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Analyzing the critical risk factors associated with oil and gas pipeline projects in Iraq

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  • Kraidi, Layth
  • Shah, Raj
  • Matipa, Wilfred
  • Borthwick, Fiona

Abstract

Although Oil and Gas Pipelines (OGPs) are a safe and economical mode of transportation of petroleum products around the world, they face challenges caused by risk factors. These include safety, security, design, construction and operational risks due to Third Party Disruption (TPD) and acts of terrorism, particularly in developing and unstable countries like Iraq. A lack of knowledge about managing such risks and the scarcity of past data about pipeline failures are hindering OGP risk management systems. This paper, therefore, focuses on identifying and analyzing the risks caused by TDP in order to develop a holistic Risk Management Model (RMM). A semi-structured questionnaire was designed, using 30 risk factors identified through a comprehensive literature review, distributed to OGP stakeholders in Iraq, via an online survey tool, to collect the research data. SPSS was used to analyze the data and evaluate risk factors which were ranked in order of likelihood and severity level using a risk index method. A conceptual framework for the RMM is presented, based on the literature review and survey findings. The results reveal that terrorism, sabotage, oleum product transportation, however and theft are the most critical safety risks, official corruption and lawlessness the most influential factors for regulatory risks. Pipeline location “Hot-Zones” also have a serious impact on the failure of pipelines. A computer-based risk management model will be developed at the next stage of the study using the RMM and the results of the numerical risk analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Kraidi, Layth & Shah, Raj & Matipa, Wilfred & Borthwick, Fiona, 2019. "Analyzing the critical risk factors associated with oil and gas pipeline projects in Iraq," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 14-22.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ijocip:v:24:y:2019:i:c:p:14-22
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcip.2018.10.010
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jihong Ye & Yiyang Fang & Xinxiang Yang, 2022. "Vulnerability Analysis of Harbor Oil Pipeline Affected by Typhoon," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-17, September.
    2. Ahsan Waqar & Idris Othman & Roberto Alonso González-Lezcano, 2023. "Challenges to the Implementation of BIM for the Risk Management of Oil and Gas Construction Projects: Structural Equation Modeling Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-28, May.
    3. Chao Zhang & Wan Wang & Fengjiao Xu & Yong Chen & Tingxin Qin, 2022. "A Risk Treatment Strategy Model for Oil Pipeline Accidents Based on a Bayesian Decision Network Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(20), pages 1-16, October.
    4. Shengli, Liu & Yongtu, Liang, 2019. "Exploring the temporal structure of time series data for hazardous liquid pipeline incidents based on complex network theory," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    5. Wang, WuChang & Zhang, Yi & Li, YuXing & Hu, Qihui & Liu, Chengsong & Liu, Cuiwei, 2022. "Vulnerability analysis method based on risk assessment for gas transmission capabilities of natural gas pipeline networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).

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