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What executives get wrong about statistics: Moving from statistical significance to effect sizes and practical impact

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  • Anderson, Brian S.

Abstract

Statistical significance functions as an arbiter of sorts for data analysis purporting to show a relationship between two or more variables. Unfortunately, in far too many situations, statistical significance may lead decision-makers relying on data and analytics to improve business decisions astray, particularly in the context of big data. In this article, I outline reasons why executives should develop a healthy discernment when they see the phrase “statistically significant” in media outlets, internal analyses, consulting reports, and other sources. To overcome the limitations of focusing on statistical significance, I propose executives shift their attention toward the effect size reported from a statistical model. While not without limitation, effect sizes are more useful to decision-makers, highlight the practical implication of analyses, and help in quantifying the uncertainty inherent to working with data.

Suggested Citation

  • Anderson, Brian S., 2022. "What executives get wrong about statistics: Moving from statistical significance to effect sizes and practical impact," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 65(3), pages 379-388.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:bushor:v:65:y:2022:i:3:p:379-388
    DOI: 10.1016/j.bushor.2021.05.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Blakeley B. McShane & David Gal, 2017. "Rejoinder: Statistical Significance and the Dichotomization of Evidence," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(519), pages 904-908, July.
    2. Anja Lambrecht & Catherine Tucker, 2019. "Algorithmic Bias? An Empirical Study of Apparent Gender-Based Discrimination in the Display of STEM Career Ads," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(7), pages 2966-2981, July.
    3. Lee, In & Shin, Yong Jae, 2020. "Machine learning for enterprises: Applications, algorithm selection, and challenges," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 63(2), pages 157-170.
    4. Blakeley B. McShane & David Gal, 2017. "Statistical Significance and the Dichotomization of Evidence," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(519), pages 885-895, July.
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