IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reveco/v80y2022icp49-66.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Portfolio optimization under multivariate affine generalized hyperbolic distributions

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Chou-Wen
  • Liu, Kai
  • Li, Bin
  • Tan, Ken Seng

Abstract

This paper focuses on capturing the impacts of leptokurtic phenomenon and heterogeneous preferences in higher moments on asset allocation. To achieve this, we propose a utility maximization asset allocation framework under the multivariate affine generalized hyperbolic (MAGH) asset prices dynamics. With the investor’s preference given by the exponential utility, we derive the closed-form optimal asset allocations for mixed multivariate affine normal inverse Gaussian-normal model and mixed multivariate affine variance gamma-normal model, which covers Markowitz’s mean–variance model as our special case. Extensive empirical studies are conducted to assess the effectiveness of the proposed asset allocation models relative to other portfolio strategies based on the Markowitz’s mean–variance theory and the equally weighted 1/N rule. Using the out-of-sample Sharpe ratio, the certainty-equivalent return, quantile and tail metrics as the performance measures, the proposed methods are found to be very effective and robust.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Chou-Wen & Liu, Kai & Li, Bin & Tan, Ken Seng, 2022. "Portfolio optimization under multivariate affine generalized hyperbolic distributions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 49-66.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:80:y:2022:i:c:p:49-66
    DOI: 10.1016/j.iref.2022.02.053
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1059056022000533
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.iref.2022.02.053?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Victor DeMiguel & Lorenzo Garlappi & Raman Uppal, 2009. "Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient is the 1-N Portfolio Strategy?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(5), pages 1915-1953, May.
    2. Hlawitschka, Walter, 1994. "The Empirical Nature of Taylor-Series Approximations to Expected Utility," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(3), pages 713-719, June.
    3. Ravi Jagannathan & Tongshu Ma, 2003. "Risk Reduction in Large Portfolios: Why Imposing the Wrong Constraints Helps," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1651-1683, August.
    4. Paul A. Samuelson, 1970. "The Fundamental Approximation Theorem of Portfolio Analysis in terms of Means, Variances and Higher Moments," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 37(4), pages 537-542.
    5. Lesmond, David A & Ogden, Joseph P & Trzcinka, Charles A, 1999. "A New Estimate of Transaction Costs," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 12(5), pages 1113-1141.
    6. Madan, Dilip B & Seneta, Eugene, 1990. "The Variance Gamma (V.G.) Model for Share Market Returns," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 63(4), pages 511-524, October.
    7. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    8. D. A. Peel, 2012. "Further examples of the impact of skewness on the expected utility of a risk-averse agent," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(12), pages 1117-1121, August.
    9. Fajardo, José & Farias, Aquiles, 2009. "Multivariate affine generalized hyperbolic distributions: An empirical investigation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 174-184, September.
    10. Muhinyuza, Stanislas & Bodnar, Taras & Lindholm, Mathias, 2020. "A test on the location of the tangency portfolio on the set of feasible portfolios," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 386(C).
    11. Kjersti Aas & Ingrid Hobaek Haff, 2006. "The Generalized Hyperbolic Skew Student's t-Distribution," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 4(2), pages 275-309.
    12. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2015. "A five-factor asset pricing model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 1-22.
    13. Vanduffel, Steven & Yao, Jing, 2017. "A stein type lemma for the multivariate generalized hyperbolic distribution," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 261(2), pages 606-612.
    14. John R. Birge & Luis Chavez-Bedoya, 2016. "Portfolio optimization under a generalized hyperbolic skewed t distribution and exponential utility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(7), pages 1019-1036, July.
    15. Thomas E. Conine & Michael B. McDonald & Maurry Tamarkin, 2017. "Estimation of relative risk aversion across time," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(21), pages 2117-2124, May.
    16. Mike Buckle & Jing Chen & Julian M. Williams, 2016. "Realised higher moments: theory and practice," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(13), pages 1272-1291, October.
    17. David Bauder & Taras Bodnar & Stepan Mazur & Yarema Okhrin, 2018. "Bayesian Inference For The Tangent Portfolio," Journal of Enterprising Culture (JEC), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(08), pages 1-27, December.
    18. Ravi Jagannathan & Tongshu Ma, 2003. "Risk Reduction in Large Portfolios: Why Imposing the Wrong Constraints Helps," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1651-1684, August.
