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Optimal reinsurance under the mean–variance premium principle to minimize the probability of ruin

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  • Liang, Xiaoqing
  • Liang, Zhibin
  • Young, Virginia R.

Abstract

We consider the problem of minimizing the probability of ruin by purchasing reinsurance whose premium is computed according to the mean–variance premium principle, a combination of the expected-value and variance premium principles. We derive closed-form expressions of the optimal reinsurance strategy and the corresponding minimum probability of ruin under the diffusion approximation of the classical Cramér–Lundberg risk process perturbed by a diffusion. We find an explicit expression for the reinsurance strategy that maximizes the adjustment coefficient for the classical risk process perturbed by a diffusion. Also, for this risk process, we use stochastic Perron’s method to prove that the minimum probability of ruin is the unique viscosity solution of its Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equation with appropriate boundary conditions. Finally, we prove that, under an appropriate scaling of the classical risk process, the minimum probability of ruin converges to the minimum probability of ruin under the diffusion approximation.

Suggested Citation

  • Liang, Xiaoqing & Liang, Zhibin & Young, Virginia R., 2020. "Optimal reinsurance under the mean–variance premium principle to minimize the probability of ruin," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 128-146.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:92:y:2020:i:c:p:128-146
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2020.03.008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Danping & Young, Virginia R., 2021. "Bowley solution of a mean–variance game in insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 35-43.
    2. Zuo Quan Xu, 2021. "Moral-hazard-free insurance: mean-variance premium principle and rank-dependent utility theory," Papers 2108.06940, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    3. Andreas Karathanasopoulos & Chia Chun Lo & Xiaorong Ma & Zhenjiang Qin, 2021. "Maintaining cost and ruin probability," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 759-793, August.
    4. Ling Wang & Mei Choi Chiu & Hoi Ying Wong, 2021. "Time-consistent mean-variance reinsurance-investment problem with long-range dependent mortality rate," Papers 2112.06602, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Optimal reinsurance; Probability of ruin; Classical risk model; Diffusion perturbation; Diffusion approximation; Asymptotic analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies

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