IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jotrge/v69y2018icp207-220.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Inter-port interactions in the Le Havre-Hamburg range: A scenario analysis using a nonautonomous Lotka Volterra model

Author

Listed:
  • Marasco, Addolorata
  • Romano, Alessandro

Abstract

We propose an integrable nonautonomous Lotka-Volterra model to carry out a quantitative study of the interaction among container ports located in the Le Havre-Hamburg range. We find that mutualism is emerging among the ports located in the Benelux area, but not among German ports. Moreover, we develop three alternative scenarios and find that (i) for mutualism to emerge no port must be too strong vis-à-vis the others; (ii) the kind of interaction among ports depends on their geographic location, the services they provide, and demand-side factors; and (iii) upgrading intermodal connections can produce externalities that are not internalized by the investing port/country.

Suggested Citation

  • Marasco, Addolorata & Romano, Alessandro, 2018. "Inter-port interactions in the Le Havre-Hamburg range: A scenario analysis using a nonautonomous Lotka Volterra model," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 207-220.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:69:y:2018:i:c:p:207-220
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2018.04.018
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0966692317307433
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2018.04.018?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Varho, Vilja & Tapio, Petri, 2013. "Combining the qualitative and quantitative with the Q2 scenario technique — The case of transport and climate," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(4), pages 611-630.
    2. Yuen, Chi-lok Andrew & Zhang, Anming & Cheung, Waiman, 2012. "Port competitiveness from the users' perspective: An analysis of major container ports in China and its neighboring countries," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 34-40.
    3. Wouter Jacobs & Theo Notteboom, 2011. "An Evolutionary Perspective on Regional Port Systems: The Role of Windows of Opportunity in Shaping Seaport Competition," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 43(7), pages 1674-1692, July.
    4. Yeo, Gi-Tae & Roe, Michael & Dinwoodie, John, 2008. "Evaluating the competitiveness of container ports in Korea and China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 42(6), pages 910-921, July.
    5. van der Lugt, Larissa M. & Rodrigues, Suzana B. & van den Berg, Roy, 2014. "Co-evolution of the strategic reorientation of port actors: insights from the Port of Rotterdam and the Port of Barcelona," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 197-209.
    6. Wei Yim Yap & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam & Kevin Cullinane, 2011. "A Theoretical Framework For The Evaluation Of Competition Between Container Terminal Operators," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 56(04), pages 535-559.
    7. Barry Zondag & Pietro Bucci & Padideh Gützkow & Gerard de Jong, 2010. "Port competition modeling including maritime, port, and hinterland characteristics," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 179-194, May.
    8. Wadud, Zia & MacKenzie, Don & Leiby, Paul, 2016. "Help or hindrance? The travel, energy and carbon impacts of highly automated vehicles," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-18.
    9. Kun Wang & Adolf K Y Ng & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam & Xiaowen Fu, 2012. "Cooperation or competition? Factors and conditions affecting regional port governance in South China," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 14(3), pages 386-408, September.
    10. Notteboom, Theo, 2016. "The adaptive capacity of container ports in an era of mega vessels: The case of upstream seaports Antwerp and Hamburg," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 295-309.
    11. Wang, Xinchang & Meng, Qiang, 2011. "The impact of landbridge on the market shares of Asian ports," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 190-203, March.
    12. Wei Zhang & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam, 2013. "Maritime cluster evolution based on symbiosis theory and Lotka--Volterra model," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 161-176, March.
    13. Tongzon, Jose & Heng, Wu, 2005. "Port privatization, efficiency and competitiveness: Some empirical evidence from container ports (terminals)," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 405-424, June.
    14. Twrdy, Elen & Batista, Milan, 2016. "Modeling of container throughput in Northern Adriatic ports over the period 1990–2013," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 131-142.
    15. Zhong, Shaopeng & Wang, Shusheng & Jiang, Yao & Yu, Bo & Zhang, Wenhao, 2015. "Distinguishing the land use effects of road pricing based on the urban form attributes," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 44-58.
    16. Olaf Merk & Theo Notteboom, 2015. "Port Hinterland Connectivity," International Transport Forum Discussion Papers 2015/13, OECD Publishing.
