IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ers/journl/vxxy2017i3ap275-283.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Information-Analytical System for Forecasting Indicators of the Social and Economic Sphere of the Russian Federation

Author

Listed:
  • Olga Viktorovna Kitova
  • Viktoriya Mikhailovna Savinova
  • Ludmila Pavlovna Dyakonova
  • Sergey Naumovich Bruskin
  • Anton Andreevich Beshmelnitskiy
  • Tamara Petrovna Danko
  • Vladimir Dmitrievich Sekerin

Abstract

Currently, the need for the real-time evaluation of the functioning effectiveness of the subjects of the Russian Federation is observed. To achieve this goal, the situation centers, able to perform the monitoring of the socio-economic indicators both at the federal and regional levels, are created in Russia. At the same time, it is necessary to implement the information-analytical system to make forecasts for the following periods, as well as to conduct a plan-fact analysis based on the available data, using various methods. In the framework of this study, the situation center of Federal State Budgetary Educational Institution of Higher Education “Plekhanov Russian University of Economics†(FSBEI HE "Plekhanov RUE") is considered. The development of the information-analytical system based on a hybrid forecasting model, integrated with the software of the center under consideration, is proposed by the authors. The examples of the calculations and the estimation of their accuracy and quality, obtained with the prototype of the system under development, are presented.

