IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v15y2022i13p4658-d847693.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Hybrid Method for Prediction of Ash Fouling on Heat Transfer Surfaces

Author

Listed:
  • Fangshu Cui

    (School of Data Science and Technology, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, China)

  • Sheng Qin

    (School of Data Science and Technology, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, China)

  • Jing Zhang

    (School of Data Science and Technology, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, China)

  • Mengwei Li

    (School of Electrical and Control Engineering, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, China)

  • Yuanhao Shi

    (School of Electrical and Control Engineering, North University of China, Taiyuan 030051, China
    Department of Automation, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China)

Abstract

Soot blowing optimization is a key, but challenging question in the health management of coal-fired power plant boiler. The monitoring and prediction of ash fouling for heat transfer surfaces is an important way to solve this problem. This study provides a hybrid data-driven model based on advanced machine-learning techniques for ash fouling prediction. First, the cleanliness factor is utilized to represent the level of ash fouling, which is the original data from the distributed control system. The wavelet threshold denoising algorithm is employed as the data preprocessing approach. Based on the empirical mode decomposition (EMD), the denoised cleanliness factor data is decoupled into a series of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and a residual component. Second, the support vector regression (SVR) model is used to fit the residual, and the Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is applied to estimate the IMFs. The cleanliness factor data of ash accumulation on the heat transfer surface of diverse devices are deployed to appraise the performance of the proposed SVR + GPR model in comparison with the sole SVR, sole GPR, SVR + EDM and GPR + EDM models. The illustrative results prove that the hybrid SVR + GPR model is superior to other models and can obtain satisfactory effects both in one-step- and the multistep-ahead cleanliness factor predictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Fangshu Cui & Sheng Qin & Jing Zhang & Mengwei Li & Yuanhao Shi, 2022. "A Hybrid Method for Prediction of Ash Fouling on Heat Transfer Surfaces," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-15, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:13:p:4658-:d:847693
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/13/4658/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/13/4658/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shuiguang Tong & Xiang Zhang & Zheming Tong & Yanling Wu & Ning Tang & Wei Zhong, 2019. "Online Ash Fouling Prediction for Boiler Heating Surfaces based on Wavelet Analysis and Support Vector Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-20, December.
    2. Yuanhao Shi & Mengwei Li & Jie Wen & Yanru Yang & Fangshu Cui & Jianchao Zeng, 2021. "Heat Transfer Efficiency Prediction of Coal-Fired Power Plant Boiler Based on CEEMDAN-NAR Considering Ash Fouling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-19, July.
    3. Li, Xiaoyan, 2020. "Design of energy-conservation and emission-reduction plans of China’s industry: Evidence from three typical industries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    4. Yuanhao Shi & Qiang Li & Jie Wen & Fangshu Cui & Xiaoqiong Pang & Jianfang Jia & Jianchao Zeng & Jingcheng Wang, 2019. "Soot Blowing Optimization for Frequency in Economizers to Improve Boiler Performance in Coal-Fired Power Plant," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-19, July.
    5. Vo Thanh, Hung & Yasin, Qamar & Al-Mudhafar, Watheq J. & Lee, Kang-Kun, 2022. "Knowledge-based machine learning techniques for accurate prediction of CO2 storage performance in underground saline aquifers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 314(C).
    6. Li, Yi & Liu, Kailong & Foley, Aoife M. & Zülke, Alana & Berecibar, Maitane & Nanini-Maury, Elise & Van Mierlo, Joeri & Hoster, Harry E., 2019. "Data-driven health estimation and lifetime prediction of lithium-ion batteries: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-1.
    7. Yuanhao Shi & Jie Wen & Fangshu Cui & Jingcheng Wang, 2019. "An Optimization Study on Soot-Blowing of Air Preheaters in Coal-Fired Power Plant Boilers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-15, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shuiguang Tong & Xiang Zhang & Zheming Tong & Yanling Wu & Ning Tang & Wei Zhong, 2019. "Online Ash Fouling Prediction for Boiler Heating Surfaces based on Wavelet Analysis and Support Vector Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-20, December.
