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A paired comparison approach to improve the quantification of management influences in air transportation

Author

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  • Lin, P.H.
  • Hale, A.R.
  • van Gulijk, C.

Abstract

This paper provides an approach to integrate management factors into risk analysis. The approach focuses on paired comparison quantification to differentiate and prioritize a set of management influences to reduce human or technical failure, and to quantify the size of different management influences on risk by combining it with Bayesian belief nets (BBN). The BBN model of Causal Modeling for Air Transport Safety (CATS) has been used as a case study. This approach enables better reflection in risk analysis of management functions as specific actions which can be taken by managers to maintain safety in safety critical activities.

Suggested Citation

  • Lin, P.H. & Hale, A.R. & van Gulijk, C., 2013. "A paired comparison approach to improve the quantification of management influences in air transportation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 52-60.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:113:y:2013:i:c:p:52-60
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2012.12.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Trucco, P. & Cagno, E. & Ruggeri, F. & Grande, O., 2008. "A Bayesian Belief Network modelling of organisational factors in risk analysis: A case study in maritime transportation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(6), pages 845-856.
    2. Morales, O. & Kurowicka, D. & Roelen, A., 2008. "Eliciting conditional and unconditional rank correlations from conditional probabilities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(5), pages 699-710.
    3. Mohaghegh, Zahra & Kazemi, Reza & Mosleh, Ali, 2009. "Incorporating organizational factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) of complex socio-technical systems: A hybrid technique formalization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(5), pages 1000-1018.
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    Cited by:

    1. David LANGR & Jindřich PLOCH & Petr RUDOLF & Stanislav SZABO & Iveta VAJDOVÁ, 2019. "Selection Process As A Key Human Aspect In Air Traffic Control," Transport Problems, Silesian University of Technology, Faculty of Transport, vol. 14(3), pages 75-84, September.
    2. Tan, Samson & Moinuddin, Khalid, 2019. "Systematic review of human and organizational risks for probabilistic risk analysis in high-rise buildings," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 233-250.
    3. Novak, Jeremy & Farr-Wharton, Ben & Brunetto, Yvonne & Shacklock, Kate & Brown, Kerry, 2017. "Safety outcomes for engineering asset management organizations: Old problem with new solutions?," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 67-73.

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