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La infraestructura y el crecimiento económico en México

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Author Info
Noriega, Antonio (Universidad de Guanajuato)
Fontenla, Matías (Universidad de Nuevo México)

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Abstract

We develop a model where investment in infrastructure complements private investment. We then provide time series evidence for Mexico on both the impact of public infrastructure on output, and on the optimality with which levels of infrastructure have been set. In particular, we look at the long-run effects of shocks to infrastructure on real output. We compute Long-Run Derivatives for kilowatts of electricity, roads and phone lines, and find that shocks to infrastructure have positive and significant effects on real output for electricity and roads. These effects of infrastructure on output are in agreement with growth models where long-run growth is driven by endogenous factors of production. Our results further indicate that for electricity and roads, infrastructure provision has not reached growth maximizing levels.// Establecemos un modelo teórico en que la inversión en infraestructura complementa la inversión privada. Luego aportamos datos de series de tiempo en México del efecto de la infraestructura pública en la producción, y si estos niveles han sido fijados de manera óptima. En particular, estudiamos los efectos de largo plazo de choques en infraestructura en la producción real. Calculamos derivadas de largo plazo para los kilovatios de electricidad, los kilómetros de caminos y el número de líneas telefónicas instaladas. Encontramos que los choques en la infraestructura tienen efectos positivos y significativos en la producción para electricidad y caminos. Nuestros resultados respaldan los modelos en los que el crecimiento de largo plazo es causado por factores de producción endógenos. Para la electricidad y los caminos, la provisión de infraestructura no alcanza el nivel óptimo que maximiza el crecimiento.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Fondo de Cultura Económica in its journal El Trimestre Económico.

Volume (Year): LXXIV (4) (2007)
Issue (Month): 296 (octubre-diciembre)
Pages: 885-900
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:74:y:2007:i:296:p:885-900

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Web page: http://www.fondodeculturaeconomica.com/

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Postal: Order print issues with Irma Barron at Fondo de Cultura Económica, El Trimestre Económico, Carretera Picacho Ajusco 227, 6° piso,Col. Bosques del Pedregal, CP 14738, Tlalpan, Distrito Federal, México
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Web: http://www.eltrimestreeconomico.com/

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Related research
Keywords: economic growth; public infrastructure; long-run derivative; crecimiento economico; infraestructura publica; derivada de largo plazo;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
O40 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
O54 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-3.


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