    17. Heather Mclaughlin & Colm Fearon, 2013. "Understanding the development of port and regional relationships: a new cooperation/competition matrix," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 278-294, May.
    18. Saeed, Naima & Larsen, Odd I., 2010. "An application of cooperative game among container terminals of one port," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 393-403, June.
    19. Theo E Notteboom, 2009. "Complementarity and Substitutability among Adjacent Gateway Ports," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 41(3), pages 743-762, March.
    20. Notteboom, Theo E. & Parola, Francesco & Satta, Giovanni & Pallis, Athanasios A., 2017. "The relationship between port choice and terminal involvement of alliance members in container shipping," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 158-173.
    21. Dong, Congli & Schoups, Gerrit & van de Giesen, Nick, 2013. "Scenario development for water resource planning and management: A review," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(4), pages 749-761.
    22. Franc, Pierre & Van der Horst, Martijn, 2010. "Understanding hinterland service integration by shipping lines and terminal operators: a theoretical and empirical analysis," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 557-566.
    23. Asgari, Nasrin & Hassani, Ashkan & Jones, Dylan & Nguye, Huy Hoang, 2015. "Sustainability ranking of the UK major ports: Methodology and case study," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 19-39.
    24. Liu, Liming & Wang, Kelly Yujie & Yip, Tsz Leung, 2013. "Development of a container port system in Pearl River Delta: path to multi-gateway ports," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 30-38.
    25. Albert Veenstra & Rob Zuidwijk & Eelco van Asperen, 2012. "The extended gate concept for container terminals: Expanding the notion of dry ports," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 14(1), pages 14-32, March.
    26. Qu, Xiaobo & Meng, Qiang, 2012. "The economic importance of the Straits of Malacca and Singapore: An extreme-scenario analysis," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 258-265.
    27. Wang, Hua & Meng, Qiang & Zhang, Xiaoning, 2014. "Game-theoretical models for competition analysis in a new emerging liner container shipping market," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 201-227.
    28. Merkel, Axel, 2017. "Spatial competition and complementarity in European port regions," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 40-47.
    29. Marasco, A. & Picucci, A. & Romano, A., 2016. "Market share dynamics using Lotka–Volterra models," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 49-62.
    30. Ko, Ahyun & Myung, Cha-Lee & Park, Simsoo & Kwon, Sangil, 2014. "Scenario-based CO2 emissions reduction potential and energy use in Republic of Korea’s passenger vehicle fleet," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 346-356.
    31. Kashiha, Mona & Thill, Jean-Claude & Depken, Craig A., 2016. "Shipping route choice across geographies: Coastal vs. landlocked countries," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1-14.
    32. Asgari, Nasrin & Farahani, Reza Zanjirani & Goh, Mark, 2013. "Network design approach for hub ports-shipping companies competition and cooperation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-18.
    33. Steven, Adams B. & Corsi, Thomas M., 2012. "Choosing a port: An analysis of containerized imports into the US," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 48(4), pages 881-895.
    34. Simme J Veldman & Ewout H Bückmann, 2003. "A Model on Container Port Competition: An Application for the West European Container Hub-Ports," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 5(1), pages 3-22, March.
    35. Notteboom, Theo E., 2010. "Concentration and the formation of multi-port gateway regions in the European container port system: an update," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 567-583.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chiara Sotis, 2021. "How do Google searches for symptoms, news and unemployment interact during COVID-19? A Lotka–Volterra analysis of google trends data," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 55(6), pages 2001-2016, December.
    2. Focacci, Chiara Natalie, 2021. "Technological unemployment, robotisation, and green deal: A story of unstable spillovers in China and South Korea (2008–2018)," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    3. Goran Dominioni & Alessandro Romano & Chiara Sotis, 2019. "A Quantitative Study of the Interactions between Oil Price and Renewable Energy Sources Stock Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-11, May.
    4. Guanglu Zhang & Douglas Allaire & Venkatesh Shankar & Daniel A McAdams, 2019. "A case against the trickle-down effect in technology ecosystems," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(6), pages 1-7, June.
