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A Bayesian condition-based maintenance and monitoring policy with variable sampling intervals

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  • Kampitsis, Dimitris
  • Panagiotidou, Sofia

Abstract

The aim of this study is to propose a Condition-Based Maintenance and Monitoring (CBM) policy which employs a Bayesian inspection scheme. A single unit system, which is subject to both operational deterioration and catastrophic failures, is considered. The equipment may operate in two different non-observable states (healthy and unhealthy). The unhealthy state is characterized by higher operational cost and higher proneness to failure. Failures are self-announced (directly observable) and thus, corrective maintenance is implemented immediately. A new double-sampling Bayesian control chart with state-dependent variable inspection frequency is proposed. The process operation is analytically modeled through a six-state Markov process, while, unlike all previous Bayesian models, there is no need for discretization of the unhealthy-state probabilities. At each inspection instance all available information regarding the equipment condition is utilized in order to schedule future inspections and preventive maintenance actions and detect possible operation in the unhealthy state. The critical parameters, namely the duration of the inspection intervals, the sample sizes and the preventive maintenance times, which minimize the expected total cost per time unit, are determined. Numerical comparisons with three other Bayesian CBM models are conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Kampitsis, Dimitris & Panagiotidou, Sofia, 2022. "A Bayesian condition-based maintenance and monitoring policy with variable sampling intervals," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:218:y:2022:i:pa:s0951832021006463
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.108159
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    Cited by:

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    2. Boumallessa, Zeineb & Chouikhi, Houssam & Elleuch, Mounir & Bentaher, Hatem, 2023. "Modeling and optimizing the maintenance schedule using dynamic quality and machine condition monitors in an unreliable single production system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    3. Sinisterra, Wilfrido Quiñones & Lima, Victor Hugo Resende & Cavalcante, Cristiano Alexandre Virginio & Aribisala, Adetoye Ayokunle, 2023. "A delay-time model to integrate the sequence of resumable jobs, inspection policy, and quality for a single-component system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    4. Kim, Seokgoo & Choi, Joo-Ho & Kim, Nam Ho, 2022. "Inspection schedule for prognostics with uncertainty management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    5. Mateusz Oszczypała & Jarosław Ziółkowski & Jerzy Małachowski, 2022. "Analysis of Light Utility Vehicle Readiness in Military Transportation Systems Using Markov and Semi-Markov Processes," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-24, July.

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