Suggested Citation

  • Olga Viktorovna Kitova & Viktoriya Mikhailovna Savinova & Ludmila Pavlovna Dyakonova & Sergey Naumovich Bruskin & Anton Andreevich Beshmelnitskiy & Tamara Petrovna Danko & Vladimir Dmitrievich Sekerin, 2017. "Information-Analytical System for Forecasting Indicators of the Social and Economic Sphere of the Russian Federation," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4A), pages 275-283.
  • Handle: RePEc:ers:journl:v:xx:y:2017:i:3a:p:275-283
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ersj.eu/dmdocuments/2017-xx-4-a-19.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Elena Ivanova Danilina & Oksana Sergeevna Gaifutdinova & Nikolay Kuznetsof, 2015. "Reduction in Budgetary Expenditure on Social Services as one of the Russian Economy Stabilization Plan Direction," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 247-260.
    2. Eleftherios Thalassinos & Diana-Mihaela Pociovalisteanu, 2007. "A Time Series Model for the Romanian Stock Market," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3-4), pages 57-72.
    3. Tatiana Kossova & Elena Kossova & Maria Sheluntcova, 2014. "Estimating the Relationship Between Rate of Time Preferences And Socio-Economic Factors In Russia," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 39-68.
    4. Eleftherios I. Thalassinos & Mike P. Hanias & Panayiotis G. Curtis & John E. Thalassinos, 2013. "Forecasting Financial Indices: The Baltic Dry Indices," International Journal of Maritime, Trade & Economic Issues (IJMTEI), International Journal of Maritime, Trade & Economic Issues (IJMTEI), vol. 0(1), pages 109-130.
    5. I.P. Denisova & S.N. Rukina & K.N. Samoylova & A.S. Takmazyan, 2017. "Financial Instruments of the Socially Responsible Economy," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 284-293.
    6. Eleftherios I. Thalassinos & Mike P. Hanias & Panayiotis G. Curtis & Yannis E. Thalassinos, 2009. "Chaos theory: forecasting the freight rate of an oil tanker," International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(1), pages 76-88.
    7. M. Hanias & P. Curtis & E. Thalassinos, 2012. "Time Series Prediction with Neural Networks for the Athens Stock Exchange Indicator," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 23-32.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. A.E. Skhvediani & T.Y. Kudryavtseva, 2018. "The Socioeconomic Development of Russia: Some Historical Aspects," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 195-207.
    2. repec:ers:journl:v:volumexxi:y:2018:i:issue4:p:577-587 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. L.B. Sitdikova & S.J. Starodumova & M.A. Volkova, 2018. "Aspects of Transactions by Business Entities in Civil Legislation," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 557-566.
    4. repec:ers:journl:v:volumexxi:y:2018:i:issue4:p:557-566 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. repec:ers:journl:v:volumexxi:y:2018:i:issue4:p:195-207 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. I.V. Takmasheva & D.V. Sannikov, 2018. "Assessing the Potential of Small Business Development in the Northern Region of Russia Based on Correlation Analysis," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 577-587.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Risna Triandhari & Sugiharso Safuan & M. Syamsudin & Halim Alamsyah, 2017. "The Effect of Allocation of Dividend of the Regional Government-Owned Enterprises and the Empowerment Efforts on the Revenue of Regional Government: The Case of Indonesia," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 244-258.
    2. Anis Chariri & Indira Januarti, 2017. "Audit Committee Characteristics and Integrated Reporting:Empirical Study of Companies Listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 305-318.
    3. Isabella Damdinovna Elyakova & Aleksandr Andreyevich Khristoforov & Aleksandr Lvovich Elyakov & Larisa Ivanovna Danilova & Tamara Aleksandrovna Karataeva & Elena Vladimirovna Danilova, 2017. "Forecast Scenarios of World Prices for Natural Gas," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4A), pages 284-297.
    4. Alexander Lvovich Elyakov & Isabella Damdinovna Elyakova & Larisa Ivanovna Danilova & Alexander Andreevich Khristoforov & Oleg Ilich Kondratev & Valentina Vasilyevna Grigoryeva, 2017. "History and Prospects of Natural Gas Pricing in Continental Europe in Conditions of Instability of World Oil Prices," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4A), pages 323-338.
    5. Mike P. Hanias & Lykourgos Magafas, 2013. "Predicting the Production of Total Industry in Greece with Chaos Theory and Neural Networks," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 59-67.
    6. V.V. Kolmakov & L.N. Rudneva & Y.E. Thalassinos, 2020. "Public Survey Instruments for Business Administration Using Social Network Analysis and Big Data," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 3-18.
    7. Zhanarys S. Raimbekov & Bakyt U. Syzdykbayeva & Kamshat P. Mussina & Luiza P. Moldashbayeva & Bakytzhamal A. Zhumataeva, 2017. "The Study of the Logistics Development Effectiveness in the Eurasian Economic Union Countries and Measures to Improve it," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 260-276.
    8. Pudji Astuty, 2017. "The Influence of Fundamental Factors and Systematic Risk to Stock Prices on Companies Listed in the Indonesian Stock Exchange," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4A), pages 230-240.
    9. Aty Herawati & Angger Setiadi Putra, 2018. "The Influence of Fundamental Analysis on Stock Prices: The Case of Food and Beverage Industries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 316-326.
    10. Nurul Hidayah & Wahyudin Zarkasyi, 2017. "The Effect of Human Resources Management Competency and the Role of Culture on Accrual Accounting Implementation Effectiveness and the Impact on Quality of Accounting Information," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 183-199.
    11. R. Parianom, 2018. "Economic Growth and Financial Intermediation in Southest Asia," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 337-347.
    12. Dariusz Bernacki, 2021. "Revealing the Impact of Increased Tanker Size on Shipping Costs," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 604-621.
    13. repec:ers:journl:v:volumexxi:y:2018:i:issue4:p:195-207 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. V.A. Slepov & V.K. Burlachkov & T.P. Danko & M.E. Kosov & I.I. Volkov & N.V. Ivolgina & V.D. Sekerin, 2017. "Model for Integrating Monetary and Fiscal Policies to Stimulate Economic Growth and Sustainable Debt Dynamics," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4A), pages 457-470.
    15. Eva Cipovová & Petra Jílková, 2018. "Loan Product Policy and Rentability Based on Interest Rates in Czech Republic," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 575-585.
    16. Budi Frensidy & Irene Josephine & Ignatius Roni Setyawan, 2019. "Price Formation around Dividend Announcement Date: Empirical Evidence in Indonesian Stock Exchange," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 106-118.
    17. Alexander Mikhailovich Batkovskiy & Viktor Antonovich Nesterov & Olga Olegovna Reshetova & Elena Georgievna Semenova & Alena Vladimirovna Fomina, 2017. "Dynamic Model of Optimal Production Control in a Hysteretic Behaviour of Economic Agents," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2A), pages 355-379.
    18. Dr. Md. Izhar Ahmad & Tariq Masood, 2015. "Macroeconomic Implications of Capital Inflows in India," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(4), pages 53-71.
    19. Brikota T.B. & Delenyan B.A. & Ksenz M.V. & Fedorova N.B., 2018. "Prospects for the Development of Sea Transport of the Russian Federation in World Trade," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 2), pages 823-832.
    20. S.S. Rahi AL-Hisnawy & A.A. Shareef Al-Morshed, 2018. "Predicting the Market Value of Shares Using Financial Data: A Study from the Iraqi Stock Exchange," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 2), pages 754-766.
    21. Andrzej S. Grzelakowski, 2023. "Costs and Benefits of the Disruptions Caused by the Pandemic Crisis and the Container Shipping Market’s Turbulences and their Allocation within the Global Supply Chains: An Analytical Approach," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 133-151.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    econometric models; mathematical simulation of the economic systems; neural network simulation; forecasting; information-analytical system; situation center. JEL Classification: O10; P50;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • P50 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ers:journl:v:xx:y:2017:i:3a:p:275-283. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Marios Agiomavritis (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ersj.eu/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.