IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v363y2017icp122-136.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Which factors and processes drive the spatio-temporal dynamics of brackish marshes?—Insights from development and parameterisation of a mechanistic vegetation model

Author

Listed:
  • Carus, Jana
  • Heuner, Maike
  • Paul, Maike
  • Schröder, Boris

Abstract

Tidal marsh vegetation offers important ecosystem services. However, in many estuaries, extensive embankments, artificial bank protection, river dredging and agriculture threaten tidal marshes. In this study we analysed the processes underlying the spatio-temporal patterns of tidal marsh vegetation in the Elbe estuary and quantified the influence of specific habitat factors by developing and applying the process-based dynamic habitat-macrophyte model HaMac in a pattern-oriented way. In order to develop and parameterise the model, we measured a wide range of biotic and abiotic parameters in two study sites in the Elbe estuary and compared observed and simulated patterns. The final model is able to reproduce the general patterns of vegetation zonation, development and growth and thus helps to understand the underlying processes. By considering the vegetative reproduction of marsh plants as well as abiotic influence factors and intraspecific competition, HaMac allowed to systematically analyse the significance of factors and processes for the dynamic of tidal marsh vegetation. Our results show that rhizome growth is the most important process and that flow velocity, inundation height and duration as well as intraspecific competition are the most important habitat factors for explaining spatio-temporal dynamics of brackish marshes. Future applications of HaMac could support the sustainable development and stabilisation of shore zones and thus contribute to the promotion and planning of ecosystem-based shoreline protection measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Carus, Jana & Heuner, Maike & Paul, Maike & Schröder, Boris, 2017. "Which factors and processes drive the spatio-temporal dynamics of brackish marshes?—Insights from development and parameterisation of a mechanistic vegetation model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 363(C), pages 122-136.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:363:y:2017:i:c:p:122-136
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.08.023
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380017300923
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.08.023?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stijn Temmerman & Patrick Meire & Tjeerd J. Bouma & Peter M. J. Herman & Tom Ysebaert & Huib J. De Vriend, 2013. "Ecosystem-based coastal defence in the face of global change," Nature, Nature, vol. 504(7478), pages 79-83, December.
    2. Laura Geselbracht & Kathleen Freeman & Eugene Kelly & Doria Gordon & Francis Putz, 2011. "Retrospective and prospective model simulations of sea level rise impacts on Gulf of Mexico coastal marshes and forests in Waccasassa Bay, Florida," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 107(1), pages 35-57, July.
    3. Cariboni, J. & Gatelli, D. & Liska, R. & Saltelli, A., 2007. "The role of sensitivity analysis in ecological modelling," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 203(1), pages 167-182.
    4. Matthew L. Kirwan & Stijn Temmerman & Emily E. Skeehan & Glenn R. Guntenspergen & Sergio Fagherazzi, 2016. "Overestimation of marsh vulnerability to sea level rise," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(3), pages 253-260, March.
    5. Peter Doubilet & Colin B. Begg & Milton C. Weinstein & Peter Braun & Barbara J. McNeil, 1985. "Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis Using Monte Carlo Simulation," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 5(2), pages 157-177, June.
    6. Mitsch, William J. & Gosselink, James G., 2000. "The value of wetlands: importance of scale and landscape setting," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 25-33, October.
    7. Petzoldt, Thomas & Rinke, Karsten, 2007. "simecol: An Object-Oriented Framework for Ecological Modeling in R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 22(i09).
    8. Matthew L. Kirwan & J. Patrick Megonigal, 2013. "Tidal wetland stability in the face of human impacts and sea-level rise," Nature, Nature, vol. 504(7478), pages 53-60, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hermine Vedogbeton & Robert J. Johnston, 2020. "Commodity Consistent Meta-Analysis of Wetland Values: An Illustration for Coastal Marsh Habitat," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 75(4), pages 835-865, April.
