IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fedhle/y2011imayn286.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

What are the implications of rising commodity prices for inflation and monetary policy?

Author

Listed:
  • Charles L. Evans
  • Jonas D. M. Fisher

Abstract

The recent run-ups in oil and other commodity prices and their implications for inflation and monetary policy have grabbed the attention of many commentators in the media. Clearly, higher prices of food and energy end up in the broadest measures of consumer price inflation, such as the Consumer Price Index. Since the mid-1980s, however, sharp increases and decreases in commodity prices have had little, if any, impact on core inflation, the measure that excludes food and energy prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles L. Evans & Jonas D. M. Fisher, 2011. "What are the implications of rising commodity prices for inflation and monetary policy?," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue May.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhle:y:2011:i:may:n:286
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.chicagofed.org/digital_assets/publications/chicago_fed_letter/2011/cflmay2011_286.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gubler, Matthias & Hertweck, Matthias S., 2013. "Commodity price shocks and the business cycle: Structural evidence for the U.S," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 324-352.
    2. Malmendier, Ulrike M. & D'Acunto, Francesco & Weber, Michael, 2020. "Gender Roles and the Gender Expectations Gap," CEPR Discussion Papers 14932, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Boateng, Ebenezer & Asafo-Adjei, Emmanuel & Addison, Alex & Quaicoe, Serebour & Yusuf, Mawusi Ayisat & Abeka, Mac Junior & Adam, Anokye M., 2022. "Interconnectedness among commodities, the real sector of Ghana and external shocks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    4. John C. Williams, 2015. "The view from here: outlook and monetary policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    5. Ferrari, Davide & Ravazzolo, Francesco & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2021. "Forecasting energy commodity prices: A large global dataset sparse approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    6. Martin Fukac, 2011. "Have rising oil prices become a greater threat to price stability?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 96(Q IV), pages 27-53.
    7. John C. Williams, 2015. "Looking forward: the path for monetary policy," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    8. Karol Szafranek, 2015. "Financialisation of the commodity markets. Conclusions from the VARX DCC GARCH," EcoMod2015 8554, EcoMod.
    9. Juan Carlos Berganza & Pedro del Río & Fructuoso Borrallo, 2016. "Determinants and implications of low global inflation rates," Occasional Papers 1608, Banco de España.
    10. Scott Davis, 2012. "The Effect of Commodity Price Shocks on Underlying Inflation: The Role of Central Bank Credibility," Working Papers 272012, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
    11. Mine Yücel, 2018. "Oil and the economy: evolution not revolution," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 225-231, October.
    12. Francesco D’Acunto & Ulrike Malmendier & Juan Ospina & Michael Weber, 2019. "Exposure to Daily Price Changes and Inflation Expectations," NBER Working Papers 26237, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    13. Sek, Siok Kun, 2019. "Unveiling the factors of oil versus non-oil sources in affecting the global commodity prices: A combination of threshold and asymmetric modeling approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 272-280.
    14. Binder, Carola Conces, 2018. "Inflation expectations and the price at the pump," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 1-18.
    15. Bekmuratov, Mukhsinbek & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Granger-causality between oil price and macrovariables: ARDL approach," MPRA Paper 109862, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Ephraim Ugwu & Emma-Ebere Obiajulu, 2018. "An Interaction Between Monetary Policy, Commodity Prices And Inflation In Nigeria, 1980-2015," Oradea Journal of Business and Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 3(1), pages 17-31, March.
    17. John C. Williams, 2015. "Looking forward, forward looking: the path for monetary policy," Speech 138, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedhle:y:2011:i:may:n:286. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Lauren Wiese (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbchus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.