IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/insuma/v66y2016icp124-137.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Bayesian quantile regression model for claim count data

Author

Listed:
  • Fuzi, Mohd Fadzli Mohd
  • Jemain, Abdul Aziz
  • Ismail, Noriszura

Abstract

Quantile regression model estimates the relationship between the quantile of a response distribution and the regression parameters, and has been developed for linear models with continuous responses. In this paper, we apply Bayesian quantile regression model for the Malaysian motor insurance claim count data to study the effects of change in the estimates of regression parameters (or the rating factors) on the magnitude of the response variable (or the claim count). We also compare the results of quantile regression models from the Bayesian and frequentist approaches and the results of mean regression models from the Poisson and negative binomial. Comparison from Poisson and Bayesian quantile regression models shows that the effects of vehicle year decrease as the quantile increases, suggesting that the rating factor has lower risk for higher claim counts. On the other hand, the effects of vehicle type increase as the quantile increases, indicating that the rating factor has higher risk for higher claim counts.

Suggested Citation

  • Fuzi, Mohd Fadzli Mohd & Jemain, Abdul Aziz & Ismail, Noriszura, 2016. "Bayesian quantile regression model for claim count data," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 124-137.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:66:y:2016:i:c:p:124-137
    DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.11.004
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167668715001651
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.insmatheco.2015.11.004?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Duncan Lee & Tereza Neocleous, 2010. "Bayesian quantile regression for count data with application to environmental epidemiology," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 59(5), pages 905-920, November.
    2. Koenker,Roger, 2005. "Quantile Regression," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521845731.
    3. de Jong,Piet & Heller,Gillian Z., 2008. "Generalized Linear Models for Insurance Data," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521879149.
    4. Machado, Jose A.F. & Silva, J. M. C. Santos, 2005. "Quantiles for Counts," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 100, pages 1226-1237, December.
    5. Klein, Nadja & Denuit, Michel & Lang, Stefan & Kneib, Thomas, 2014. "Nonlife ratemaking and risk management with Bayesian generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 225-249.
    6. Roger Koenker & Kevin F. Hallock, 2001. "Quantile Regression," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 143-156, Fall.
    7. Kudryavtsev, Andrey A., 2009. "Using quantile regression for rate-making," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 296-304, October.
    8. Pitt, D. G. W., 2006. "Regression Quantile Analysis of Claim Termination Rates for Income Protection Insurance," Annals of Actuarial Science, Cambridge University Press, vol. 1(2), pages 345-357, September.
    9. Yu, Keming & Moyeed, Rana A., 2001. "Bayesian quantile regression," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 437-447, October.
    10. Rousseeuw, P. & Daniels, B. & Leroy, A., 1984. "Applying robust regression to insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 67-72, January.
    11. Portnoy, Esther, 1997. "Regression-quantile graduation of Australian life tables, 1946-1992," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 163-172, November.
    12. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    13. Klein, Nadja & Denuit, Michel & Lang, Stefan & Kneib, Thomas, 2014. "Nonlife ratemaking and risk management with Bayesian generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2014006, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    14. Bermúdez, Lluís & Karlis, Dimitris, 2011. "Bayesian multivariate Poisson models for insurance ratemaking," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 226-236, March.
    15. Hossein Zamani & Noriszura Ismail, 2013. "Score test for testing zero-inflated Poisson regression against zero-inflated generalized Poisson alternatives," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(9), pages 2056-2068, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shengkun Xie & Anna T. Lawniczak, 2018. "Estimating Major Risk Factor Relativities in Rate Filings Using Generalized Linear Models," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-14, October.
    2. Volition Tlhalitshi Montshiwa & Ntebogang Dinah Moroke, 2017. "The Effect of Sample Size on the Efficiency of Count Data Models: Application to Marriage Data," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 9(3), pages 6-18.
    3. Chawarat Rotejanaprasert & Andrew B. Lawson, 2018. "A Bayesian Quantile Modeling for Spatiotemporal Relative Risk: An Application to Adverse Risk Detection of Respiratory Diseases in South Carolina, USA," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-15, September.
