IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jdataj/v9y2024i1p13-d1316869.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Adaptive Forecasting in Energy Consumption: A Bibliometric Analysis and Review

Author

Listed:
  • Manuel Jaramillo

    (Smart Grid Research Group—GIREI, Electrical Engineering Deparment, Salesian Polytechnic University, Quito EC170702, Ecuador)

  • Wilson Pavón

    (Smart Grid Research Group—GIREI, Electrical Engineering Deparment, Salesian Polytechnic University, Quito EC170702, Ecuador)

  • Lisbeth Jaramillo

    (Medical School, Pontifical Catholic University of Ecuador, Quito EC200102, Ecuador)

Abstract

This paper addresses the challenges in forecasting electrical energy in the current era of renewable energy integration. It reviews advanced adaptive forecasting methodologies while also analyzing the evolution of research in this field through bibliometric analysis. The review highlights the key contributions and limitations of current models with an emphasis on the challenges of traditional methods. The analysis reveals that Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, optimization techniques, and deep learning have the potential to model the dynamic nature of energy consumption, but they also have higher computational demands and data requirements. This review aims to offer a balanced view of current advancements and challenges in forecasting methods, guiding researchers, policymakers, and industry experts. It advocates for collaborative innovation in adaptive methodologies to enhance forecasting accuracy and support the development of resilient, sustainable energy systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Jaramillo & Wilson Pavón & Lisbeth Jaramillo, 2024. "Adaptive Forecasting in Energy Consumption: A Bibliometric Analysis and Review," Data, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jdataj:v:9:y:2024:i:1:p:13-:d:1316869
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2306-5729/9/1/13/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2306-5729/9/1/13/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Somu, Nivethitha & M R, Gauthama Raman & Ramamritham, Krithi, 2020. "A hybrid model for building energy consumption forecasting using long short term memory networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    2. Li, Yang & Han, Meng & Shahidehpour, Mohammad & Li, Jiazheng & Long, Chao, 2023. "Data-driven distributionally robust scheduling of community integrated energy systems with uncertain renewable generations considering integrated demand response," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 335(C).
    3. Liu, Zhenkun & Jiang, Ping & Zhang, Lifang & Niu, Xinsong, 2020. "A combined forecasting model for time series: Application to short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    4. Smarra, Francesco & Jain, Achin & de Rubeis, Tullio & Ambrosini, Dario & D’Innocenzo, Alessandro & Mangharam, Rahul, 2018. "Data-driven model predictive control using random forests for building energy optimization and climate control," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 1252-1272.
    5. Ismail Shah & Faheem Jan & Sajid Ali & Tahir Mehmood, 2022. "Functional Data Approach for Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2022, pages 1-14, June.
    6. Fan, Cheng & Xiao, Fu & Zhao, Yang, 2017. "A short-term building cooling load prediction method using deep learning algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 222-233.
    7. Wang, Zhe & Hong, Tianzhen & Piette, Mary Ann, 2020. "Building thermal load prediction through shallow machine learning and deep learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    8. Singh, Priyanka & Dwivedi, Pragya, 2018. "Integration of new evolutionary approach with artificial neural network for solving short term load forecast problem," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 537-549.
    9. He, Feifei & Zhou, Jianzhong & Feng, Zhong-kai & Liu, Guangbiao & Yang, Yuqi, 2019. "A hybrid short-term load forecasting model based on variational mode decomposition and long short-term memory networks considering relevant factors with Bayesian optimization algorithm," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 103-116.
    10. Ghimire, Sujan & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Raj, Nawin & Mi, Jianchun, 2019. "Deep solar radiation forecasting with convolutional neural network and long short-term memory network algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    11. Bedi, Jatin & Toshniwal, Durga, 2019. "Deep learning framework to forecast electricity demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1312-1326.
    12. Afzal, Sadegh & Ziapour, Behrooz M. & Shokri, Afshar & Shakibi, Hamid & Sobhani, Behnam, 2023. "Building energy consumption prediction using multilayer perceptron neural network-assisted models; comparison of different optimization algorithms," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    13. Zhang, Liang & Wen, Jin & Li, Yanfei & Chen, Jianli & Ye, Yunyang & Fu, Yangyang & Livingood, William, 2021. "A review of machine learning in building load prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    14. Komi Nagbe & Jairo Cugliari & Julien Jacques, 2018. "Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Using a Functional State Space Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, May.
