IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ers/journl/vxxiy2018ispecial2p754-766.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predicting the Market Value of Shares Using Financial Data: A Study from the Iraqi Stock Exchange

Author

Listed:
  • S.S. Rahi AL-Hisnawy
  • A.A. Shareef Al-Morshed

Abstract

The objective of the study is to identify the importance of financial data and its role in forecasting the market value of listed companies in the Iraqi Stock Exchange. The independent variables of the study model were the book value of the shareholders' equity in the company, as well as the size of the company as measured by sales, the return to shareholders' equity and the rate of growth in return on equity. The study used the multiple regression model to demonstrate the effect of this financial information on stock prices. The results of this study, based on data of 21 companies for three years, indicate the positive and strong relationship between independent variables and the dependent variable in 2012 and the weak positive relationship for the years 2013 and 2014. The study showed that the majority of these financial variables did not significantly affect the level of market prices of these companies, except for the growth rate of the return to shareholders' equity in the company, which had an important and positive effect on the market value of the company's shares for the year 2012.

Suggested Citation

  • S.S. Rahi AL-Hisnawy & A.A. Shareef Al-Morshed, 2018. "Predicting the Market Value of Shares Using Financial Data: A Study from the Iraqi Stock Exchange," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 2), pages 754-766.
    • Handle: RePEc:ers:journl:v:xxi:y:2018:i:special2:p:754-766
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ersj.eu/journal/1301/download
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Simon Grima & Luca Caruana, 2017. "The Effect of the Financial Crisis on Emerging Markets: A Comparative Analysis of the Stock Market Situation Before and After," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 727-753.
    2. Eleftherios I. Thalassinos & Mike P. Hanias & Panayiotis G. Curtis & John E. Thalassinos, 2013. "Forecasting Financial Indices: The Baltic Dry Indices," International Journal of Maritime, Trade & Economic Issues (IJMTEI), International Journal of Maritime, Trade & Economic Issues (IJMTEI), vol. 0(1), pages 109-130.
    3. G.P. Kourtis & L.P. Κourtis & M.P. Kourtis & P. Curtis, 2017. "Fundamental Analysis, Stock Returns and High B/M Companies," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(4), pages 3-18.
    4. Oldfield, George S, Jr, 1977. "Financial Aspects of the Private Pension System," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 9(1), pages 48-54, February.
    5. M. Hanias & P. Curtis & E. Thalassinos, 2012. "Time Series Prediction with Neural Networks for the Athens Stock Exchange Indicator," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 23-32.
    6. Eleftherios I. Thalassinos & Theodoros Stamatopoulos & Pantelis E. Thalassinos, 2015. "The European Sovereign Debt Crisis and the Role of Credit Swaps," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 20, pages 605-639, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    7. repec:ers:journl:v:v:y:2017:i:4:p:3-18 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rangga Handika & Sania Ashraf, 2018. "Financialized Commodities and Stock Indices Volatilities," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 153-164.
    2. Esteban Miguélez & Jonathan Spiteri & Simon Grima, 2019. "Establishing the Contributing Factors to the Resurrection of PIIGS Banks Following the Crisis: A Panel Data Analysis," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 3-34.
    3. R. Parianom, 2018. "Economic Growth and Financial Intermediation in Southest Asia," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 337-347.
    4. Eva Cipovová & Petra Jílková, 2018. "Loan Product Policy and Rentability Based on Interest Rates in Czech Republic," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 575-585.
    5. Letife Özdemir & Ercan Özen & Simon Grima & Yannis Thalassinos, 2019. "Causality between Spot and Future Markets of the Borsa Istanbul Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average," International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, International Journal of Finance, Insurance and Risk Management, vol. 9(3-4), pages 115-131.
    6. R. Parianom, 2018. "Economic Growth and Financial Intermediation in Southest Asia," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 337-347.
    7. Sudarso Kaderi Wiryono & Kharisya Ayu Effendi, 2018. "Islamic Bank Credit Risk: Macroeconomic and Bank Specific Factors," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 53-62.
    8. repec:ers:journl:v:vi:y:2018:i:2:p:39-55 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. R. Rupeika-Apoga & S.H. Zaidi & Y.E. Thalassinos & E.I. Thalassinos, 2018. "Bank Stability: The Case of Nordic and Non-Nordic Banks in Latvia," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 39-55.
    10. Agus Satrya Wibowo & Imam Ghozali, 2018. "Does Value Creation Drives Growth Illusion? An Evidence from Indonesia Stock Exchange," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 491-506.
    11. Aty Herawati & Angger Setiadi Putra, 2018. "The Influence of Fundamental Analysis on Stock Prices: The Case of Food and Beverage Industries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 316-326.
    12. G.P. Kourtis & L.P. Κourtis & M.P. Kourtis & P. Curtis, 2017. "Fundamental Analysis, Stock Returns and High B/M Companies," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(4), pages 3-18.
    13. repec:ers:journl:v:volumexxi:y:2018:i:issue4:p:435-458 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. R.M. Mahboub, 2018. "The Impact of Information and Communication Technology Investments on the Performance of Lebanese Banks," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 435-458.
    15. Dr. Md. Izhar Ahmad & Tariq Masood, 2015. "Macroeconomic Implications of Capital Inflows in India," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(4), pages 53-71.
    16. repec:ers:journl:v:v:y:2017:i:4:p:3-18 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Aty Herawati & Angger Setiadi Putra, 2018. "The Influence of Fundamental Analysis on Stock Prices: The Case of Food and Beverage Industries," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 316-326.
    18. V.V. Kolmakov & L.N. Rudneva & Y.E. Thalassinos, 2020. "Public Survey Instruments for Business Administration Using Social Network Analysis and Big Data," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 3-18.
    19. Xanthippi Chapsa & Nikolaos Tabakis & Athanasios L. Athanasenas, 2018. "Investigating the Catching-Up Hypothesis Using Panel Unit Root Tests: Evidence from the PIIGS," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 250-271.
    20. Andrey Vladimirovich Bakhteev & Sergey Valentinovich Arzhenovskiy & Natalya Nikolayevna Khakhonova & Yelena Vyacheslavovna Kuznetsova, 2017. "Use of Regression Models when Performing Fraud Risk Assessment Procedures in the Audit Process," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3B), pages 22-33.
    21. N.N. Sawitri & P. Astuty, 2018. "Market Anomalies and Effect on Returns," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 630-649.
    22. Olga Viktorovna Kitova & Viktoriya Mikhailovna Savinova & Ludmila Pavlovna Dyakonova & Sergey Naumovich Bruskin & Anton Andreevich Beshmelnitskiy & Tamara Petrovna Danko & Vladimir Dmitrievich Sekerin, 2017. "Information-Analytical System for Forecasting Indicators of the Social and Economic Sphere of the Russian Federation," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4A), pages 275-283.
    23. Risna Triandhari & Sugiharso Safuan & M. Syamsudin & Halim Alamsyah, 2017. "The Effect of Allocation of Dividend of the Regional Government-Owned Enterprises and the Empowerment Efforts on the Revenue of Regional Government: The Case of Indonesia," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 244-258.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market Value; Return Ratio; Size of the Company; Rate of Growth in Return to Shareholders' Equity.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
    • C81 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access
    • D46 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Value Theory
    • D53 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ers:journl:v:xxi:y:2018:i:special2:p:754-766. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Marios Agiomavritis (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ersj.eu/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.