    4. Baidyanath Biswas & Pooja Sengupta & Boudhayan Ganguly, 2022. "Your reviews or mine? Exploring the determinants of “perceived helpfulness” of online reviews: a cross-cultural study," Electronic Markets, Springer;IIM University of St. Gallen, vol. 32(3), pages 1083-1102, September.
    5. Pai, Jeffrey & Li, Yunxian & Yang, Aijun & Li, Chenxu, 2022. "Earthquake parametric insurance with Bayesian spatial quantile regression," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-12.
    6. Xuejun Jiang & Yunxian Li & Aijun Yang & Ruowei Zhou, 2020. "Bayesian semiparametric quantile regression modeling for estimating earthquake fatality risk," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2085-2103, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kudryavtsev, Andrey A., 2009. "Using quantile regression for rate-making," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 296-304, October.
    2. Luke B. Smith & Brian J. Reich & Amy H. Herring & Peter H. Langlois & Montserrat Fuentes, 2015. "Multilevel quantile function modeling with application to birth outcomes," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 508-519, June.
    3. Xuejun Jiang & Yunxian Li & Aijun Yang & Ruowei Zhou, 2020. "Bayesian semiparametric quantile regression modeling for estimating earthquake fatality risk," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2085-2103, May.
    4. Pitselis, Georgios, 2013. "Quantile credibility models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 477-489.
    5. Paul Hewson & Keming Yu, 2008. "Quantile regression for binary performance indicators," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(5), pages 401-418, September.
    6. Jesus regstdpo-Cuaresma & Neil Foster & Robert Stehrer, 2011. "Determinants of Regional Economic Growth by Quantile," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(6), pages 809-826.
    7. Maria Marino & Alessio Farcomeni, 2015. "Linear quantile regression models for longitudinal experiments: an overview," METRON, Springer;Sapienza Università di Roma, vol. 73(2), pages 229-247, August.
    8. Pitselis, Georgios, 2020. "Multi-stage nested classification credibility quantile regression model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 162-176.
    9. Bernardi, Mauro & Bottone, Marco & Petrella, Lea, 2018. "Bayesian quantile regression using the skew exponential power distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 92-111.
    10. Pai, Jeffrey & Li, Yunxian & Yang, Aijun & Li, Chenxu, 2022. "Earthquake parametric insurance with Bayesian spatial quantile regression," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-12.
    11. Akosah, Nana Kwame & Alagidede, Imhotep Paul & Schaling, Eric, 2020. "Testing for asymmetry in monetary policy rule for small-open developing economies: Multiscale Bayesian quantile evidence from Ghana," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    12. Muller, Christophe, 2018. "Heterogeneity and nonconstant effect in two-stage quantile regression," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 8(C), pages 3-12.
    13. Narula, Subhash C. & Wellington, John F. & Lewis, Stephen A., 2012. "Valuating residential real estate using parametric programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 217(1), pages 120-128.
    14. Aivars Spilbergs & Andris Fomins & Māris Krastiņš, 2022. "Multivariate Modelling of Motor Third Party Liability Insurance Claims," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 5-18.
    15. Jean-Marc Fournier & Isabell Koske, 2012. "The determinants of earnings inequality: evidence from quantile regressions," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, vol. 2012(1), pages 7-36.
    16. Duschl, Matthias & Schimke, Antje & Brenner, Thomas & Luxen, Dennis, 2011. "Firm growth and the spatial impact of geolocated external factors: Empirical evidence for German manufacturing firms," Working Paper Series in Economics 36, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.
    17. Pfarrhofer, Michael, 2022. "Modeling tail risks of inflation using unobserved component quantile regressions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    18. Cariou, Pierre & Wolff, Francois-Charles, 2015. "Identifying substandard vessels through Port State Control inspections: A new methodology for Concentrated Inspection Campaigns," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 27-39.
    19. Chowdhury, Biplob & Jeyasreedharan, Nagaratnam & Dungey, Mardi, 2018. "Quantile relationships between standard, diffusion and jump betas across Japanese banks," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 29-47.
    20. Christophe Muller, 2019. "Linear Quantile Regression and Endogeneity Correction," Biostatistics and Biometrics Open Access Journal, Juniper Publishers Inc., vol. 9(5), pages 123-128, August.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:66:y:2016:i:c:p:124-137. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505554 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.