    19. Schmidt, Rafael & Hrycej, Tomas & Stutzle, Eric, 2006. "Multivariate distribution models with generalized hyperbolic margins," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(8), pages 2065-2096, April.
    20. Platanakis, Emmanouil & Sutcliffe, Charles & Ye, Xiaoxia, 2021. "Horses for courses: Mean-variance for asset allocation and 1/N for stock selection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(1), pages 302-317.
    21. Campbell R. Harvey & Akhtar Siddique, 2000. "Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(3), pages 1263-1295, June.
    22. Kraus, Alan & Litzenberger, Robert H, 1976. "Skewness Preference and the Valuation of Risk Assets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 31(4), pages 1085-1100, September.
    23. Eric Jondeau & Michael Rockinger, 2005. "Conditional Asset Allocation under Non-Normality: How Costly is the Mean-Variance Criterion?," FAME Research Paper Series rp132, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
    24. Farrukh Javed & Stepan Mazur & Edward Ngailo, 2021. "Higher order moments of the estimated tangency portfolio weights," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(3), pages 517-535, February.
    25. Kirby, Chris & Ostdiek, Barbara, 2012. "It’s All in the Timing: Simple Active Portfolio Strategies that Outperform Naïve Diversification," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(2), pages 437-467, April.
    26. Tu, Jun & Zhou, Guofu, 2011. "Markowitz meets Talmud: A combination of sophisticated and naive diversification strategies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(1), pages 204-215, January.
    27. Stoll, Hans R. & Whaley, Robert E., 1983. "Transaction costs and the small firm effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 57-79, June.
    28. Fred D. Arditti, 1967. "Risk And The Required Return On Equity," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 22(1), pages 19-36, March.
    29. Martin Hellmich & Stefan Kassberger, 2011. "Efficient and robust portfolio optimization in the multivariate Generalized Hyperbolic framework," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(10), pages 1503-1516.
    30. Fajardo, José & Farias, Aquiles, 2010. "Derivative pricing using multivariate affine generalized hyperbolic distributions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(7), pages 1607-1617, July.
    31. DeMiguel, Victor & Plyakha, Yuliya & Uppal, Raman & Vilkov, Grigory, 2013. "Improving Portfolio Selection Using Option-Implied Volatility and Skewness," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(6), pages 1813-1845, December.
    32. Bauder, David & Bodnar, Taras & Mazur, Stepan & Okhrin, Yarema, 2018. "Bayesian inference for the tangent portfolio," Working Papers 2018:2, Örebro University, School of Business.
    33. Olha Bodnar, 2009. "Sequential Surveillance Of The Tangency Portfolio Weights," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(06), pages 797-810.
    34. C. J. Adcock, 2005. "Exploiting skewness to build an optimal hedge fund with a currency overlay," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(5), pages 445-462.
    35. Bierwag, G O, 1974. "The Rationale of the Mean-Standard Deviation Analysis: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 64(3), pages 431-433, June.
    36. Loistl, Otto, 1976. "The Erroneous Approximation of Expected Utility by Means of a Taylor's Series Expansion: Analytic and Computational Results," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 66(5), pages 904-910, December.
    37. Levy, Haim, 1969. "A Utility Function Depending on the First Three Moments: Comment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 24(4), pages 715-719, September.
    38. Taras Bodnar & Yarema Okhrin & Valdemar Vitlinskyy & Taras Zabolotskyy, 2018. "Determination and estimation of risk aversion coefficients," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 297-317, June.
    39. Lionel Martellini & Volker Ziemann, 2010. "Improved Estimates of Higher-Order Comoments and Implications for Portfolio Selection," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(4), pages 1467-1502, April.
    40. Bhardwaj, Ravinder K & Brooks, LeRoy D, 1992. "The January Anomaly: Effects of Low Share Price, Transaction Costs, and Bid-Ask Bias," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 553-575, June.
    41. C. Adcock, 2010. "Asset pricing and portfolio selection based on the multivariate extended skew-Student-t distribution," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 176(1), pages 221-234, April.
    42. Jorion, Philippe, 1986. "Bayes-Stein Estimation for Portfolio Analysis," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(3), pages 279-292, September.
    43. Mårten Gulliksson & Stepan Mazur, 2020. "An Iterative Approach to Ill-Conditioned Optimal Portfolio Selection," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(4), pages 773-794, December.
    44. Antonio Santos, 2016. "Static and dynamic portfolio allocation with nonstandard utility functions," EcoMod2016 9375, EcoMod.
