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U.S. credit-market sentiment and global business cycles

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  • Du, Ding

Abstract

There is a growing literature on the international transmission of US credit-supply shocks. In this paper, we identify changes in the US credit supply with the methodology proposed by López-Salido et al. (2017). Empirically, we find robust evidence suggesting that US credit-supply shocks influence real activities in economies that are more economically or geographically integrated with the US.

Suggested Citation

  • Du, Ding, 2017. "U.S. credit-market sentiment and global business cycles," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 75-78.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:157:y:2017:i:c:p:75-78
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2017.05.039
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Eickmeier, Sandra & Ng, Tim, 2015. "How do US credit supply shocks propagate internationally? A GVAR approach," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 128-145.
    2. Whitney K. Newey & Kenneth D. West, 1994. "Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 61(4), pages 631-653.
    3. David López-Salido & Jeremy C. Stein & Egon Zakrajšek, 2017. "Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 132(3), pages 1373-1426.
    4. Moritz Schularick & Alan M. Taylor, 2012. "Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles, and Financial Crises, 1870-2008," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(2), pages 1029-1061, April.
    5. Helbling, Thomas & Huidrom, Raju & Kose, M. Ayhan & Otrok, Christopher, 2011. "Do credit shocks matter? A global perspective," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(3), pages 340-353, April.
    6. John C. Driscoll & Aart C. Kraay, 1998. "Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation With Spatially Dependent Panel Data," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(4), pages 549-560, November.
    7. Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey & Christian T. Lundblad & Stephan Siegel, 2011. "What Segments Equity Markets?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(12), pages 3841-3890.
    8. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ding Du & Ou Hu, 2020. "Why does stock-market investor sentiment influence corporate investment?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 54(4), pages 1221-1246, May.
    2. Ding Du & Mason Gerety, 2018. "Credit spreads and merger pricing," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(3), pages 169-178, May.
    3. Du, Ding & Rousse, Wade, 2018. "Foreign capital flows, credit spreads, and the business cycle," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 59-79.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    U.S. credit-market sentiment; Global business cycles;

    JEL classification:

    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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