IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v196y2020ics0951832019307008.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A comprehensive framework for vulnerability analysis of extraordinary events in power systems

Author

Listed:
  • Sperstad, Iver Bakken
  • Kjølle, Gerd H.
  • Gjerde, Oddbjørn

Abstract

Electric power systems are critical infrastructures subject to the possibility of extraordinary events with high societal consequences. Although such possibilities are often associated with very low probabilities of being realized, it is nevertheless crucial to be able to identify and understand the vulnerabilities of power systems related to extraordinary events. The objective of the work presented in this article is to establish a methodological basis for vulnerability analysis that is complementary to conventional risk and reliability analysis of power systems. It presents a comprehensive framework of definitions, indicators and methods that can be used to classify, analyse and monitor vulnerabilities in power transmission and distribution systems. Its main components include (1) a conceptual framework of definitions that forms the basis for understanding and classifying vulnerabilities, (2) an assessment methodology for identifying vulnerabilities related to extraordinary events and barriers to mitigate them, and (3) vulnerability indicators for quantifying and monitoring power system vulnerabilities. The applicability of the vulnerability analysis framework is demonstrated through several studies of real power systems. Moreover, the concept of power system vulnerability elaborated in this article is also related to the concept of power system resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Sperstad, Iver Bakken & Kjølle, Gerd H. & Gjerde, Oddbjørn, 2020. "A comprehensive framework for vulnerability analysis of extraordinary events in power systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:196:y:2020:i:c:s0951832019307008
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.106788
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832019307008
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2019.106788?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Johansson, Jonas & Hassel, Henrik & Zio, Enrico, 2013. "Reliability and vulnerability analyses of critical infrastructures: Comparing two approaches in the context of power systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 27-38.
    2. Kjølle, G.H. & Utne, I.B. & Gjerde, O., 2012. "Risk analysis of critical infrastructures emphasizing electricity supply and interdependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 80-89.
    3. Zio, Enrico & Aven, Terje, 2011. "Uncertainties in smart grids behavior and modeling: What are the risks and vulnerabilities? How to analyze them?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 6308-6320, October.
    4. Sarah LaRocca & Jonas Johansson & Henrik Hassel & Seth Guikema, 2015. "Topological Performance Measures as Surrogates for Physical Flow Models for Risk and Vulnerability Analysis for Electric Power Systems," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(4), pages 608-623, April.
    5. Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E., 2016. "A review of definitions and measures of system resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 47-61.
    6. Linn Svegrup & Jonas Johansson & Henrik Hassel, 2019. "Integration of Critical Infrastructure and Societal Consequence Models: Impact on Swedish Power System Mitigation Decisions," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(9), pages 1970-1996, September.
    7. Aven, Terje, 2016. "Ignoring scenarios in risk assessments: Understanding the issue and improving current practice," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 215-220.
    8. Abedi, Amin & Gaudard, Ludovic & Romerio, Franco, 2019. "Review of major approaches to analyze vulnerability in power system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 153-172.
    9. Gerd Kjølle & Oddbjørn Gjerde, 2012. "Risk Analysis of Electricity Supply," Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, in: Per Hokstad & Ingrid B. Utne & Jørn Vatn (ed.), Risk and Interdependencies in Critical Infrastructures, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 95-108, Springer.
    10. Zio, Enrico, 2016. "Challenges in the vulnerability and risk analysis of critical infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 137-150.
    11. Righi, Angela Weber & Saurin, Tarcisio Abreu & Wachs, Priscila, 2015. "A systematic literature review of resilience engineering: Research areas and a research agenda proposal," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 142-152.
    12. Lucas Cuadra & Sancho Salcedo-Sanz & Javier Del Ser & Silvia Jiménez-Fernández & Zong Woo Geem, 2015. "A Critical Review of Robustness in Power Grids Using Complex Networks Concepts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-55, August.
    13. Eusgeld, Irene & Kröger, Wolfgang & Sansavini, Giovanni & Schläpfer, Markus & Zio, Enrico, 2009. "The role of network theory and object-oriented modeling within a framework for the vulnerability analysis of critical infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(5), pages 954-963.
    14. Jufri, Fauzan Hanif & Widiputra, Victor & Jung, Jaesung, 2019. "State-of-the-art review on power grid resilience to extreme weather events: Definitions, frameworks, quantitative assessment methodologies, and enhancement strategies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 1049-1065.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Gaolin & Zhou, Shuming & Li, Min & Zhang, Hong, 2022. "Evaluation of community vulnerability based on communicability and structural dissimilarity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 606(C).
    2. Xue, Jiayue & Mohammadi, Farshad & Li, Xin & Sahraei-Ardakani, Mostafa & Ou, Ge & Pu, Zhaoxia, 2020. "Impact of transmission tower-line interaction to the bulk power system during hurricane," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    3. Tang, Daogui & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2023. "Vulnerability analysis of demand-response with renewable energy integration in smart grids to cyber attacks and online detection methods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    4. Hughes, William & Zhang, Wei & Bagtzoglou, Amvrossios C. & Wanik, David & Pensado, Osvaldo & Yuan, Hao & Zhang, Jintao, 2021. "Damage modeling framework for resilience hardening strategy for overhead power distribution systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    5. Ersen Akdeniz & Mustafa Bagriyanik, 2023. "A Preventive Control Approach for Power System Vulnerability Assessment and Predictive Stability Evaluation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-19, April.