    45. Wenbo Hu & Alec Kercheval, 2010. "Portfolio optimization for student t and skewed t returns," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 91-105.
    46. Okhrin, Yarema & Schmid, Wolfgang, 2006. "Distributional properties of portfolio weights," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 235-256, September.
    47. Budhi Surya & Ryan Kurniawan, 2014. "Optimal Portfolio Selection Based on Expected Shortfall Under Generalized Hyperbolic Distribution," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 21(3), pages 193-236, September.
    48. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    49. R. Cont, 2001. "Empirical properties of asset returns: stylized facts and statistical issues," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 223-236.
    50. Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    51. Karlis, Dimitris, 2002. "An EM type algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation of the normal-inverse Gaussian distribution," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 43-52, March.
    52. David Bauder & Taras Bodnar & Stepan Mazur & Yarema Okhrin, 2018. "Bayesian Inference For The Tangent Portfolio," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(08), pages 1-27, December.
    53. Patrick L. Brockett & James R. Garven, 1998. "A Reexamination of the Relationship Between Preferences and Moment Orderings by Rational Risk-Averse Investors," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 23(2), pages 127-137, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Eric Jondeau & Michael Rockinger, 2006. "Optimal Portfolio Allocation under Higher Moments," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 12(1), pages 29-55, January.
    2. Javed, Farrukh & Mazur, Stepan & Thorsén, Erik, 2021. "Tangency portfolio weights under a skew-normal model in small and large dimensions," Working Papers 2021:13, Örebro University, School of Business.
    3. Johannes Bock, 2018. "An updated review of (sub-)optimal diversification models," Papers 1811.08255, arXiv.org.
    4. Hwang, Inchang & Xu, Simon & In, Francis, 2018. "Naive versus optimal diversification: Tail risk and performance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(1), pages 372-388.
    5. Le, Trung H., 2021. "International portfolio allocation: The role of conditional higher moments," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 33-57.
    6. Rui Pedro Brito & Hélder Sebastião & Pedro Godinho, 2016. "Efficient skewness/semivariance portfolios," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 17(5), pages 331-346, September.
    7. Lassance, Nathan & Vanderveken, Rodolphe & Vrins, Frédéric, 2022. "On the optimal combination of naive and mean-variance portfolio strategies," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2022006, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    8. Yan, Cheng & Zhang, Huazhu, 2017. "Mean-variance versus naïve diversification: The role of mispricing," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 61-81.
    9. Allen, David & Lizieri, Colin & Satchell, Stephen, 2020. "A comparison of non-Gaussian VaR estimation and portfolio construction techniques," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 356-368.
    10. Chavez-Bedoya, Luis & Rosales, Francisco, 2021. "Reduction of estimation risk in optimal portfolio choice using redundant constraints," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    11. Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Han, Qiheng & Wu, Wensheng & Cao, Zhiguang, 2018. "Asset allocation strategies, data snooping, and the 1 / N rule," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 257-269.
    12. Lassance, Nathan, 2022. "Reconciling mean-variance portfolio theory with non-Gaussian returns," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(2), pages 729-740.
    13. Drin, Svitlana & Mazur, Stepan & Muhinyuza, Stanislas, 2023. "A test on the location of tangency portfolio for small sample size and singular covariance matrix," Working Papers 2023:11, Örebro University, School of Business.
    14. Behr, Patrick & Guettler, Andre & Truebenbach, Fabian, 2012. "Using industry momentum to improve portfolio performance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 1414-1423.
    15. Chavez-Bedoya, Luis & Rosales, Francisco, 2022. "Orthogonal portfolios to assess estimation risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 906-937.
    16. Matthias M. M. Buehlmaier & Kit Pong Wong, 2020. "Should investors join the index revolution? Evidence from around the world," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(3), pages 192-218, May.
    17. Stadtmüller, Immo & Auer, Benjamin R. & Schuhmacher, Frank, 2022. "On the benefits of active stock selection strategies for diversified investors," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 342-354.
    18. Cederburg, Scott & O’Doherty, Michael S. & Wang, Feifei & Yan, Xuemin (Sterling), 2020. "On the performance of volatility-managed portfolios," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 95-117.
    19. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, September.
    20. Emmanuel Jurczenko & Bertrand Maillet & Paul Merlin, 2008. "Efficient Frontier for Robust Higher-order Moment Portfolio Selection," Post-Print halshs-00336475, HAL.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reveco:v:80:y:2022:i:c:p:49-66. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620165 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.