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Systemic financial risk and macroeconomic activity in China

Author

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  • He, Qing
  • Liu, Junyi
  • Gan, Jingyun
  • Qian, Zongxin

Abstract

Using the principal components quantile regression (PCQR) method, we construct a systemic financial risk index that aggregates information from 15 popular measures of systemic risk. The empirical results indicate that our index is able to accurately predict the distribution of subsequent shocks to the real economy of China.

Suggested Citation

  • He, Qing & Liu, Junyi & Gan, Jingyun & Qian, Zongxin, 2019. "Systemic financial risk and macroeconomic activity in China," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 57-63.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jebusi:v:102:y:2019:i:c:p:57-63
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconbus.2018.10.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Billio, Monica & Getmansky, Mila & Lo, Andrew W. & Pelizzon, Loriana, 2012. "Econometric measures of connectedness and systemic risk in the finance and insurance sectors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(3), pages 535-559.
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    5. Giglio, Stefano & Kelly, Bryan & Pruitt, Seth, 2016. "Systemic risk and the macroeconomy: An empirical evaluation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(3), pages 457-471.
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    7. Claudio Borio, 2003. "Towards a Macroprudential Framework for Financial Supervision and Regulation?," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo, vol. 49(2), pages 181-215.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ghufran Ahmad & Muhammad Suhail Rizwan & Dawood Ashraf, 2021. "Systemic risk and macroeconomic forecasting: A globally applicable copula‐based approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1420-1443, December.
    2. Aleh Mazol, 2019. "The Influence of Financial Stress on Economic Activity and Monetary Policy in Belarus," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 44(2), pages 49-75, June.
    3. Seyed Babak Ebrahimi & Ehsan Bagheri, 2022. "A multi-objective formulation for the closed-loop plastic supply chain under uncertainty," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 22(5), pages 4725-4768, November.
    4. Xiaoming Zhang & Chunyan Wei & Stefano Zedda, 2019. "Analysis of China Commercial Banks’ Systemic Risk Sustainability through the Leave-One-Out Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Systemic financial risk; Principal components quantile regression; Real economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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