Modeling electricity prices: jump diffusion and regime switching
AbstractIn this paper we address the issue of modeling spot electricity prices. After summarizing the stylized facts about spot electricity prices, we review a number of models proposed in the literature. Afterwards we fit a jump diffusion and a regime switching model to spot prices from the Nordic power exchange and discuss the pros and cons of each one.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Elsevier in its journal Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications.
Volume (Year): 336 (2004)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
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Web page: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/
Electricity price; Jump diffusion; Regime switching; Seasonality;
Other versions of this item:
- Rafal Weron & Michael Bierbrauer & Stefan Trück, 2003. "Modeling electricity prices: jump diffusion and regime switching," HSC Research Reports HSC/03/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Rafal Weron & Ingve Simonsen & Piotr Wilman, 2003. "Modeling highly volatile and seasonal markets: evidence from the Nord Pool electricity market," Econometrics 0303007, EconWPA.
- Härdle, Wolfgang Karl & Burnecki, Krzysztof & Weron, Rafał, 2004.
"Simulation of risk processes,"
2004,01, Humboldt-Universität Berlin, Center for Applied Statistics and Economics (CASE).
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