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The impact of risk modeling on the market perception of banks’ estimated fair value gains and losses for financial instruments

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  • Bhat, Gauri
  • Ryan, Stephen G.

Abstract

We examine whether and how measures of market and credit risk modeling identified from banks’ financial reports enhance the returns-relevance of their estimated annual unrealized fair value gains and losses for financial instruments. To capture differences in market liquidity and fair valuation difficulties across types of financial instruments, we distinguish unrealized gains and losses that are recorded in net income versus recorded in other comprehensive income versus calculable using financial statement note disclosures. We predict and generally find that banks’ market (credit) risk modeling enhances the returns-relevance of their unrealized fair value gains and losses, more so for less liquid instruments subject to greater market-risk-related (credit-risk-related) valuation difficulties and during periods for which market (credit) risk is higher. We obtain these findings both for banks’ unadjusted risk modeling measures and for the portions of these measures that we model as attributable to banks’ risk modeling activities, but not for the portions we model as attributable to banks’ disclosure of these activities.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhat, Gauri & Ryan, Stephen G., 2015. "The impact of risk modeling on the market perception of banks’ estimated fair value gains and losses for financial instruments," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 81-95.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:aosoci:v:46:y:2015:i:c:p:81-95
    DOI: 10.1016/j.aos.2015.04.004
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    Cited by:

    1. McDonough, Ryan P. & Shakespeare, Catherine M., 2015. "Fair value measurement capabilities, disclosure, and the perceived reliability of fair value estimates: A discussion of Bhat and Ryan (2015)," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 96-99.
    2. Ryan McDonough & Argyro Panaretou & Catherine Shakespeare, 2020. "Fair value accounting: Current practice and perspectives for future research," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3-4), pages 303-332, March.
    3. Lamia Chourou, 2020. "Does Religiosity Matter to Value Relevance? Evidence from U.S. Banking Firms," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 162(3), pages 675-697, March.
    4. Viral V. Acharya & Stephen G. Ryan, 2016. "Banks’ Financial Reporting and Financial System Stability," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 54(2), pages 277-340, May.
    5. Platt, William, 2015. "A practitioners perspective: 2014 AOS Conference on Accounting Estimates," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 5-7.

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