    6. Jalilpoor, Kamran & Oshnoei, Arman & Mohammadi-Ivatloo, Behnam & Anvari-Moghaddam, Amjad, 2022. "Network hardening and optimal placement of microgrids to improve transmission system resilience: A two-stage linear program," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    7. Wu, Jingyi & Yu, Yang & Yu, Jianxing & Chang, Xueying & Xu, Lixin & Zhang, Wenhao, 2023. "A Markov resilience assessment framework for tension leg platform under mooring failure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    8. Forsberg, Samuel & Thomas, Karin & Bergkvist, Mikael, 2023. "Power grid vulnerability analysis using complex network theory: A topological study of the Nordic transmission grid," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 626(C).
    9. Banghua Xie & Changfan Li & Zili Wu & Weiming Chen, 2021. "Topological Modeling Research on the Functional Vulnerability of Power Grid under Extreme Weather," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-27, August.
    10. Poulin, Craig & Kane, Michael B., 2021. "Infrastructure resilience curves: Performance measures and summary metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    11. Beyza, Jesus & Yusta, Jose M., 2021. "The effects of the high penetration of renewable energies on the reliability and vulnerability of interconnected electric power systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Abedi, Amin & Gaudard, Ludovic & Romerio, Franco, 2019. "Review of major approaches to analyze vulnerability in power system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 153-172.
    2. Rocchetta, Roberto, 2022. "Enhancing the resilience of critical infrastructures: Statistical analysis of power grid spectral clustering and post-contingency vulnerability metrics," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    3. Márcio das Chagas Moura & Helder Henrique Lima Diniz & Enrique López Droguett & Beatriz Sales da Cunha & Isis Didier Lins & Vicente Ribeiro Simoni, 2017. "Embedding resilience in the design of the electricity supply for industrial clients," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(11), pages 1-33, November.
    4. Forsberg, Samuel & Thomas, Karin & Bergkvist, Mikael, 2023. "Power grid vulnerability analysis using complex network theory: A topological study of the Nordic transmission grid," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 626(C).
    5. Ferrario, E. & Poulos, A. & Castro, S. & de la Llera, J.C. & Lorca, A., 2022. "Predictive capacity of topological measures in evaluating seismic risk and resilience of electric power networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    6. Beyza, Jesus & Gil, Pablo & Masera, Marcelo & Yusta, Jose M., 2020. "Security assessment of cross-border electricity interconnections," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    7. Abedi, Amin & Gaudard, Ludovic & Romerio, Franco, 2020. "Power flow-based approaches to assess vulnerability, reliability, and contingency of the power systems: The benefits and limitations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    8. Tang, Daogui & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2023. "Vulnerability analysis of demand-response with renewable energy integration in smart grids to cyber attacks and online detection methods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    9. Gianluca Fulli & Marcelo Masera & Catalin Felix Covrig & Francesco Profumo & Ettore Bompard & Tao Huang, 2017. "The EU Electricity Security Decision-Analytic Framework: Status and Perspective Developments," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-20, March.
    10. Zio, E., 2018. "The future of risk assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 176-190.
    11. Yi‐Ping Fang & Giovanni Sansavini & Enrico Zio, 2019. "An Optimization‐Based Framework for the Identification of Vulnerabilities in Electric Power Grids Exposed to Natural Hazards," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(9), pages 1949-1969, September.
    12. Wang, WuChang & Zhang, Yi & Li, YuXing & Hu, Qihui & Liu, Chengsong & Liu, Cuiwei, 2022. "Vulnerability analysis method based on risk assessment for gas transmission capabilities of natural gas pipeline networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    13. Gjorgiev, Blazhe & Sansavini, Giovanni, 2022. "Identifying and assessing power system vulnerabilities to transmission asset outages via cascading failure analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    14. Beyza, Jesus & Yusta, Jose M., 2021. "The effects of the high penetration of renewable energies on the reliability and vulnerability of interconnected electric power systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    15. Jingjing Kong & Slobodan P. Simonovic, 2019. "Probabilistic Multiple Hazard Resilience Model of an Interdependent Infrastructure System," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(8), pages 1843-1863, August.
    16. Linn Svegrup & Jonas Johansson & Henrik Hassel, 2019. "Integration of Critical Infrastructure and Societal Consequence Models: Impact on Swedish Power System Mitigation Decisions," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(9), pages 1970-1996, September.
    17. Terje Aven, 2019. "The Call for a Shift from Risk to Resilience: What Does it Mean?," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(6), pages 1196-1203, June.
    18. Bhandari, Pratik & Creighton, Douglas & Gong, Jinzhe & Boyle, Carol & Law, Kris M.Y., 2023. "Evolution of cyber-physical-human water systems: Challenges and gaps," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    19. Aven, Terje, 2017. "How some types of risk assessments can support resilience analysis and management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 536-543.
    20. Mendonça, David & Wallace, William A., 2015. "Factors underlying organizational resilience: The case of electric power restoration in New York City after 11 September 2001," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 83-91.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:196:y:2020:i:c:s0951832019307008. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.