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Elasticidades de Armington para o Brasil: 1986-2002

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  • Tourinho, Octávio Augusto Fontes
  • Kume, Honorio
  • Pedroso, Ana Cristina

Abstract

We estimate the Armington elasticity for the 28 industrial sectors of the Brazilian input-output table, for the period 1986-2002. The methodology we use takes into account the stochastic properties of the data series, and the effects of the Brazilian foreign trade liberalization that occurred in 1990. We obtain statistically significant estimates of the elasticities for 24 sectors, and their estimated values are in the interval 0.2 to 3.6, with a weighted average of 0.9. For tree sectors the estimated elasticity is not significantly different from zero, and for one sector we find a significant elasticity, but it has the wrong sign.

Suggested Citation

  • Tourinho, Octávio Augusto Fontes & Kume, Honorio & Pedroso, Ana Cristina, 2007. "Elasticidades de Armington para o Brasil: 1986-2002," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 61(2), November.
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgrbe:v:61:y:2007:i:2:a:1042
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    1. Mauricio Bittencourt & Donald Larson & David Kraybill, 2010. "Regional Short-Run Effects Of Trade Liberalization In Brazil," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 65-85.
    2. Bucheli, Marisa & Laens, Silvia & Estrades, Carmen & Terra, María Inés, 2010. "Poverty assessment from integration and employment in Uruguay: A CGE modelling analysis," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2587.
    3. Alvarez, Mariano & De Miguel, Carlos J. & Durán Lima, José Elías & Ludeña, Carlos, 2010. "Central America - European Union Association Agreement: an assessment using general and partial equilibrium," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2584.
    4. Ferreira Filho, Joaquin Bento de Souza, 2010. "World food price increases and Brazil: an opportunity for everyone?," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2589.
    5. Wong, Sara & Argüello, Ricardo, 2010. "Fiscal policies and increased trade openness: poverty impacts in Ecuador," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2585.
    6. Almeida, Eduardo Simões de & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2010. "Is the truth out there? Avaliando as opções de integração econômica para o Brasil [Is the truth out there? Evaluating the economic integration options for Brazil]," MPRA Paper 54443, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Edson Paulo Domingues & Kênia Barreiro de Souza, 2012. "The Welfare Impacts of Changes in the Brazilian Domestic Work Market," Working Papers 96, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
    8. Betarelli, Admir Antonio & Domingues, Edson Paulo & Hewings, Geoffrey John Dennis, 2020. "Transport policy, rail freight sector and market structure: The economic effects in Brazil," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 1-23.
    9. Cassoni, Adriana & Flores, Manuel, 2008. "Methodological shortcomings in estimating Armington elasticities," Conference papers 331813, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    10. Samir Cury & Allexandro Mori Coelho, 2006. "From Revenue To Value Added Taxes: Welfare and Fiscal Efficiency Effects In Brazil," EcoMod2006 272100013, EcoMod.
    11. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Fernando Salgueiro Perobelli & Edson Paulo Domingues & Mauricio Aguiar, 2011. "Assessing the ex ante economic impacts of transportation infrastructure policies in Brazil," Journal of Development Effectiveness, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 3(1), pages 44-61.
    12. Flôres, Renato G., 2010. "Are CGE models still useful for economic policymaking?," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2582.
    13. -, 2010. "Modeling public policies in Latin America and the Caribbean," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2581 edited by Eclac.
    14. Medvedev, Denis & Van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2010. "Climate change in Latin America: impacts and mitigation policy options," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2590.
    15. Betarelli Junior, Admir Antonio & Faria, Weslem Rodrigues & Gonçalves Montenegro, Rosa Livia & Bahia, Domitila Santos & Gonçalves, Eduardo, 2020. "Research and development, productive structure and economic effects: Assessing the role of public financing in Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 235-253.
    16. Giordano, Paolo & Watanuki, Masakazu, 2010. "Andean countries at a crossroads: evaluating pro-poor trade integration options," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2583.
    17. Betarelli Junior, Admir Antonio & Faria, Weslem Rodrigues & Proque, Andressa Lemes & Perobelli, Fernando Salgueiro & de Almeida Vale, Vinicius, 2021. "COVID-19, public agglomerations and economic effects: Assessing the recovery time of passenger transport services in Brazil," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 254-272.
    18. Samir Cury & Allexandro Mori Coelh & Euclides Pedroso, 2007. "The Role of Income Transfer Programs in the Fall of Income Inequality in Brasil : a CGE Micro-Simulation Approach," EcoMod2007 23900017, EcoMod.
    19. Tourinho, Octavio A.F. & Kume, Honorio & Pedroso, Ana Cristina de Souza, 2010. "Armington elasticities for Brazil," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2591.
    20. Sbarai, Nathalia & Miranda, Silvia Helena Galvao de, 2012. "Estimation of Tariff Equivalent for NTM on Brazilian beef exports to the European Union," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126496, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    21. Alexandre Porsse & Felipe Madruga, 2015. "Vertical versus Horizontal Tax Incentives Policies in Brazil: Assessing the Impacts Using a Computable General Equilibrium Model," ERSA conference papers ersa15p839, European Regional Science Association.
    22. Proque, Andressa Lemes & Betarelli Junior, Admir Antonio & Perobelli, Fernando Salgueiro, 2022. "Fuel tax, cross subsidy and transport: Assessing the effects on income and consumption distribution in Brazil," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    23. Hasegawa, Marcos & Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins, 2006. "Investimento e produtividade dos fatores primários: uma análise de equilíbrio geral aplicado [Investment and productivity of primary factors: a general applied general equilibrium analysis]," MPRA Paper 54555, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    24. Cury, Samir & Mori Coelho, Allexandro, 2010. "From Revenue to Value Added Taxes: Welfare and Fiscal Efficiency Effects in Brazil," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 64(4), December.
    25. Chisari, Omar O. & Maquieyra, Javier & Romero, Carlos Adrián, 2010. "CGE lessons on liberalization of trade in services: Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay," Libros de la CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 2588.

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