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Nonlinear econometric models with cointegrated and deterministically trending regressors Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics YOOSOON CHANG
JOON Y. PARK
PETER C. B. PHILLIPS
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registered author(s):
This paper develops an asymptotic theory for a general class of nonlinear non-stationary regressions, extending earlier work by Phillips and Hansen (1990) on linear coin-tegrating regressions.The model considered accommodates a linear time trend and stationary regressors, as well as multiple I(1) regressors. We establish consistency and derive the limit distribution of the nonlinear least squares estimator. The estimator is consistent under fairly general conditions but the convergence rate and the limiting distribution are critically dependent upon the type of the regression function. For integrable regression functions, the parameter estimates converge at a reduced n 1 4 rate and have mixed normal limit distributions. On the other hand, if the regression functions are homogeneous at infinity, the convergence rates are determined by the degree of the asymptotic homogeneity and the limit distributions are non-Gaussian. It is shown that nonlinear least squares generally yields inefficient estimators and invalid tests, just as in linear nonstationary regressions. The paper proposes a methodol-ogy to overcome such difficulties. The approach is simple to implement, produces efficient estimates and leads to tests that are asymptotically chi-square. It is implemented in empirical applications in much the same way as the fully modified estimator of Phillips and Hansen.
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Article provided by Royal Economic Society in its journal The Econometrics Journal .
Volume (Year): 4 (2001)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 1-36
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Handle: RePEc:ect:emjrnl:v:4:y:2001:i:1:p:1-36Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.res.org.uk/ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Nonlinear regressions ; Integrated time series ; Nonlinear least squares ; Brown-ian motion ; Brownian local time. ; Other versions of this item:
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Park, Joon Y, 1992.
"Canonical Cointegrating Regressions ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 60(1), pages 119-43, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
repec:cup:etheor:v:8:y:1992:i:4:p:489-500 is not listed on IDEAS
repec:cup:etheor:v:7:y:1991:i:1:p:1-21 is not listed on IDEAS
Peter C.B. Phillips & Joon Y. Park, 1986.
"Statistical Inference in Regressions with Integrated Processes: Part 2 ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
819R, Cowles Foundation, Yale University, revised Feb 1987.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Stock, James H & Watson, Mark W, 1993.
"A Simple Estimator of Cointegrating Vectors in Higher Order Integrated Systems ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 783-820, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Phillips, P C B, 1991.
"Optimal Inference in Cointegrated Systems ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 283-306, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Andrews, Donald W K & McDermott, C John, 1995.
"Nonlinear Econometric Models with Deterministically Trending Variables ,"
Review of Economic Studies ,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Saikkonen, Pentti, 1991.
"Asymptotically Efficient Estimation of Cointegration Regressions ,"
Econometric Theory ,
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Park, Joon Y. & Phillips, Peter C.B., 1999.
"Asymptotics For Nonlinear Transformations Of Integrated Time Series ,"
Econometric Theory ,
Cambridge University Press, vol. 15(03), pages 269-298, June.
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Other versions: Joon Y. Park & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2000.
"Nonstationary Binary Choice ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 68(5), pages 1249-1280, September.
Other versions: Joon Y. Park & Peter C.B. Phillips, 1998.
"Nonlinear Regressions with Integrated Time Series ,"
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
1190, Cowles Foundation, Yale University.
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Other versions:
Joon Y. Park & Peter C. B. Phillips, 1999.
"Nonlinear Regressions with Integrated Time Series ,"
Working Paper Series
no6, Institute of Economic Research, Seoul National University.
[Downloadable!] Park, Joon Y & Phillips, Peter C B, 2001.
"Nonlinear Regressions with Integrated Time Series ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 69(1), pages 117-61, January.
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