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Taiwan's GHG mitigation potentials and costs: An evaluation with the MARKAL model

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  • Tsai, Miao-Shan
  • Chang, Ssu-Li

Abstract

The post-Kyoto negotiations under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) have produced significant results such as the Bali Roadmap, Copenhagen Accord and Cancun Agreement, and clarified parties' plans for long-term emissions mitigation. This paper presents the results on the simulations of different technology development scenarios under the same emission reduction goal, utilizing the MARKAL model to evaluate emissions reduction on Taiwan's electricity, industry, buildings, and transportation sectors. The empirical results show that Taiwan can potentially reduce 56%–60% of greenhouse gas emissions relative to the BAU scenario in 2025, and 15% relative to the 2005 levels. These projected results are higher than the Kyoto targets of Annex I countries and also higher than those projected in the (IEA, 2011 [17]) and (EIA, 2011 [5]) scenarios. The accumulated incremental cost will be an increase by 1.2%–1.96% of Taiwan's GDP.

Suggested Citation

  • Tsai, Miao-Shan & Chang, Ssu-Li, 2013. "Taiwan's GHG mitigation potentials and costs: An evaluation with the MARKAL model," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 294-305.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:20:y:2013:i:c:p:294-305
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2012.12.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Changjian & Wang, Fei & Zhang, Xinlin & Yang, Yu & Su, Yongxian & Ye, Yuyao & Zhang, Hongou, 2017. "Examining the driving factors of energy related carbon emissions using the extended STIRPAT model based on IPAT identity in Xinjiang," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 51-61.
    2. Yu, Shiwei & Zhang, Junjie & Zheng, Shuhong & Sun, Han, 2015. "Provincial carbon intensity abatement potential estimation in China: A PSO–GA-optimized multi-factor environmental learning curve method," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 46-55.
    3. Yu, Shiwei & Agbemabiese, Lawrence & Zhang, Junjie, 2016. "Estimating the carbon abatement potential of economic sectors in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 107-118.
    4. Mondal, Md. Alam Hossain & Bryan, Elizabeth & Ringler, Claudia & Rosegrant, Mark, 2017. "Ethiopian power sector development: Renewable based universal electricity access and export strategies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 11-20.
    5. Dedinec, Aleksandar & Taseska-Gjorgievska, Verica & Markovska, Natasa & Pop-Jordanov, Jordan & Kanevce, Gligor & Goldstein, Gary & Pye, Steve & Taleski, Rubin, 2016. "Low emissions development pathways of the Macedonian energy sector," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1202-1211.

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