    2. Yuanhao Shi & Mengwei Li & Jie Wen & Yanru Yang & Fangshu Cui & Jianchao Zeng, 2021. "Heat Transfer Efficiency Prediction of Coal-Fired Power Plant Boiler Based on CEEMDAN-NAR Considering Ash Fouling," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-19, July.
    3. Mohammed, Abubakar Gambo & Elfeky, Karem Elsayed & Wang, Qiuwang, 2022. "Recent advancement and enhanced battery performance using phase change materials based hybrid battery thermal management for electric vehicles," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    4. Chang, Chun & Wu, Yutong & Jiang, Jiuchun & Jiang, Yan & Tian, Aina & Li, Taiyu & Gao, Yang, 2022. "Prognostics of the state of health for lithium-ion battery packs in energy storage applications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
    5. Li, Guanzheng & Li, Bin & Li, Chao & Wang, Shuai, 2023. "State-of-health rapid estimation for lithium-ion battery based on an interpretable stacking ensemble model with short-term voltage profiles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PE).
    6. Zhang, Yajun & Liu, Yajie & Wang, Jia & Zhang, Tao, 2022. "State-of-health estimation for lithium-ion batteries by combining model-based incremental capacity analysis with support vector regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
    7. Wang, Huan & Li, Yan-Fu & Zhang, Ying, 2023. "Bioinspired spiking spatiotemporal attention framework for lithium-ion batteries state-of-health estimation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    8. Jiming Lin & Ming Bao & Feng Zhang & Yong Zhang & Jianhong Yang, 2022. "Numerical and Experimental Investigation of a Non-Premixed Double Swirl Combustor," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-16, January.
    9. Haris, Muhammad & Hasan, Muhammad Noman & Qin, Shiyin, 2021. "Early and robust remaining useful life prediction of supercapacitors using BOHB optimized Deep Belief Network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    10. Hu, Xiaosong & Feng, Fei & Liu, Kailong & Zhang, Lei & Xie, Jiale & Liu, Bo, 2019. "State estimation for advanced battery management: Key challenges and future trends," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 1-1.
    11. Tang, Xiaopeng & Liu, Kailong & Lu, Jingyi & Liu, Boyang & Wang, Xin & Gao, Furong, 2020. "Battery incremental capacity curve extraction by a two-dimensional Luenberger–Gaussian-moving-average filter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    12. Hu, Chunsheng & Ma, Liang & Guo, Shanshan & Guo, Gangsheng & Han, Zhiqiang, 2022. "Deep learning enabled state-of-charge estimation of LiFePO4 batteries: A systematic validation on state-of-the-art charging protocols," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    13. Cao, Mengda & Zhang, Tao & Liu, Yajie & Zhang, Yajun & Wang, Yu & Li, Kaiwen, 2022. "An ensemble learning prognostic method for capacity estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on the V-IOWGA operator," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    14. Hang Yin & Yingai Jin & Liang Li & Wenbo Lv, 2022. "Numerical Investigation on the Impact of Exergy Analysis and Structural Improvement in Power Plant Boiler through Co-Simulation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-19, October.
    15. Wen, Shuang & Lin, Ni & Huang, Shengxu & Wang, Zhenpo & Zhang, Zhaosheng, 2023. "Lithium battery health state assessment based on vehicle-to-grid (V2G) real-world data and natural gradient boosting model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    16. Li, Penghua & Zhang, Zijian & Grosu, Radu & Deng, Zhongwei & Hou, Jie & Rong, Yujun & Wu, Rui, 2022. "An end-to-end neural network framework for state-of-health estimation and remaining useful life prediction of electric vehicle lithium batteries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    17. Shaheer Ansari & Afida Ayob & Molla Shahadat Hossain Lipu & Aini Hussain & Mohamad Hanif Md Saad, 2021. "Data-Driven Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Multi-Charging Profile Framework: A Recurrent Neural Network Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-25, December.
    18. Wang, Shuoqi & Guo, Dongxu & Han, Xuebing & Lu, Languang & Sun, Kai & Li, Weihan & Sauer, Dirk Uwe & Ouyang, Minggao, 2020. "Impact of battery degradation models on energy management of a grid-connected DC microgrid," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    19. Sun, Li & Li, Guanru & You, Fengqi, 2020. "Combined internal resistance and state-of-charge estimation of lithium-ion battery based on extended state observer," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    20. Jikai Bi & Jae-Cheon Lee & Hao Liu, 2022. "Performance Comparison of Long Short-Term Memory and a Temporal Convolutional Network for State of Health Estimation of a Lithium-Ion Battery using Its Charging Characteristics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-24, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:13:p:4658-:d:847693. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.