IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jrpoli/v85y2023ipbs030142072300675x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Capital formation and natural resources extraction: A source of sustainable development or a curse for the economy?

Author

Listed:
  • Chen, Fu
  • Xu, Jie
  • Zhang, Weiwei
  • Wei, Bowen
  • Li, Tingting

Abstract

Based on the evidence that gross capital formation contracted during the Covid-19 pandemic, the drivers of contraction were mainly natural resources volatility and economic growth disturbance. Hence, during the post-pandemic, when the economic system is going towards recovery, policymakers have focused on the concerns of the contraction of gross capital formation in low-income economies; thus, this issue requires attention. Hence, this study examines the impact of natural resource rents and economic growth on the gross fixed capital formation of low, and middle-income aggregate groups from 1985 to 2021. We have leveraged various time series econometric techniques for this study, including the ADF-GLS unit root test, which examines the stationarity of modeled variables. The study found that coal, forest, and oil rents are stationary at level (0), whereas the remaining modeled variables are stationary at I (1). This study found long-term cointegration of dependent and explanatory variables through Bayer-Hanck cointegration. The study's empirical results demonstrate that GDP, oil rents, and forest rents significantly positively impact gross fixed capital formation. In contrast, natural gas rents reduce gross capital formation for the FMOLS, DOLS, and CCR methods. Moreover, the study found the impact of mineral and coal rents insignificant and inconclusive. The Robustness check results provide similar results in robust regression analysis and quantile regression. However, oil rents were found to be significant in lower quantiles and became insignificant in the upper quantiles. Thus, this study suggests policy implications regarding efficient and sustainable usage of natural resources to generate enough revenues for gross fixed capital formation.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Fu & Xu, Jie & Zhang, Weiwei & Wei, Bowen & Li, Tingting, 2023. "Capital formation and natural resources extraction: A source of sustainable development or a curse for the economy?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:85:y:2023:i:pb:s030142072300675x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103964
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030142072300675X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103964?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Topcu, Ebru & Altinoz, Buket & Aslan, Alper, 2020. "Global evidence from the link between economic growth, natural resources, energy consumption, and gross capital formation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    2. Park, Joon Y, 1992. "Canonical Cointegrating Regressions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(1), pages 119-143, January.
    3. Li, Menghan & Zhang, Kaiyue & Alamri, Ahmad Mohammed & Ageli, Mohammed Moosa & Khan, Numan, 2023. "Resource curse hypothesis and sustainable development: Evaluating the role of renewable energy and R&D," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Zhou, Guangyou & Zhu, Jieyu & Luo, Sumei, 2022. "The impact of fintech innovation on green growth in China: Mediating effect of green finance," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    5. Guan, Jialin & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Bibi, Ayesha & Zhang, Weike, 2020. "Natural resources rents nexus with financial development in the presence of globalization: Is the “resource curse” exist or myth?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    6. Amin Karimu & George Adu & George Marbuah & Justice Tei Mensah & Franklin Amuakwa-Mensah, 2017. "Natural Resource Revenues and Public Investment in Resource-rich Economies in Sub-Saharan Africa," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 107-130, November.
    7. Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1993. "A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 783-820, July.
    8. Koenker,Roger, 2005. "Quantile Regression," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521845731, January.
    9. Huiling Liu & Huiling Liu & Youcheng Zhou, 2022. "How does green trade affect the environment? Evidence from China," Journal of Economic Analysis, Anser Press, vol. 1(1), pages 1-19, September.
    10. Elliott, Graham & Rothenberg, Thomas J & Stock, James H, 1996. "Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 813-836, July.
    11. Amiri, Hossein & Sayadi, Mohammad & Mamipour, Siab, 2021. "Oil Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Outcomes; Fresh Evidences from a scenario-based NK-DSGE analysis for oil-exporting countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    12. Li, Li, 2023. "Commodity prices volatility and economic growth: Empirical evidence from natural resources industries of China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    13. Siyu Ren & Zhiyuan Liu & Zhiyuan Liu & Mingyue Du, 2022. "Does the internet development put pressure on energy-saving potential for environmental sustainability? Evidence from China," Journal of Economic Analysis, Anser Press, vol. 1(1), pages 50-65, September.
