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A framework for the system-of-systems analysis of the risk for a safety-critical plant exposed to external events

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  • Zio, E.
  • Ferrario, E.

Abstract

We consider a critical plant exposed to risk from external events. We propose an original framework of analysis, which extends the boundaries of the study to the interdependent infrastructures which support the plant. For the purpose of clearly illustrating the conceptual framework of system-of-systems analysis, we work out a case study of seismic risk for a nuclear power plant embedded in the connected power and water distribution, and transportation networks which support its operation. The technical details of the systems considered (including the nuclear power plant) are highly simplified, in order to preserve the purpose of illustrating the conceptual, methodological framework of analysis. Yet, as an example of the approaches that can be used to perform the analysis within the proposed framework, we consider the Muir Web as system analysis tool to build the system-of-systems model and Monte Carlo simulation for the quantitative evaluation of the model. The numerical exercise, albeit performed on a simplified case study, serves the purpose of showing the opportunity of accounting for the contribution of the interdependent infrastructure systems to the safety of a critical plant. This is relevant as it can lead to considerations with respect to the decision making related to safety critical-issues.

Suggested Citation

  • Zio, E. & Ferrario, E., 2013. "A framework for the system-of-systems analysis of the risk for a safety-critical plant exposed to external events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 114-125.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:114:y:2013:i:c:p:114-125
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2013.01.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Eusgeld, Irene & Nan, Cen & Dietz, Sven, 2011. "“System-of-systems†approach for interdependent critical infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(6), pages 679-686.
    2. Adachi, Takao & Ellingwood, Bruce R., 2008. "Serviceability of earthquake-damaged water systems: Effects of electrical power availability and power backup systems on system vulnerability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 78-88.
    3. Johansson, Jonas & Hassel, Henrik, 2010. "An approach for modelling interdependent infrastructures in the context of vulnerability analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(12), pages 1335-1344.
    4. Wang, Shuliang & Hong, Liu & Chen, Xueguang, 2012. "Vulnerability analysis of interdependent infrastructure systems: A methodological framework," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(11), pages 3323-3335.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

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    2. Zeng, Zhiguo & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zhai, Qingqing & Du, Shijia, 2021. "A Markov reward process-based framework for resilience analysis of multistate energy systems under the threat of extreme events," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    3. Hong, Liu & Ouyang, Min & Peeta, Srinivas & He, Xiaozheng & Yan, Yongze, 2015. "Vulnerability assessment and mitigation for the Chinese railway system under floods," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 58-68.
    4. Zhou, Jian & Huang, Ning & Coit, David W. & Felder, Frank A., 2018. "Combined effects of load dynamics and dependence clusters on cascading failures in network systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 116-126.
    5. Gao, Guibing & Wang, Junshen & Yue, Wenhui & Ou, Wenchu, 2020. "Structural-vulnerability assessment of reconfigurable manufacturing system based on universal generating function," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    6. Edoardo Tosoni & Ahti Salo & Enrico Zio, 2018. "Scenario Analysis for the Safety Assessment of Nuclear Waste Repositories: A Critical Review," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(4), pages 755-776, April.
    7. Shafieezadeh, Abdollah & Ivey Burden, Lindsay, 2014. "Scenario-based resilience assessment framework for critical infrastructure systems: Case study for seismic resilience of seaports," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 207-219.
    8. Ahmed Shokry & Piero Baraldi & Andrea Castellano & Luigi Serio & Enrico Zio, 2021. "Identification of Critical Components in the Complex Technical Infrastructure of the Large Hadron Collider Using Relief Feature Ranking and Support Vector Machines," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-19, September.
    9. Caputo, Antonio C. & Kalemi, Bledar & Paolacci, Fabrizio & Corritore, Daniele, 2020. "Computing resilience of process plants under Na-Tech events: Methodology and application to sesmic loading scenarios," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    10. Li, Daqing & Zhang, Qiong & Zio, Enrico & Havlin, Shlomo & Kang, Rui, 2015. "Network reliability analysis based on percolation theory," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 556-562.

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