IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v234y2023ics0951832023000807.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A reliability model for systems subject to mutually dependent degradation processes and random shocks under dynamic environments

Author

Listed:
  • Liang, Qingzhu
  • Yang, Yinghao
  • Peng, Changhong

Abstract

The performance of many products may be simultaneously governed by multiple internal degradation processes, random shocks, and dynamic environments. This article presents a reliability model for systems subject to two degradation processes and random shocks under dynamic environments. Both multi-state and continuous degradation processes are considered and described by a Semi-Markov process and a monotone stochastic process, respectively. The model concurrently addressed the mutual degradation dependency and the effect of random shocks on the degradation processes. In addition, the influences of the environment on the degradation processes and random shocks were considered. Closed-form of reliability measures, such as reliability function and expected remaining useful life of the system with/without consideration of maintenance, were derived. The analytical model was applied to a study case from the literature to demonstrate its feasibility. We proposed a Monte Carlo (MC) simulation algorithm as an alternative solution for estimating system reliability measures. The results of the MC method and the literature verified the correctness of the theoretical result of the analytical model.

Suggested Citation

  • Liang, Qingzhu & Yang, Yinghao & Peng, Changhong, 2023. "A reliability model for systems subject to mutually dependent degradation processes and random shocks under dynamic environments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:234:y:2023:i:c:s0951832023000807
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2023.109165
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832023000807
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2023.109165?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Toshio Nakagawa, 2007. "Shock and Damage Models in Reliability Theory," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, number 978-1-84628-442-7, January.
    2. Jeffrey Kharoufeh & Christopher Solo & M. Ulukus, 2010. "Semi-Markov models for degradation-based reliability," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(8), pages 599-612.
    3. Song, Kai & Cui, Lirong, 2022. "A common random effect induced bivariate gamma degradation process with application to remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    4. Zhi‐Sheng Ye & Min Xie, 2015. "Rejoinder to ‘Stochastic modelling and analysis of degradation for highly reliable products’," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(1), pages 35-36, January.
    5. Zhi‐Sheng Ye & Min Xie, 2015. "Stochastic modelling and analysis of degradation for highly reliable products," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(1), pages 16-32, January.
    6. Massimiliano Giorgio & Maurizio Guida & Gianpaolo Pulcini, 2011. "An age- and state-dependent Markov model for degradation processes," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(9), pages 621-632.
    7. Wu, Bei & Ding, Dong, 2022. "A gamma process based model for systems subject to multiple dependent competing failure processes under Markovian environments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    8. Lei Jiang & Qianmei Feng & David W. Coit, 2015. "Modeling zoned shock effects on stochastic degradation in dependent failure processes," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(5), pages 460-470, May.
    9. Zhou, Shirong & Tang, Yincai & Xu, Ancha, 2021. "A generalized Wiener process with dependent degradation rate and volatility and time-varying mean-to-variance ratio," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    10. Zhang, Zhengxin & Si, Xiaosheng & Hu, Changhua & Lei, Yaguo, 2018. "Degradation data analysis and remaining useful life estimation: A review on Wiener-process-based methods," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(3), pages 775-796.
    11. Cao, Yingsai & Liu, Sifeng & Fang, Zhigeng & Dong, Wenjie, 2020. "Modeling ageing effects for multi-state systems with multiple components subject to competing and dependent failure processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    12. Sun, Fuqiang & Li, Hao & Cheng, Yuanyuan & Liao, Haitao, 2021. "Reliability analysis for a system experiencing dependent degradation processes and random shocks based on a nonlinear Wiener process model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    13. van Noortwijk, J.M., 2009. "A survey of the application of gamma processes in maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(1), pages 2-21.
    14. Lin, Yan-Hui & Li, Yan-Fu & Zio, Enrico, 2018. "A comparison between Monte Carlo simulation and finite-volume scheme for reliability assessment of multi-state physics systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 1-11.
    15. Yan-Hui Lin & Yan-Fu Li & Enrico Zio, 2016. "Reliability assessment of systems subject to dependent degradation processes and random shocks," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(11), pages 1072-1085, November.
