IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/lauspo/v99y2020ics0264837719323932.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Brazilian Cerrado and Soy moratorium: Effects on biome preservation and consequences on grain production

Author

Listed:
  • Magalhães, Iara Barbosa
  • Pereira, Alexia Saleme Aona de Paula
  • Calijuri, Maria Lucia
  • Alves, Sabrina do Carmo
  • Santos, Vitor Juste dos
  • Lorentz, Juliana Ferreira

Abstract

Soy Moratorium implementation in the Legal Amazon in 2006 had consequences beyond deforestation control in the region. Among these, the influence on the dynamics in land use change in the neighbor biome, the Cerrado, is evaluated. This influence becomes especially important considering that this area accounts for 54% of Brazil's soybean production, and that the country is the world's second largest producer of the grain. This work used Land Change Modeler to study the comparison of the Moratorium influence for two scenarios: a temporal analysis of change trends prior to the implementation of this policy, for 2012; and an impact analysis on the Cerrado policy extension for 2028. The main transitions observed on the evaluated period were between Vegetation, Pasture and Agriculture classes. Driver variables of the transition between these classes were used to model the scenarios. The impact of the moratorium on changing the spatial distribution of transitions was mainly noted. For future predictions, grain yield would not be significantly impacted by the extension of the Cerrado Moratorium. Conclusions include the possibility of biome's vegetation preservation, without disregarding the economic importance of soybean for Brazil and still meeting the estimated demand for 2028.

