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Consistency in meeting or beating earnings expectations and management earnings forecasts

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  • Kross, William J.
  • Ro, Byung T.
  • Suk, Inho
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    Abstract

    This paper provides evidence that firms that have consistently met or beaten analysts' earnings expectations (MBE) provide more frequent "bad news" management forecasts than firms with no established string of MBE, particularly when existing analyst forecasts are optimistic. This suggests that firms with a consistent MBE record are more likely to guide analysts' expectations downward to avoid breaking the consistency. Subsequent analyst forecast revisions following bad news management forecasts issued by these firms are dampened, implying that analysts suspect that these forecasts may be opportunistic. The relation between management forecasts and MBE consistency is stronger after Regulation FD.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Accounting and Economics.

    Volume (Year): 51 (2011)
    Issue (Month): 1-2 (February)
    Pages: 37-57

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    Handle: RePEc:eee:jaecon:v:51:y:2011:i:1-2:p:37-57

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    Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jae

    Related research

    Keywords: Consistency in meeting and beating earnings expectations Management forecast disclosure Forecast bias Analyst forecast revision Regulation Fair Disclosure;

    References

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    1. Ke, Bin & Huddart, Steven & Petroni, Kathy, 2003. "What insiders know about future earnings and how they use it: Evidence from insider trades," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 315-346, August.
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    14. Field, Laura & Lowry, Michelle & Shu, Susan, 2005. "Does disclosure deter or trigger litigation?," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 487-507, September.
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    Cited by:
    1. Rogers, Jonathan L. & Van Buskirk, Andrew, 2013. "Bundled forecasts in empirical accounting research," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 43-65.
    2. Michael Lacina & Byung Ro, 2013. "Market implied future earnings and analysts’ forecasts," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 295-341, August.

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