    15. Wang, Kejun & Qi, Xiaoxia & Liu, Hongda, 2019. "A comparison of day-ahead photovoltaic power forecasting models based on deep learning neural network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Haizhou Fang & Hongwei Tan & Ningfang Dai & Zhaohui Liu & Risto Kosonen, 2023. "Hourly Building Energy Consumption Prediction Using a Training Sample Selection Method Based on Key Feature Search," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-23, May.
    2. Saima Akhtar & Sulman Shahzad & Asad Zaheer & Hafiz Sami Ullah & Heybet Kilic & Radomir Gono & Michał Jasiński & Zbigniew Leonowicz, 2023. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Models: A Review of Challenges, Progress, and the Road Ahead," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-29, May.
    3. Yin, Linfei & Xie, Jiaxing, 2021. "Multi-temporal-spatial-scale temporal convolution network for short-term load forecasting of power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    4. Wang, Ran & Lu, Shilei & Feng, Wei, 2020. "A novel improved model for building energy consumption prediction based on model integration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    5. Lu, Renzhi & Bai, Ruichang & Ding, Yuemin & Wei, Min & Jiang, Junhui & Sun, Mingyang & Xiao, Feng & Zhang, Hai-Tao, 2021. "A hybrid deep learning-based online energy management scheme for industrial microgrid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    6. Chakraborty, Debaditya & Alam, Arafat & Chaudhuri, Saptarshi & Başağaoğlu, Hakan & Sulbaran, Tulio & Langar, Sandeep, 2021. "Scenario-based prediction of climate change impacts on building cooling energy consumption with explainable artificial intelligence," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    7. Liu, Che & Li, Fan & Zhang, Chenghui & Sun, Bo & Zhang, Guanguan, 2023. "A day-ahead prediction method for high-resolution electricity consumption in residential units," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    8. Venkatraj, V. & Dixit, M.K., 2022. "Challenges in implementing data-driven approaches for building life cycle energy assessment: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    9. Razak Olu-Ajayi & Hafiz Alaka & Hakeem Owolabi & Lukman Akanbi & Sikiru Ganiyu, 2023. "Data-Driven Tools for Building Energy Consumption Prediction: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-20, March.
    10. Li, Guannan & Li, Fan & Ahmad, Tanveer & Liu, Jiangyan & Li, Tao & Fang, Xi & Wu, Yubei, 2022. "Performance evaluation of sequence-to-sequence-Attention model for short-term multi-step ahead building energy predictions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    11. Jason Runge & Radu Zmeureanu, 2021. "A Review of Deep Learning Techniques for Forecasting Energy Use in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-26, January.
    12. Zhang, Xu & Sun, Yongjun & Gao, Dian-ce & Zou, Wenke & Fu, Jianping & Ma, Xiaowen, 2022. "Similarity-based grouping method for evaluation and optimization of dataset structure in machine-learning based short-term building cooling load prediction without measurable occupancy information," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    13. Wang, Zeyu & Liu, Jian & Zhang, Yuanxin & Yuan, Hongping & Zhang, Ruixue & Srinivasan, Ravi S., 2021. "Practical issues in implementing machine-learning models for building energy efficiency: Moving beyond obstacles," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    14. Xiaoyu Lin & Hang Yu & Meng Wang & Chaoen Li & Zi Wang & Yin Tang, 2021. "Electricity Consumption Forecast of High-Rise Office Buildings Based on the Long Short-Term Memory Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-21, August.
    15. Mateo Jesper & Felix Pag & Klaus Vajen & Ulrike Jordan, 2022. "Heat Load Profiles in Industry and the Tertiary Sector: Correlation with Electricity Consumption and Ex Post Modeling," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-32, March.
    16. Shamim Akhtar & Muhamad Zahim Bin Sujod & Syed Sajjad Hussain Rizvi, 2022. "An Intelligent Data-Driven Approach for Electrical Energy Load Management Using Machine Learning Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-19, August.
    17. Yun Duan, 2022. "A Novel Interval Energy-Forecasting Method for Sustainable Building Management Based on Deep Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-18, July.
    18. Somu, Nivethitha & Raman M R, Gauthama & Ramamritham, Krithi, 2021. "A deep learning framework for building energy consumption forecast," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    19. Liu, Jiangyan & Zhang, Qing & Dong, Zhenxiang & Li, Xin & Li, Guannan & Xie, Yi & Li, Kuining, 2021. "Quantitative evaluation of the building energy performance based on short-term energy predictions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    20. Lim, Juin Yau & Safder, Usman & How, Bing Shen & Ifaei, Pouya & Yoo, Chang Kyoo, 2021. "Nationwide sustainable renewable energy and Power-to-X deployment planning in South Korea assisted with forecasting model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jdataj:v:9:y:2024:i:1:p:13-:d:1316869. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.