Suggested Citation

  • Magalhães, Iara Barbosa & Pereira, Alexia Saleme Aona de Paula & Calijuri, Maria Lucia & Alves, Sabrina do Carmo & Santos, Vitor Juste dos & Lorentz, Juliana Ferreira, 2020. "Brazilian Cerrado and Soy moratorium: Effects on biome preservation and consequences on grain production," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:99:y:2020:i:c:s0264837719323932
    DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.105030
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837719323932
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.105030?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. de Melo Celindonio, Otavio Lemos & Werner, Liane S. & Bernardes Gil, Juliana Dias, 2019. "The determinants of recent soybean expansion in Mato Grosso, Brazil," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 22(2).
    2. Araújo, Mayara Lucyanne Santos de & Sano, Edson Eyji & Bolfe, Édson Luis & Santos, Jessflan Rafael Nascimento & dos Santos, Juliana Sales & Silva, Fabrício Brito, 2019. "Spatiotemporal dynamics of soybean crop in the Matopiba region, Brazil (1990–2015)," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 57-67.
    3. Lima, Mendelson & Silva Junior, Carlos Antonio da & Rausch, Lisa & Gibbs, Holly K. & Johann, Jerry Adriani, 2019. "Demystifying sustainable soy in Brazil," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 349-352.
    4. Stefanes, Mauricio & Roque, Fabio de Oliveira & Lourival, Reinaldo & Melo, Isabel & Renaud, Pierre Cyril & Quintero, Jose Manuel Ochoa, 2018. "Property size drives differences in forest code compliance in the Brazilian Cerrado," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 43-49.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pereira, Alexia Saleme Aona de Paula & dos Santos, Vitor Juste & Alves, Sabrina do Carmo & Amaral e Silva, Arthur & da Silva, Charles Gomes & Calijuri, Maria Lúcia, 2022. "Contribution of rural settlements to the deforestation dynamics in the Legal Amazon," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Polizel, Silvia Palotti & Vieira, Rita Marcia da Silva Pinto & Pompeu, João & Ferreira, Yara da Cruz & Sousa-Neto, Eráclito Rodrigues de & Barbosa, Alexandre Augusto & Ometto, Jean Pierre Henry Balbau, 2021. "Analysing the dynamics of land use in the context of current conservation policies and land tenure in the Cerrado – MATOPIBA region (Brazil)," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    2. Rocha, Samuel José Silva Soares da & Comini, Indira Bifano & Morais Júnior, Vicente Toledo Machado de & Schettini, Bruno Leão Said & Villanova, Paulo Henrique & Alves, Eliana Boaventura Bernardes Mour, 2020. "Ecological ICMS enables forest restoration in Brazil," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    3. Reginaldo Carvalho Santos & Carlos Antonio Silva Junior & Leandro Denis Battirola & Mendelson Lima, 2022. "Importance of legislation for maintaining forests on private properties in the Brazilian Cerrado," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(3), pages 3356-3370, March.
    4. Carlos Henrique Pires Luiz & Valdir Adilson Steinke, 2022. "Recent Environmental Legislation in Brazil and the Impact on Cerrado Deforestation Rates," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-15, July.
    5. Montoya, Marco Antonio & Allegretti, Gabriela & Bertussi, Luís Antônio Sleimann & Talamini, Edson, 2023. "Domestic and foreign decoupling of economic growth and water consumption and its driving factors in the Brazilian economy," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    6. Daniella Tiemi Sasaki Okida & Osmar Abílio de Carvalho Júnior & Osmar Luiz Ferreira de Carvalho & Roberto Arnaldo Trancoso Gomes & Renato Fontes Guimarães, 2021. "Relationship between Land Property Security and Brazilian Amazon Deforestation in the Mato Grosso State during the Period 2013–2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-20, February.
    7. Batista, Fabiana de Souza & Duku, Confidence & Hein, Lars, 2023. "Deforestation-induced changes in rainfall decrease soybean-maize yields in Brazil," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 486(C).
    8. Vieira, Leandro T.A. & Azevedo, Thaís N. & Castro, Antonio A.J.F. & Martins, Fernando R., 2022. "Reviewing the Cerrado's limits, flora distribution patterns, and conservation status for policy decisions," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    9. Bianca Bigolin Liszbinski & Eliane Spacil de Mello & Maria Margarete Baccin Brizolla & Argemiro Luís Brum & Tiago Zardin Patias & Daniel Knebel Baggio, 2020. "Sustainability in Soybean Production from the Perspective of the Producers," Journal of Management and Sustainability, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(1), pages 138-138, July.
    10. Maristela Volpato & Caio F. Andrade & Elton L. Silva & Maria L. Barbosa & Melina D. Andrade & Pedro. V. Rocha & Rafael C. Delgado & Paulo E. Teodoro & Carlos A. Silva & Marcos G. Pereira, 2023. "Fire foci and their spatiotemporal relations to weather variables and land uses in the state of Mato Grosso," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(11), pages 12419-12438, November.
    11. Hochstetler, Kathryn, 2021. "Climate institutions in Brazil: three decades of building and dismantling climate capacity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 111417, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Russo Lopes, Gabriela & Bastos Lima, Mairon G. & Reis, Tiago N.P. dos, 2021. "Maldevelopment revisited: Inclusiveness and social impacts of soy expansion over Brazil’s Cerrado in Matopiba," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    13. Benzeev, Rayna & Wiens, Ashton & Piotto, Daniel & Newton, Peter, 2023. "Property size and forest cover were key determinants of forest restoration in Southern Bahia in the Atlantic Forest of Brazil," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    14. Mota, Pedro Henrique Santos & Rocha, Samuel José Silva Soares da & Castro, Nero Lemos Martins de & Marcatti, Gustavo Eduardo & França, Luciano Cavalcante de Jesus & Schettini, Bruno Leão Said & Villan, 2019. "Forest fire hazard zoning in Mato Grosso State, Brazil," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    15. Bastos Lima, Mairon G. & Kmoch, Laura, 2021. "Neglect paves the way for dispossession: The politics of “last frontiers” in Brazil and Myanmar," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    16. Marianno de Olivera, Laís Caroline & de Mendonça, Gislaine Costa & Araújo Costa, Renata Cristina & Leite de Camargo, Regina Aparecida & Fernandes, Luís Filipe Sanches & Pacheco, Fernando António Leal , 2023. "Impacts of urban sprawl in the Administrative Region of Ribeirão Preto (Brazil) and measures to restore improved landscapes," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    17. Shinde, Nilesh N. & Do Valle, Stella Z. Schons & Maia, Alexandre Gori & Amacher, Gregory S., 2022. "Can an environmental policy contribute to the reduction of land conflict? Evidence from the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) in the Brazilian Amazon," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322584, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    18. De Carvalho Reis Neves, Mateus & Freitas, Carlos Otavio & De Figueiredo Silva, Felipe, 2021. "Does cooperative membership increase rural income? Evidence from Brazilian agricultural sector," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 314006, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    19. Gardon, Fernando Ravanini & dos Santos, Rozely Ferreira, 2024. "Brazilian forest restoration: Success or better than nothing?," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    20. Neves, Mateus & Silva, Felipe de Figueiredo & de Freitas, Carlos Otávio, 2021. "Does Cooperative Membership Increase Rural Income? Evidence from Brazil’s Agricultural Sector," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315268, International Association of Agricultural Economists.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:99:y:2020:i:c:s0264837719323932. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joice Jiang (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/land-use-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.