IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fan/rissri/vhtml10.3280-riss2020-001004.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Long-term financial sustainability: An evaluation methodology with threats considerations

Author

Listed:
  • Lidiya Guryanova
  • Olena Bolotova
  • Vitalii Gvozdytskyi
  • Sergienko Olena

Abstract

It is shown that one of the directions for increasing the efficiency of managing corporate systems (CS) under the influence of a large number of destabilizing fa-tors ("shocks", threats) is the development of a set of models of estimation and analysis of the long-term stability of CS in proactive contour of management, which allow timely diagnosing a decrease in the company?s security level and adopting effective preventive management decisions. A review of existing approa-ches to the formation of such a set of models showed a number of limitations, the result of which is a low forecasting accuracy. The proposed approach, unlike the existing ones, allows to: 1) determine the optimal dimension of the information space of diagnostic factors; 2) find the optimal number of classes of situations for which differentiated management strategies can be developed; 3) determine the period of pre-emption, which does not require updating the models of retrospective diagnostics. This makes it possible to identify the class of not only current, but also forecast situations for a given horizon of proactive management and to choose an adequate preventive strategy.

Suggested Citation

  • Lidiya Guryanova & Olena Bolotova & Vitalii Gvozdytskyi & Sergienko Olena, 2020. "Long-term financial sustainability: An evaluation methodology with threats considerations," RIVISTA DI STUDI SULLA SOSTENIBILITA', FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 0(1), pages 47-69.
    • Handle: RePEc:fan:rissri:v:html10.3280/riss2020-001004
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.francoangeli.it/riviste/Scheda_Rivista.aspx?IDArticolo=66825&Tipo=ArticoloPDF
    Download Restriction: Single articles can be downloaded buying download credits, for info: https://www.francoangeli.it/DownloadCredit
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Giuseppe Vito & Cristina Simone & Francesca Iandolo & Pietro Vito, 2018. "Sustainability in the Italian Scientific Perspective: A Focus on the Economic and Managerial Points of View," RIVISTA DI STUDI SULLA SOSTENIBILITA', FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 0(2), pages 9-26.
    2. Stolbov, Mikhail & Shchepeleva, Maria, 2020. "Systemic risk, economic policy uncertainty and firm bankruptcies: Evidence from multivariate causal inference," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    3. Nyitrai, Tamás & Virág, Miklós, 2019. "The effects of handling outliers on the performance of bankruptcy prediction models," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 34-42.
    4. Marianna Oliskevych & Galyna Beregova & Viktor Tokarchuk, 2018. "Fuel Consumption in Ukraine: Evidence from Vector Error Correction Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(5), pages 58-63.
    5. Tamara Merkulova & Tatyana Bitkova & Kateryna Kononova, 2016. "Tax Factors of Sustainable Development: System Dynamics Approach towards Tax Evasion Analyses," RIVISTA DI STUDI SULLA SOSTENIBILITA', FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2016(1), pages 35-47.
    6. Li, Leon & Faff, Robert, 2019. "Predicting corporate bankruptcy: What matters?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1-19.
    7. Marianna Oliskevych & Iryna Lukianenko, 2019. "Labor force participation in Eastern European countries: nonlinear modeling," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(6), pages 1258-1279, October.
    8. Michal Fabuš & Nadiya Dubrovina & Lidiya Guryanova & Natalia Chernova & Olexandr Zyma, 2019. "Strengthening financial decentralization: driver or risk factor for sustainable socio-economic development of territories?," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 7(2), pages 875-890, December.
    9. Matviychuk, A., 2010. "Bankruptcy Prediction In Transformational Economy: Discriminant And Fuzzy Logic Approaches," Fuzzy Economic Review, International Association for Fuzzy-set Management and Economy (SIGEF), vol. 0(1), pages 21-38, May.
    10. Lidiya Guryanova & Tamara Klebanova & Tetiana Trunova, 2017. "Modeling the Financial Strategy of the Enterprise in an Unstable Environment," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 91-109.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Valeriy Kozytskyy & Marianna Oliskevych & Galyna Beregova & Nelya Pabyrivska, 2023. "Output and Energy Prices Fluctuations in Response to Market Shocks: System Dynamic Modeling," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 462-466, March.
    2. Walas-Trębacz Jolanta & Bartusik Katarzyna, 2023. "Identification of risk types in innovation projects," International Journal of Contemporary Management, Sciendo, vol. 59(4), pages 74-93, December.
