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Extremes of Gaussian processes over an infinite horizon

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  • Dieker, A.B.

Abstract

Consider a centered separable Gaussian process Y with a variance function that is regularly varying at infinity with index 2H[set membership, variant](0,2). Let [phi] be a 'drift' function that is strictly increasing, regularly varying at infinity with index [beta]>H, and vanishing at the origin. Motivated by queueing and risk models, we investigate the asymptotics for u-->[infinity] of the probability P(supt[greater-or-equal, slanted]0Yt-[phi](t)>u) as u-->[infinity]. To obtain the asymptotics, we tailor the celebrated double sum method to our general framework. Two different families of correlation structures are studied, leading to four qualitatively different types of asymptotic behavior. A generalized Pickands' constant appears in one of these cases. Our results cover both processes with stationary increments (including Gaussian integrated processes) and self-similar processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Dieker, A.B., 2005. "Extremes of Gaussian processes over an infinite horizon," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 207-248, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:spapps:v:115:y:2005:i:2:p:207-248
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hüsler, J. & Piterbarg, V., 1999. "Extremes of a certain class of Gaussian processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 83(2), pages 257-271, October.
    2. Hüsler, J. & Piterbarg, V., 2004. "On the ruin probability for physical fractional Brownian motion," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 113(2), pages 315-332, October.
    3. Debicki, Krzysztof, 2002. "Ruin probability for Gaussian integrated processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 98(1), pages 151-174, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dȩbicki, Krzysztof & Hashorva, Enkelejd & Ji, Lanpeng & Tabiś, Kamil, 2015. "Extremes of vector-valued Gaussian processes: Exact asymptotics," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(11), pages 4039-4065.
    2. Long Bai & Peng Liu, 2019. "Drawdown and Drawup for Fractional Brownian Motion with Trend," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 1581-1612, September.
    3. Zailei Cheng & Youngsoo Seol, 2018. "Gaussian Approximation of a Risk Model with Non-Stationary Hawkes Arrivals of Claims," Papers 1801.07595, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2019.
    4. Ji, Lanpeng & Peng, Xiaofan, 2023. "Extreme value theory for a sequence of suprema of a class of Gaussian processes with trend," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 418-452.
    5. De[combining cedilla]bicki, Krzysztof & Kisowski, Pawel, 2008. "Asymptotics of supremum distribution of [alpha](t)-locally stationary Gaussian processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 118(11), pages 2022-2037, November.
    6. Blanchet, Jose & Lam, Henry, 2013. "A heavy traffic approach to modeling large life insurance portfolios," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 237-251.
    7. Hüsler, Jürg & Zhang, Yueming, 2008. "On first and last ruin times of Gaussian processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 78(10), pages 1230-1235, August.
    8. Krzysztof Dȩbicki & Peng Liu & Zbigniew Michna, 2020. "Sojourn Times of Gaussian Processes with Trend," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 2119-2166, December.
    9. Chengxiu Ling & Hong Zhang, 2020. "On Generalized Berman Constants," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 22(3), pages 1125-1143, September.
    10. Krzysztof Bisewski & Krzysztof Dȩbicki & Tomasz Rolski, 2022. "Derivative of the expected supremum of fractional Brownian motion at $$H=1$$ H = 1," Queueing Systems: Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 102(1), pages 53-68, October.
    11. Bai, Long, 2020. "Extremes of standard multifractional Brownian motion," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    12. Bai, Long & Luo, Li, 2017. "Parisian ruin of the Brownian motion risk model with constant force of interest," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 34-44.
    13. Pingjin Deng, 2018. "The Joint Distribution of Running Maximum of a Slepian Process," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 1123-1135, December.
    14. Debicki, K. & Kosinski, K.M. & Mandjes, M. & Rolski, T., 2010. "Extremes of multidimensional Gaussian processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 120(12), pages 2289-2301, December.
    15. Hüsler, Jürg & Piterbarg, Vladimir, 2008. "A limit theorem for the time of ruin in a Gaussian ruin problem," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 118(11), pages 2014-2021, November.
    16. Dȩbicki, Krzysztof & Hashorva, Enkelejd & Wang, Longmin, 2020. "Extremes of vector-valued Gaussian processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 130(9), pages 5802-5837.
    17. Krzysztof Dȩbicki, 2022. "Exact asymptotics of Gaussian-driven tandem queues," Queueing Systems: Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 100(3), pages 285-287, April.

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