    14. Adams, Dawda & Adams, Kweku & Ullah, Subhan & Ullah, Farid, 2019. "Globalisation, governance, accountability and the natural resource ‘curse’: Implications for socio-economic growth of oil-rich developing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 128-140.
    15. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    16. Dogan, Eyup & Majeed, Muhammad Tariq & Luni, Tania, 2021. "Analyzing the impacts of geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty on natural resources rents," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    17. Seyfettin Erdoğan & Nigar Demircan Çakar & Recep Ulucak & Danish & Yacouba Kassouri, 2021. "The role of natural resources abundance and dependence in achieving environmental sustainability: Evidence from resource‐based economies," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 143-154, January.
    18. Peter Boswijk, H., 1994. "Testing for an unstable root in conditional and structural error correction models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 37-60, July.
    19. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    20. Pan, Kai & Cheng, Chengping & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Genç, Sema Yılmaz, 2021. "Does financial risk and fiscal decentralization curb resources curse hypothesis in China? Analyzing the role of globalization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    21. Anindya Banerjee & Juan Dolado & Ricardo Mestre, 1998. "Error‐correction Mechanism Tests for Cointegration in a Single‐equation Framework," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 267-283, May.
    22. Peter C. B. Phillips & Bruce E. Hansen, 1990. "Statistical Inference in Instrumental Variables Regression with I(1) Processes," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 57(1), pages 99-125.
    23. Auty, Richard M., 2001. "The political economy of resource-driven growth," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(4-6), pages 839-846, May.
    24. repec:bba:eallet:v:1:y:2022:i:2:p:23-27 is not listed on IDEAS
    25. Taner Turan & Halit Yanıkkaya, 2020. "Natural resource rents and capital accumulation nexus: do resource rents raise public human and physical capital expenditures?," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 22(3), pages 449-466, July.
    26. Khan, Zeeshan & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Zhang, Changyong, 2023. "Aggregate and disaggregate impact of natural resources on economic performance: Role of green growth and human capital," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    27. Michael Takudzwa Pasara & Rufaro Garidzirai, 2020. "Causality Effects among Gross Capital Formation, Unemployment and Economic Growth in South Africa," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-12, April.
    28. Joseph Mawejje & Patrick McSharry, 2021. "The economic cost of conflict: Evidence from South Sudan," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(4), pages 1969-1990, November.
    29. Li, Ying & Tariq, Muhammad & Khan, Saleem & Rjoub, Husam & Azhar, Aisha, 2022. "Natural resources rents, capital formation and economic performance: Evaluating the role of globalization," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    30. Chunji Zheng & Feng Deng & Chengfeng Zhuo & Weiheng Sun, 2022. "Green Credit Policy, Institution Supply and Enterprise Green Innovation," Journal of Economic Analysis, Anser Press, vol. 1(1), pages 20-34, September.
    31. Nabila Abid & Jianzu Wu & Fayyaz Ahmad & Muhammad Umar Draz & Abbas Ali Chandio & Hui Xu, 2020. "Incorporating Environmental Pollution and Human Development in the Energy-Growth Nexus: A Novel Long Run Investigation for Pakistan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(14), pages 1-22, July.