    3. Nadiia Davydenko & Svitlana Boiko & Olena Cherniavska & Maryna Nehrey, 2023. "Analysis of the Impact of State-Owned Banks on the Sustainability of Public Finances," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-23, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fedorova, Elena & Ledyaeva, Svetlana & Drogovoz, Pavel & Nevredinov, Alexandr, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and bankruptcy filings," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Kondoz, Mehmet & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Athari, Seyed Alireza, 2021. "Time-frequency dependencies of financial and economic risks in South American countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 170-181.
    3. Lin, Boqiang & Bai, Rui, 2021. "Oil prices and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from global, oil importers, and exporters’ perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    4. Beata Gavurova & Sylvia Jencova & Radovan Bacik & Marta Miskufova & Stanislav Letkovsky, 2022. "Artificial intelligence in predicting the bankruptcy of non-financial corporations," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 13(4), pages 1215-1251, December.
    5. Satyam Kumar & Yelleti Vivek & Vadlamani Ravi & Indranil Bose, 2023. "Causal Inference for Banking Finance and Insurance A Survey," Papers 2307.16427, arXiv.org.
    6. Yuan, Kunpeng & Chi, Guotai & Zhou, Ying & Yin, Hailei, 2022. "A novel two-stage hybrid default prediction model with k-means clustering and support vector domain description," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    7. Mohammad Mahdi Mousavi & Jamal Ouenniche & Kaoru Tone, 2023. "A dynamic performance evaluation of distress prediction models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 756-784, July.
    8. Abinzano, Isabel & Gonzalez-Urteaga, Ana & Muga, Luis & Sanchez, Santiago, 2020. "Performance of default-risk measures: the sample matters," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    9. Elena Gregova & Katarina Valaskova & Peter Adamko & Milos Tumpach & Jaroslav Jaros, 2020. "Predicting Financial Distress of Slovak Enterprises: Comparison of Selected Traditional and Learning Algorithms Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-17, May.
    10. Dariusz Sala & Kostiantyn Pavlov & Olena Pavlova & Anton Demchuk & Liubomur Matiichuk & Dariusz Cichoń, 2023. "Determining of the Bankrupt Contingency as the Level Estimation Method of Western Ukraine Gas Distribution Enterprises’ Competence Capacity," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-13, February.
    11. Li, Houjian & Li, Qingman & Huang, Xinya & Guo, Lili, 2023. "Do green bonds and economic policy uncertainty matter for carbon price? New insights from a TVP-VAR framework," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    12. Marfatia, Hardik & Zhao, Wan-Li & Ji, Qiang, 2020. "Uncovering the global network of economic policy uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    13. Ning Wu & Jingyi Zhao & Mohammed Musah & Zhiqiang Ma & Lijuan Zhang & Yutong Zhou & Yongzheng Su & Joseph Kwasi Agyemang & Juliana Anyei Asiamah & Siqi Cao & Linnan Yao & Kaodui Li, 2023. "Do Liquidity and Capital Structure Predict Firms’ Financial Sustainability? A Panel Data Analysis on Quoted Non-Financial Establishments in Ghana," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-21, January.
    14. Vadlamani Ravi & Vadlamani Madhav, 2020. "Optimizing the reliability of a bank with Logistic Regression and Particle Swarm Optimization," Papers 2004.11122, arXiv.org.
    15. Carmona, Pedro & Dwekat, Aladdin & Mardawi, Zeena, 2022. "No more black boxes! Explaining the predictions of a machine learning XGBoost classifier algorithm in business failure," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    16. Tomasz Korol, 2019. "Dynamic Bankruptcy Prediction Models for European Enterprises," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-15, December.
    17. Ji, Yu & Shi, Lina & Zhang, Shunming, 2022. "Digital finance and corporate bankruptcy risk: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    18. John Oliver, 2020. "The Economic Policy Uncertainty and Firm Investment in Germany," Journal of Accounting, Business and Finance Research, Scientific Publishing Institute, vol. 10(1), pages 34-41.
    19. Olha Hlushchenko, 2016. "Well-being funding: essence and estimation method," RIVISTA DI STUDI SULLA SOSTENIBILITA', FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2016(2), pages 45-55.
    20. Dmytro Zherlitsyn & Stanislav Levytskyi & Denys Mykhailyk & Victoriia Ogloblina, 2019. "Assessment of Financial Potential as a Determinant of Enterprise Development," Papers 1912.05635, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fan:rissri:v:html10.3280/riss2020-001004. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Stefania Rosato (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.francoangeli.it/riviste/sommario.aspx?IDRivista=168 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.