    5. Dominioni, Goran & Romano, Alessandro & Sotis, Chiari, 2019. "A quantitative study of the interactions between oil price and renewable energy sources stock prices," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100548, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Truong Ngoc Cuong & Sam-Sang You & Le Ngoc Bao Long & Hwan-Seong Kim, 2022. "Seaport Resilience Analysis and Throughput Forecast Using a Deep Learning Approach: A Case Study of Busan Port," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-25, October.
    7. Yang, Dong & Notteboom, Theo & Zhou, Xin, 2021. "Spatial, temporal and institutional characteristics of entry strategies in inland container terminals: A comparison between Yangtze River and Rhine River," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Luo, Meifeng & Chen, Fuying & Zhang, Jiantong, 2022. "Relationships among port competition, cooperation and competitiveness: A literature review," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 1-9.
    2. Yoon, Junghyun & Lee, Hee Yong & Dinwoodie, John, 2015. "Competitiveness of container terminal operating companies in South Korea and the industry–university–government network," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1-14.
    3. Song, Zhuzhu & Tang, Wansheng & Zhao, Ruiqing, 2018. "Cooperation mode for a liner company with heterogeneous ports: Business cooperation vs. port investment," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 513-533.
    4. Guo, Liquan & Yang, Dong & Yang, Zhongzhen, 2018. "Port integration method in multi-port regions (MPRs) based on the maximal social welfare of the external transport system," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 243-257.
    5. Julián Martínez Moya & María Feo Valero, 2017. "Port choice in container market: a literature review," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 300-321, May.
    6. Lee, Chung-Yee & Song, Dong-Ping, 2017. "Ocean container transport in global supply chains: Overview and research opportunities," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 442-474.
    7. Zhu, Shengda & Fu, Xiaowen & Bell, Michael G.H., 2021. "Container shipping line port choice patterns in East Asia the effects of port affiliation and spatial dependence," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    8. Parola, Francesco & Pallis, Athanasios A. & Risitano, Marcello & Ferretti, Marco, 2018. "Marketing strategies of Port Authorities: A multi-dimensional theorisation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 199-212.
    9. Song, Dong-Ping & Lyons, Andrew & Li, Dong & Sharifi, Hossein, 2016. "Modeling port competition from a transport chain perspective," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 75-96.
    10. Lee, Choong Bae & Wan, Junbin & Shi, Wenming & Li, Kevin, 2014. "A cross-country study of competitiveness of the shipping industry," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 366-376.
    11. Vega, Laura & Cantillo, Víctor & Arellana, Julián, 2019. "Assessing the impact of major infrastructure projects on port choice decision: The Colombian case," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 132-148.
    12. Dong, Gang & Zheng, Shiyuan & Lee, Paul Tae-Woo, 2018. "The effects of regional port integration: The case of Ningbo-Zhoushan Port," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 1-15.
    13. Li, Shan & Haralambides, Hercules & Zeng, Qingcheng, 2022. "Economic forces shaping the evolution of integrated port systems - The case of the container port system of China's Pearl River Delta," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    14. Zeng, Qingcheng & Wang, Grace W.Y. & Qu, Chenrui & Li, Kevin X., 2018. "Impact of the Carat Canal on the evolution of hub ports under China’s Belt and Road initiative," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 96-107.
    15. Zhang, Qiang & Yan, Kai & Yang, Dong, 2021. "Port system evolution in Chinese coastal regions: A provincial perspective," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    16. Martínez-Moya, Julián & Feo-Valero, María, 2022. "Do shippers’ characteristics influence port choice criteria? Capturing heterogeneity by using latent class models," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 96-105.
    17. Jordi Caballé Valls & Peter W. Langen & Lorena García Alonso & José Ángel Vallejo Pinto, 2020. "Understanding Port Choice Determinants and Port Hinterlands: Findings from an Empirical Analysis of Spain," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 22(1), pages 53-67, March.
    18. Kashiha, Mona & Thill, Jean-Claude & Depken, Craig A., 2016. "Shipping route choice across geographies: Coastal vs. landlocked countries," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 1-14.
    19. Dung-Ying Lin & Chien-Chih Huang & ManWo Ng, 2017. "The coopetition game in international liner shipping," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 474-495, May.
    20. Feo-Valero, María & Martínez-Moya, Julián, 2022. "Shippers vs. freight forwarders: Do they differ in their port choice decisions? Evidence from the Spanish ceramic tile industry," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jotrge:v:69:y:2018:i:c:p:207-220. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-transport-geography .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.