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Risk Assessment in PPP Projects by Applying Different MCDM Methods and Comparative Results Analysis

Author

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  • Alireza Valipour

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Shiraz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Shiraz 74731-71987, Iran)

  • Hadi Sarvari

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Isfahan (Khorasgan) Branch, Islamic Azad University, Isfahan 81595-39998, Iran)

  • Jolanta Tamošaitiene

    (Faculty of Civil Engineering, Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, Saulėtekio al. 11, LT-10223 Vilnius, Lithuania)

Abstract

Recently, risk assessment has become one of the most challenging issues in the areas of construction and public-private partnerships (PPPs). To address risk assessment issues, various decision-making techniques have been proposed, each with its own specific disadvantages and advantages. This paper investigates step-wise weight assessment ratio analysis (SWARA), complex proportional assessment (COPRAS), fuzzy analytic network process (FANP), fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP), fuzzy technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (FTOPSIS), simple additive weighting (SAW) and evaluation based on distance from average solution (EDAS) in order to define how various multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) methods compare when used for risk assessment in PPP projects. For this study, 5 risk assessment criteria and 10 types of risk used in Iranian highway PPP projects were selected. Four suitability and applicability tests were used to measure agreement between the rankings derived from the MADM methods. Final results show that all techniques had approximately the same rankings of risk assessment, with the SWARA, COPRAS, and EDAS methods performing slightly better. The findings of this study will help the parties in PPP and construction projects to select the best risk assessment method.

Suggested Citation

  • Alireza Valipour & Hadi Sarvari & Jolanta Tamošaitiene, 2018. "Risk Assessment in PPP Projects by Applying Different MCDM Methods and Comparative Results Analysis," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-17, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jadmsc:v:8:y:2018:i:4:p:80-:d:188506
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Jolanta Tamošaitienė & Hadi Sarvari & Daniel W. M. Chan & Matteo Cristofaro, 2020. "Assessing the Barriers and Risks to Private Sector Participation in Infrastructure Construction Projects in Developing Countries of Middle East," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-20, December.
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    5. Shabir Hussain Khahro & Tauha Hussain Ali & Shafiqul Hassan & Noor Yasmin Zainun & Yasir Javed & Shahbaz Aziz Memon, 2021. "Risk Severity Matrix for Sustainable Public-Private Partnership Projects in Developing Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-15, March.
    6. Mohammad Heydari & Kin Keung Lai & Victor Shi & Feng Xiao, 2023. "Public Health Risk Evaluation through Mathematical Optimization in the Process of PPPs," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-19, January.
    7. Yorela Yenifer Esperilla-Niño-de-Guzmán & María de los Ángeles Baeza-Muñoz & Francisco Jesús Gálvez-Sánchez & Valentín Molina-Moreno, 2024. "Public–Private Partnership (PPP) in Road Infrastructure Projects: A Review of Evolution, Approaches, and Prospects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-24, February.
    8. Hadi Sarvari & Alireza Valipour & Nordin Yahya & Norhazilan MD Noor & Michael Beer & Nerija Banaitiene, 2019. "Approaches to Risk Identification in Public–Private Partnership Projects: Malaysian Private Partners’ Overview," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, February.

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