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Explosive behavior in the prices of Bitcoin and altcoins

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  • Cagli, Efe Caglar

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate explosive behavior in the prices of Bitcoin and seven other altcoins: Ethereum, Ripple, Litecoin, Stellar, Nem, Dash, and Monero. We analyze the daily prices of these cryptocurrencies between September 2015 and January 2018 using the new “explosive process framework” of Chen et al. (2017). We find that all cryptocurrencies other than Nem exhibit explosive behavior and reveal significant pairwise co-movement relationships among the explosive cryptocurrencies. In particular, we detect statistically significant bilateral co-explosive relationships at the 10% level or better between the following pairs: Bitcoin–Dash, Ethereum–Litecoin, Ethereum–Dash, Ethereum–Monero, and Ripple–Stellar.

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  • Cagli, Efe Caglar, 2019. "Explosive behavior in the prices of Bitcoin and altcoins," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 398-403.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:29:y:2019:i:c:p:398-403
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.09.007
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    6. Zhiyong Tu & Lan Ju, 2019. "A Normative Dual-value Theory for Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies," Papers 1904.05028, arXiv.org.
    7. Aurelio F. Bariviera & Ignasi Merediz‐Solà, 2021. "Where Do We Stand In Cryptocurrencies Economic Research? A Survey Based On Hybrid Analysis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 377-407, April.
    8. Aniruddha Dutta & Saket Kumar & Meheli Basu, 2019. "A Gated Recurrent Unit Approach to Bitcoin Price Prediction," Papers 1912.11166, arXiv.org.
    9. Kong, Xiaolin & Ma, Chaoqun & Ren, Yi-Shuai & Narayan, Seema & Nguyen, Thong Trung & Baltas, Konstantinos, 2023. "Changes in the market structure and risk management of Bitcoin and its forked coins," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
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    11. Eray Gemici & Muslum Polat & Remzi Gök & Muhammad Asif Khan & Mohammed Arshad Khan & Yunus Kilic, 2023. "Do Bubbles in the Bitcoin Market Impact Stock Markets? Evidence From 10 Major Stock Markets," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(2), pages 21582440231, June.
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    13. Yuzhi Cai & Thanaset Chevapatrakul & Danilo V. Mascia, 2021. "How is price explosivity triggered in the cryptocurrency markets?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 307(1), pages 37-51, December.
    14. Aniruddha Dutta & Saket Kumar & Meheli Basu, 2020. "A Gated Recurrent Unit Approach to Bitcoin Price Prediction," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-16, February.
    15. Svogun, Daniel & Bazán-Palomino, Walter, 2022. "Technical analysis in cryptocurrency markets: Do transaction costs and bubbles matter?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    16. Yang, Boyu & Sun, Yuying & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "A novel two-stage approach for cryptocurrency analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    17. Mensi, Walid & Al-Yahyaee, Khamis Hamed & Wanas Al-Jarrah, Idries Mohammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Does volatility connectedness across major cryptocurrencies behave the same at different frequencies? A portfolio risk analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 96-113.
    18. Lee, Seungho & Meslmani, Nabil El & Switzer, Lorne N., 2020. "Pricing Efficiency and Arbitrage in the Bitcoin Spot and Futures Markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    19. Dulani Jayasuriya Daluwathumullagamage & Alexandra Sims, 2021. "Fantastic Beasts: Blockchain Based Banking," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-43, April.
    20. Ozkan Haykir & Ibrahim Yagli, 2022. "Speculative bubbles and herding in cryptocurrencies," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-33, December.
    21. Muhammad Ikhlas Rosele & Abdul Muneem & Azizi Bin Che Seman & Luqman Bin Haji Abdullah & Noor Naemah Binti Abdul Rahman & Mohd Edil Bin Abd Sukor & Abdul Karim Bin Ali, 2022. "The Concept of Wealth (mÄ l) in the SharÄ«Ê¿ah and Its Relation to Digital Assets," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(2), pages 21582440221, June.
    22. Ferreira, Paulo & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Pereira, Eder Johnson de Area Leão, 2020. "DCCA and DMCA correlations of cryptocurrency markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 545(C).
    23. Assaf, Ata & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin & Demir, Ender, 2022. "Using transfer entropy to measure information flows between cryptocurrencies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 586(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Explosiveness; Bubble; Cryptocurrency; Bitcoin; Altcoin; Double asymptotic theory;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics

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