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Idiosyncratic volatility and cash flow volatility: New evidence from S&P 500

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  • Pae, Yuntaek
  • Bae, Sung C.
  • Lee, Namhoon

Abstract

Employing firm-level data of S&P 500 constituent companies from 1990 to 2016, we offer new evidence on the strong time series and cross-sectional relationships between Idiosyncratic stock return volatility (Ivol) and cash flow volatility even after controlling for illiquidity and firm size, which also vary by period of economic condition. Our results show that Ivol is well explained by the volatility of the three components of DuPont ROE. Aggregate asset turnover volatility alone explains 81.8% of the time series variation of aggregate Ivol, and all independent variables explain 94.7% of the aggregate Ivol. While profit margin volatility and asset turnover volatility have significant relationships with Ivol during the sample period, the volatility of equity multiplier shows significance during the two recession periods in early and late 2000s.

Suggested Citation

  • Pae, Yuntaek & Bae, Sung C. & Lee, Namhoon, 2018. "Idiosyncratic volatility and cash flow volatility: New evidence from S&P 500," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 127-135.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:56:y:2018:i:c:p:127-135
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2018.01.001
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    2. Nguyen, Truong-Giang, 2020. "Stock liquidity and dividend policy: Evidence from an imputation tax environment," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    3. Liu, Hao & Zhang, Qun, 2021. "Firm age and realized idiosyncratic return volatility in China: The role of short-sales constraints," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Idiosyncratic volatility; Cash flow volatility; DuPont analysis; S&P 500 companies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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