    2. Zhiyi Lin & Minerva Singh, 2024. "Assessing Coastal Vulnerability and Evaluating the Effectiveness of Natural Habitats in Enhancing Coastal Resilience: A Case Study in Shanghai, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-23, January.
    3. Wu, Wei & Yeager, Kevin M. & Peterson, Mark S. & Fulford, Richard S., 2015. "Neutral models as a way to evaluate the Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 303(C), pages 55-69.
    4. Vinent, Orencio Duran & Johnston, Robert J. & Kirwan, Matthew L. & Leroux, Anke D. & Martin, Vance L., 2019. "Coastal dynamics and adaptation to uncertain sea level rise: Optimal portfolios for salt marsh migration," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    5. Chiara D’Alpaos & Andrea D’Alpaos, 2021. "The Valuation of Ecosystem Services in the Venice Lagoon: A Multicriteria Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-15, August.
    6. Poppe, Katrina L. & Rybczyk, John M., 2022. "Assessing the future of an intertidal seagrass meadow in response to sea level rise with a hybrid ecogeomorphic model of elevation change," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 469(C).
    7. Minjing Wang & Yanyan Kang & Zhuyou Sun & Jun Lei & Xiuqiang Peng, 2022. "Monitoring Wetland Landscape Evolution Using Landsat Time-Series Data: A Case Study of the Nantong Coast, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-20, October.
    8. Eli D. Lazarus, 2017. "Toward a Global Classification of Coastal Anthromes," Land, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-27, February.
    9. Kaihang Zhou & Scott Hawken, 2023. "Climate-Related Sea Level Rise and Coastal Wastewater Treatment Infrastructure Futures: Landscape Planning Scenarios for Negotiating Risks and Opportunities in Australian Urban Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-23, June.
    10. Gregory S. Fivash & Stijn Temmerman & Maarten G. Kleinhans & Maike Heuner & Tjisse Heide & Tjeerd J. Bouma, 2023. "Early indicators of tidal ecosystem shifts in estuaries," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    11. Roeland C. van de Vijsel & Jim van Belzen & Tjeerd J. Bouma & Daphne van der Wal & Bas W. Borsje & Stijn Temmerman & Loreta Cornacchia & Olivier Gourgue & Johan van de Koppel, 2023. "Vegetation controls on channel network complexity in coastal wetlands," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
    12. Xu Chen & Mingliang Zhang & Hengzhi Jiang, 2022. "Morphological Characteristics and Hydrological Connectivity Evaluation of Tidal Creeks in Coastal Wetlands," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-17, October.
    13. Vincent T. M. Zelst & Jasper T. Dijkstra & Bregje K. Wesenbeeck & Dirk Eilander & Edward P. Morris & Hessel C. Winsemius & Philip J. Ward & Mindert B. Vries, 2021. "Cutting the costs of coastal protection by integrating vegetation in flood defences," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-11, December.
    14. Leonard O. Ohenhen & Manoochehr Shirzaei & Chandrakanta Ojha & Matthew L. Kirwan, 2023. "Hidden vulnerability of US Atlantic coast to sea-level rise due to vertical land motion," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    15. Sinéad M. Crotty & Daniele Pinton & Alberto Canestrelli & Hallie S. Fischman & Collin Ortals & Nicholas R. Dahl & Sydney Williams & Tjeerd J. Bouma & Christine Angelini, 2023. "Faunal engineering stimulates landscape-scale accretion in southeastern US salt marshes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-15, December.
    16. Langston, Amy K. & Kaplan, David A., 2020. "Modelling the effects of climate, predation, and dispersal on the poleward range expansion of black mangrove (Avicennia germinans)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 434(C).
    17. Francisco A. Buendia-Hernandez & Maria J. Ortiz Bevia & Francisco J. Alvarez-Garcia & Antonio Ruizde Elvira, 2022. "Sensitivity of a Dynamic Model of Air Traffic Emissions to Technological and Environmental Factors," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-17, November.
    18. Laxmi D. Bhatta & Sunita Chaudhary & Anju Pandit & Himlal Baral & Partha J. Das & Nigel E. Stork, 2016. "Ecosystem Service Changes and Livelihood Impacts in the Maguri-Motapung Wetlands of Assam, India," Land, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-14, June.
    19. Imron, Muhammad Ali & Gergs, Andre & Berger, Uta, 2012. "Structure and sensitivity analysis of individual-based predator–prey models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 71-81.
    20. A. E. Ades & Karl Claxton & Mark Sculpher, 2006. "Evidence synthesis, parameter correlation and probabilistic sensitivity analysis," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(4), pages 373-381, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:363:y:2017:i:c:p:122-136. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.