    32. Sachs, Jeffrey D. & Warner, Andrew M., 2001. "The curse of natural resources," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(4-6), pages 827-838, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gong, Qinyi & Ying, Limeng & Dai, Jiapeng, 2023. "Green finance and energy natural resources nexus with economic performance: A novel evidence from China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Zhang, Meng-Chen & Lin, Chun-Yu & Wei, Ying, 2023. "Natural resources exploration, efficiency of energy resources and financial development: Resources sector analysis via least square with structural breaks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    3. Zhang, Yi & Zhang, Leilei & Yu, Hang & Tu, Yanhong, 2023. "Does Geopolitical risk drive natural resources extraction globally? A Case of Global," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Wang, Zhen & Hu, Difei & Sami, Fariha & Uktamov, Khusniddin Fakhriddinovich, 2023. "Revisiting China's natural resources-growth-emissions nexus: Education expenditures and renewable energy innovation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    5. Wang, Yong & Li, Fang & Dou, Jiali, 2023. "Revisiting resources allocation for slow-moving economies: A way forward for low-income economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    6. Guan, Jialin & Kirikkaleli, Dervis & Bibi, Ayesha & Zhang, Weike, 2020. "Natural resources rents nexus with financial development in the presence of globalization: Is the “resource curse” exist or myth?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    7. Hu, Hao & Li, Ruida & Zhang, Leilei, 2023. "Financial development and resources curse hypothesis: China's COVID-19 perspective of natural resources extraction," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    8. Wang, Shubin & Wang, Tingting & Li, Jiabao & Zhao, Erlong, 2023. "Resource curse hypothesis in COP26 perspective: Access to clean fuel technology and electricity from renewable energy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    9. Liao, Haojie & Wei, Yi & Ali, Dr Sher & Uktamov, Khusniddin Fakhriddinovich & Ali, Naveed, 2023. "Natural resources extraction and industrial expansion: Natural resources a curse or blessing for the industrial sector of China?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    10. Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel & Bekun, Festus Victor & Etokakpan, Mfonobong Udom & Driha, Oana M., 2019. "A road to enhancements in natural gas use in Iran: A multivariate modelling approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    11. Li, Jiaqi & Li, Yushan & Zheng, Ziqi & Si, Xiaoyu, 2023. "Environment and natural resources degradation under COVID-19 crises: Recovery post pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    12. Chen, Zhiguo & Gao, Wei & Zafar, Quratulain & Dördüncü, Hazar, 2023. "Natural resources extraction and geopolitical risk: Examining oil resources extraction in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    13. Li, Shanshan & Long, Fang & Long, Litao, 2022. "Resources curse and sustainable development revisited: Evaluating the role of remittances for China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Yongliang Zhang & Md. Qamruzzaman & Salma Karim & Ishrat Jahan, 2021. "Nexus between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Renewable Energy Consumption in BRIC Nations: The Mediating Role of Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-29, August.
    15. Liu, Bailu & Tian, Jilin, 2023. "Natural resources led innovation: Employing structural break approach to explore USA's natural resources sector," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    16. Gu, Xiao & Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Ali, Shahid & Khan, Zeeshan & Zhang, Changyong & Uktamov, Khusniddin Fakhriddinovich, 2023. "Nonlinear impact of natural resources and risk factors on the U.S. economic growth," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    17. Oryani, Bahareh & Kamyab, Hesam & Mоridiаn, Аli & Azizi, Zahra & Rezania, Shahabaldin & Chelliapan, Shreeshivadasan, 2022. "Does structural change boost the energy demand in a fossil fuel-driven economy? New evidence from Iran," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PC).
    18. Yang, Xiaoming & Zhang, Jia & Xu, Zhaoyi, 2023. "Natural resources for policy makers: Revisiting COVID-19 perspective of aggregate South Asian economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    19. Ansgar Belke & Robert Czudaj, 2010. "Is Euro Area Money Demand (Still) Stable? Cointegrated VAR Versus Single Equation Techniques," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 56(4), pages 285-315.
    20. Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Abraham Ayobamiji Awosusi & Seun Damola Oladipupo & Ephraim Bonah Agyekum & Arunkumar Jayakumar & Nallapaneni Manoj Kumar, 2021. "Dominance of Fossil Fuels in Japan’s National Energy Mix and Implications for Environmental Sustainability," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(14), pages 1-20, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:85:y:2023:i:pb:s030142072300675x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30467 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.