    16. Xu, Jun & Liang, Zhenglin & Li, Yan-Fu & Wang, Kaibo, 2021. "Generalized condition-based maintenance optimization for multi-component systems considering stochastic dependency and imperfect maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    17. Si, Xiao-Sheng & Li, Tianmei & Zhang, Jianxun & Lei, Yaguo, 2022. "Nonlinear degradation modeling and prognostics: A Box-Cox transformation perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    18. Srivastav, Himanshu & Lundteigen, Mary Ann & Barros, Anne, 2021. "Introduction of degradation modeling in qualification of the novel subsea technology," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    19. Fang, Guanqi & Pan, Rong & Hong, Yili, 2020. "Copula-based reliability analysis of degrading systems with dependent failures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhang, Ao & Wang, Zhihua & Bao, Rui & Liu, Chengrui & Wu, Qiong & Cao, Shihao, 2023. "A novel failure time estimation method for degradation analysis based on general nonlinear Wiener processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    2. Wang, Xiaolin & Liu, Bin & Zhao, Xiujie, 2021. "A performance-based warranty for products subject to competing hard and soft failures," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    3. Che, Haiyang & Zeng, Shengkui & Guo, Jianbin, 2019. "Reliability assessment of man-machine systems subject to mutually dependent machine degradation and human errors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Song, Kai & Cui, Lirong, 2022. "A common random effect induced bivariate gamma degradation process with application to remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    5. Truong-Ba, Huy & Cholette, Michael E. & Rebello, Sinda & Kent, Geoff, 2024. "Joint planning of inspection, replacement, and component decommissioning for a series system with non-identically degrading components," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    6. Jiang, Deyin & Chen, Tianyu & Xie, Juanzhang & Cui, Weimin & Song, Bifeng, 2023. "A mechanical system reliability degradation analysis and remaining life estimation method——With the example of an aircraft hatch lock mechanism," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    7. Sun, Fuqiang & Fu, Fangyou & Liao, Haitao & Xu, Dan, 2020. "Analysis of multivariate dependent accelerated degradation data using a random-effect general Wiener process and D-vine Copula," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    8. Zhengxin Zhang & Xiaosheng Si & Changhua Hu & Xiangyu Kong, 2015. "Degradation modeling–based remaining useful life estimation: A review on approaches for systems with heterogeneity," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 229(4), pages 343-355, August.
    9. Chang, Miaoxin & Huang, Xianzhen & Coolen, Frank PA & Coolen-Maturi, Tahani, 2023. "New reliability model for complex systems based on stochastic processes and survival signature," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 309(3), pages 1349-1364.
    10. Sun, Xuxue & Cai, Wenjun & Li, Mingyang, 2021. "A hierarchical modeling approach for degradation data with mixed-type covariates and latent heterogeneity," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    11. Wu, Bei & Zhang, Yamei & Zhao, Songzheng, 2023. "Modeling coupled effects of dynamic environments and zoned shocks on systems under dependent failure processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    12. Pedersen, Tom Ivar & Vatn, Jørn, 2022. "Optimizing a condition-based maintenance policy by taking the preferences of a risk-averse decision maker into account," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    13. Dong, Qinglai & Cui, Lirong, 2019. "A study on stochastic degradation process models under different types of failure Thresholds," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 202-212.
    14. Gregory Levitin & Maxim Finkelstein, 2017. "A new stress–strength model for systems subject to stochastic shocks," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 231(2), pages 172-179, April.
    15. Giovanni Rinaldi & Philipp R. Thies & Lars Johanning, 2021. "Current Status and Future Trends in the Operation and Maintenance of Offshore Wind Turbines: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-28, April.
    16. Song, Kai & Shi, Jian & Yi, Xiaojian, 2020. "A time-discrete and zero-adjusted gamma process model with application to degradation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 560(C).
    17. Xudan Chen & Guoxun Ji & Xinli Sun & Zhen Li, 2019. "Inverse Gaussian–based model with measurement errors for degradation analysis," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(6), pages 1086-1098, December.
    18. Zhang, Jian-Xun & Si, Xiao-Sheng & Du, Dang-Bo & Hu, Chang-Hua & Hu, Chen, 2020. "A novel iterative approach of lifetime estimation for standby systems with deteriorating spare parts," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    19. Zuo, Jian & Cadet, Catherine & Li, Zhongliang & Bérenguer, Christophe & Outbib, Rachid, 2024. "A deterioration-aware energy management strategy for the lifetime improvement of a multi-stack fuel cell system subject to a random dynamic load," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    20. Zhou, Shirong & Tang, Yincai & Xu, Ancha, 2021. "A generalized Wiener process with dependent degradation rate and volatility and time-varying mean-to-variance ratio," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:234:y:2023:i:c:s0951832023000807. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.