adjusted spread analysis is an advanced method that enables us to compare the bonds with embedded options and different cash flow characteristics. For securities with embedded options, the volatility in the interest rates plays a role in ascertaining whether the option is going to be invoked or not. Therefore, researchers need a spread that, when added to all the forward rates on the tree, will make the theoretical value equal to the market price. The spread that satisfies this condition is called the option-adjusted spread, since it considers the option embedded into the issue. Ultimately, this work investigates the credit risk differentials of S&P rated outstanding bonds issued by the G20 nations to provide international finance professionals with option-adjusted corporate yield spreads showing the credit risk attributable to debt instruments. Detailed results computed using OAS methodology are presented in tables and used to answer the six vital credit-risk-related questions introduced in the introduction.

Suggested Citation

  • Natalia Boliari & Kudret Topyan, 2022. "Credit Risk in G20 Nations: A Comparative Analysis in International Finance Using Option-Adjusted-Spreads," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-23, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:15:y:2022:i:1:p:25-:d:721015
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Choudhry, Moorad & Lizzio, Michele, 2004. "Advanced Fixed Income Analysis," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780750662635.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    option-adjusted spreads; corporate yield spreads; rating agencies; credit risk; G20 nations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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