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Is China due for a slowdown?

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Author Info

  • Israel Malkin
  • Mark M. Spiegel

Abstract

Many analysts have predicted that a Chinese economic slowdown is inevitable because the country is approaching the per capita income at which growth in other countries began to decelerate. However, China may escape such a slowdown because of its uneven development. An analysis based on episodes of rapid expansion in four other Asian countries suggests that growth in China’s more developed provinces may slow to 5.5% by the close of the decade. But growth in the country’s less-developed provinces is expected to run at a robust 7.5% pace.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco in its journal FRBSF Economic Letter.

Volume (Year): (2012)
Issue (Month): oct15 ()
Pages:

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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:y:2012:i:oct15:n:2012-31

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Keywords: Economic conditions - China;

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